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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 31, 2020 Update: 116,280 cases - 3,835 deaths - 1,342,243 tested

Posted on 7/31/20 at 12:26 pm to
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 12:26 pm to
Looks like they did an hour later
This is from 7/30

This post was edited on 7/31/20 at 12:27 pm
Posted by A Menace to Sobriety
Member since Jun 2018
32838 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 12:31 pm to
The deaths and positive % is lower, but the vents and hospitalizations are higher. I wonder what numbers the government leaders are going to look at.

These guys are 100% complete fricking liars. They'll pick and choose whatever numbers are high and continue to make it part of their agenda for negativity. It changes every single day. For obvious reasons they're gonna want to extend this as long as possible.
This post was edited on 7/31/20 at 12:59 pm
Posted by beardedzeus
NOLA
Member since Mar 2006
4474 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

Phase 3 coming soon


except jbe already said yesterday that there wont be any changes to our modified phase 2.....
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
47082 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 12:53 pm to
No changes coming. Only question is will extension be 2 weeks or 3.........and that won’t matter much either.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 1:05 pm to
If we extrapolate out from deaths assuming a 0.26% Infection fatality rate, which was the CDC’s original estimate...

We passed 15% of the population infected at 3,120 deaths which occurred about 2 weeks before we see a peak in cases around 7/19.

Infections and deaths will likely continue to slow until we hit around 4,100 total deaths which would equal 20% of the population infected, at which point the virus will likely go away. If it comes back is unknown, but it has followed this exact course in nearly every area that doesn’t have very very high population density.
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3211 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 1:50 pm to
There’s bound to be some excess “didn’t know what we were doing” deaths on the front end March surge that may drift that higher. Calcasieu may provide the best data since they didn’t participate at all in the first wave.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79913 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

If we extrapolate out from deaths assuming a 0.26% Infection fatality rate, which was the CDC’s original estimate...



Meh, if you use the Oschner 1.2% it puts us around 5%.

I think that the estimates of what is needed for the effects of herd immunity are greatly overestimated.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40277 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:26 pm to
Thought I'd share -- the 19 yo young man who was a triplet from the Carencro/Lafayette area died today -- his younger brother and he both had covid and the younger brother was released from the hospital some time ago & seemingly is doing ok.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132711 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:27 pm to
Dang
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:37 pm to
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:39 pm to
Damn, that’s awful
He put up a fight
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40277 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:41 pm to
It sounds like he surely did -- he had emergency surgery last night for bleeding in his chest. But I saw the death announcement on his dads fb page from about an hour ago.

Wouldn't wish that on any parent or anyone.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:41 pm to
Oh my
What would have caused that?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40277 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:44 pm to
I have no idea ... all I know is that he was the brother in a set of triplets with 2 sisters and that they were born early but I forget how early. I can't help but be curious as to if he had other issues.

Regardless, a parent shouldn't have to bury a child. The dad is a doctor (anesthesiologist) and the mom is a nurse. I hope that they were both able to be with him in the hospital.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

Oh my What would have caused that?


Wasn’t he on ECMO? Probably a risk of that. They are basically tapping into the large blood vessels in your chest to bypass your lungs and oxygenate the blood.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40277 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:45 pm to
Yes he was on ECMO (how long can you be on that??) .. dad had posted that he had a good day just a couple of days ago. Also 2 days ago, he shared that he had seen his boy smile for the first time since this started. Truly sad.
This post was edited on 7/31/20 at 4:48 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132711 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

Oh my
What would have caused that?


Presumably on full dose anticoagulation

Could bleed from anywhere
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:51 pm to
Horrible news. RIP
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:53 pm to
That sounds terrible

I’m sure this is a dumb question
Are you sedated on something like that?
What about a vent?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40277 posts
Posted on 7/31/20 at 4:55 pm to
I'm curious for his answer -- I'd assume so but when his dad said he saw his sons smile, it makes me think maybe not?? I do know that if the videos shown from Italy were real, people were on a vent and their eyes were wide open. Freaked me out.
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