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Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:20 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
Tigerdroppings is the reason I haven’t eaten a roast beef sandwich in 8 years.
TD is why I became a fan of it
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:22 pm to deltaland
This traffic in belle chasse is pissing me off
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:23 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
I thought the ground temps cooling off lowed tornado risk.
I’m never going to get this right.
Your dew point won't max out until early in the AM shortly before the line arrives. At that time your temp will still be pushing 70°. The LLJ won't really get cranking until later in the night, and it drags in the moisture and instability from the South/Gulf. That moisture and instability is really lacking to your West, which is why you don't see OK getting a higher risk level.
This post was edited on 3/29/22 at 4:24 pm
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
It’s been overcast and windy all day which kept the temps down. Now the sun is full out and temps are rising. Guess no deep wine sleep tonight.
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:29 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Y’all are only thinking of the shite that fell all the way in Ida. There’s a ton of cracked trees and limbs that appear to be healthy but just waiting for a 40mph wind to hit it from the right direction to come crashing down. Just last week when we had 35-40mph gusts, I had a big arse limb that came down and there were two decent sized trees that came down down the road from me. Lots can come down in 40-50mph winds spread out over four or five hours.
Yeh the last week one took some trees down in CenLa. We luckily never lost power and our trees that fell were in the woods but I know of at least one that fell across 165 near Ball, but some baw chopped and cleared it quick. Falling trees is the main issue with power outages.
But, what's it looking like for Rapides, Winn, LaSalle, Catahoula, Caldwell, Grant, Ouchita parishes?
This post was edited on 3/29/22 at 4:30 pm
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:35 pm to Duke
NAM really seems to favor the Northern extent for greatest wind threat. HRRR spreads it out more.
My fellow North AL posters, we could see some big winds tomorrow night with the line. The NAM gust map shows us getting 50-60mph gusts.
My fellow North AL posters, we could see some big winds tomorrow night with the line. The NAM gust map shows us getting 50-60mph gusts.
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:40 pm to BorrisMart
the institution of higher ed that I work for in CenLA has announced that classes will all be virtual tomorrow
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:44 pm to LegendInMyMind
Has it backed off the high gusts for sela?
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:46 pm to rt3
quote:
the institution of higher ed that I work for in CenLA has announced that classes will all be virtual tomorrow
I figured. After I posted, I read back some and saw Rapides cancelled, so I'm guessing Grant, LaSalle, Catahoula, Winn, Caldwell and possibly Ouchita cancel as well.
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:50 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Has it backed off the high gusts for sela?
Not really, but there's a difference between the NAM and the HRRR. HRRR has more widespread high winds and favors the Southern extent for the highest, while the NAM favors the Northern extent with the highest winds being to the North.
That's just splitting hairs, though. Everywhere along and ahead of the line will get significant wind, it is just a matter of where the worst is in regards to the actual line.
Posted on 3/29/22 at 4:55 pm to LegendInMyMind
Isn’t the NAM more reliable for severe weather?
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:05 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Isn’t the NAM more reliable for severe weather?
I think the HRRR is generally better but the NAM is a useful model for this stuff.
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:22 pm to Duke
I was just reading some interesting discussion just now on the tweeters.
A couple SPC guys were talking about the storm speed being mach-chicken and how that correlates to the possibility for longer track QLCS tornadoes than is normal. I've never really thought about that. 60-70mph storm motion can really cover some ground.
A couple SPC guys were talking about the storm speed being mach-chicken and how that correlates to the possibility for longer track QLCS tornadoes than is normal. I've never really thought about that. 60-70mph storm motion can really cover some ground.
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:24 pm to Duke
Stolen from stormcast. Lots of people are going to be impacted tomorrow.
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:31 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I was just reading some interesting discussion just now on the tweeters.
A couple SPC guys were talking about the storm speed being mach-chicken and how that correlates to the possibility for longer track QLCS tornadoes than is normal. I've never really thought about that. 60-70mph storm motion can really cover some ground.
wasn't it either earlier this year or back in the fall where a tornado in Iowa went like 120 mph?
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:32 pm to Duke
So these high winds should be out of the south?
Trying to figure out where to position the trampoline
Trying to figure out where to position the trampoline
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:34 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Stolen from stormcast. Lots of people are going to be impacted tomorrow.
Just so we’re clear are you team significant event or team nothingburger for this outbreak?
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:37 pm to BallsEleven
You should probably go ahead and expect to be buying a new trampoline
Posted on 3/29/22 at 5:38 pm to trussthetruzz
is this going to be like that derecho that hit BR back in 2014 or so?
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