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re: Hurricane vs wildfire insurance about to be nonexistent

Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:19 pm to
Posted by Saskwatch
Member since Feb 2016
17526 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

what do we do with insurance?


I could see the payout value being capped. I would think the property and contents value vs premium becomes more lopsided at higher property and content values requiring coverage
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
10234 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Gotcha. So where did we fail here? Is it because we have had too many disasters? Or has inflation pushed costs up so quickly there's not enough time between disasters to have the liquidity to cover all the damages timely?


In Florida, two things have happened to improve accessibility and rate over the long term. That is rate activity/law reform, and changes to building code.

The problem hasn’t been more frequent storms, it’s that we’ve built up tremendously in high risk areas. Every insurer has a potential maximum loss cap, and when they approach that, they either stop writing or restrict writing to brand new construction that meets strict guidelines.

In CA, companies have needed to take rate to match price to risk, and the government has said no at every turn.

Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

Ever heard of Mt St Helens in your state?


Ash doesn't destroy a house.

And it's been 44 years. Prior to 1980 it last erupted around 1850.

The 1980 eruption destroyed only 200 homes in close proximity to the volcano.

So, you think the entire state should have volcano insurance?
Posted by Gator5220
Member since Aug 2010
4387 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

guess my question is more on the lines of if nobody can be insured, does it mean it kills towns

The government would have to step in to provide insurance similar to what Florida had to do during the sinkhole epidemic.

Insurance companies have to explain to the state why they're pulling out.
This post was edited on 1/9/25 at 1:23 pm
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

But what about the family in St Bernard parish who wants to move out because of rising insurance costs, but no one will buy their home because of rising insurance costs?


Lower the price to offset the insurance expense demanded for living in a high risk area.

Not sorry.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39228 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

The problem hasn’t been more frequent storms, it’s that we’ve built up tremendously in high risk areas. Every insurer has a potential maximum loss cap, and when they approach that, they either stop writing or restrict writing to brand new construction that meets strict guidelines.


Here's the issue.

The people that developed first are now getting hammered because the people that developed later came in and pushed insurers to their limits. But the newer construction gets the better rates, while the original development takes it in the shorts.

It's like having a house next to a railroad. If you build or buy a house next to an existing railroad, I don't feel sorry for you. But if you built or bought first, and then the railroad is built, I can understand if you are pissed of about that.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39228 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

Lower the price to offset the insurance expense demanded for living in a high risk area.


OK.

Then how do you afford the higher house price in the safer area?

Remember in many cases this also involves trading a 3 percent mortgage for a 7 percent mortgage.

Not to mention, even if you lower prices, you don't guarantee a buyer. Buyers are staying away because even at lower prices, they don't want the future risk.

Houses here have dropped prices 40-50 percent and are still sitting. Becuase buyers are scared of even higher future premiums... or even the future availability of insurance.
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
10234 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

The people that developed first are now getting hammered because the people that developed later came in and pushed insurers to their limits. But the newer construction gets the better rates, while the original development takes it in the shorts.


I get the sentiment. However, I saw 1980-1990 homes completely demolished by Hurricane Michael and right next door a 2017 home with minor damage. Building code makes a huge difference in risk pricing.


You can get a significant discount if you have opening protection on all glazed and non glazed openings, including your garage door. Our new home has tie rods from the foundation all the way through the top plate on the second floor, every three feet of the exterior walls. The exterior walls are also 2x6 vs 2x4.


Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

OK.

Then how do you afford the higher house price in the safer area?



Buy what you can afford.

quote:

Remember in many cases this also involves trading a 3 percent mortgage for a 7 percent mortgage.



Irrelevant. Or are you asking for a subsidy?

quote:

Buyers are staying away because even at lower prices, they don't want the future risk.


Sounds like the home were vastly overvalued. Are you suggesting those owners be made whole by "someone"?
Posted by Teddy1388
I-10
Member since Aug 2017
740 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:33 pm to
I would be willing to bet that more carriers would be open to writing in California if they would be allowed to take a little rate here and there and if the state would do just a little bit to mitigate these fires from happening. It's not climate change, it's ridiculous leadership worried about killing a few mice in the grass fields during the mitigation process
Posted by biscuitsngravy
Tejas, north America
Member since Jan 2011
3497 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:35 pm to
'fair plans' exists in several states already, including California. basically insurer of last resort program administered by the state but funded / shared proportionally by all insurers in the particular state. any company operating in the state has to agree to participate in the fair plan. essentially just super expensive catastrophic coverage.

pooled catastrophic plans for high risk areas likely will be the way forward, along with much tougher requirements on homeowners to fortify their houses. things will no doubt have to change.

Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
10234 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

I would be willing to bet that more carriers would be open to writing in California if they would be allowed to take a little rate here and there and if the state would do just a little bit to mitigate these fires from happening. It's not climate change, it's ridiculous leadership worried about killing a few mice in the grass fields during the mitigation process


Correct. There’s also a lot of bullshite going around. Most policies were not non-renewed. They simply stopped writing new business
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39228 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Are you suggesting those owners be made whole by "someone"?


I am simply saying that “just sell and move” is a vast oversimplification and an insult to any reasonable level of intelligence.

No one is asking for anyone to be made whole or subsidized
Posted by theliontamer
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
1402 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:38 pm to
Tell them they shoulda bought a house in arkansas.
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
14721 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

DCtiger1


I see.

Appreciate the feedback.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39228 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

However, I saw 1980-1990 homes completely demolished by Hurricane Michael and right next door a 2017 home with minor damage. Building code makes a huge difference in risk pricing.


That explains why the newer construction insurance cysts may be less.

That doesn’t explain the skyrocketing cost of insurance for the older structure, or companies non-renewing policies on the older structures
Posted by BRbornandraised
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jun 2013
581 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 1:49 pm to
National Parks
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
3649 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 2:07 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 2/7/25 at 10:48 am
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
9812 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

That doesn’t explain the skyrocketing cost of insurance for the older structure, or companies non-renewing policies on the older structures


Sure it does
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

Sure it does


I mean it's blatantly obvious.

Unless the guy owns one of those older houses and simply doesn't want to face reality.

Just like screaming things aren't fair and when it is pointed out the only solution to his "problem" is subsidies, only to claim he doesn't want subsidies.
This post was edited on 1/9/25 at 3:14 pm
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