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re: Hurricane Maria - Visiting the Outer Banks before Moving OTS

Posted on 9/19/17 at 4:39 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 4:39 pm to
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 137kts (~ 157.7mph)
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 913mb (26.96 inHg)
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles)

Ten mile eye, expanded from earlier. Pressure confirmed 913 mb. Cat 5 winds in the SW side of the eyewall.

Oh and the eyewall replacement might be a faux one like we saw with Irma. Double max not quite as apparent and radar looks like the inner eyewall might have won this round. More time needed to be certain of course.
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 4:40 pm to
So still at 161 mph winds but the pressure is still dropping so it should keep strengthening.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39239 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

so it should keep strengthening.



Yeah! Its gonna be bad bad.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15728 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:04 pm to
Anybody google map PR? that place is in a bad spot. Lot of appts and buildings near the coast. i hope they evacuate people to move inland.The whole island will catch hell though. hope your friend is away from the ocean.Well as far away as you can get on PR.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21005 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:10 pm to
quote:



Oh and the eyewall replacement might be a faux one like we saw with Irma. Double max not quite as apparent and radar looks like the inner eyewall might have won this round. More time needed to be certain of course.



Clearly, something happened to the storm. Secondary wind max, followed by expanding wind field and eye grew in size. If it is done with whatever that was, it will probably strengthen some more before PR.
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:12 pm to
San Juan Airport from a few hours ago

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

Clearly, something happened to the storm. Secondary wind max, followed by expanding wind field and eye grew in size. If it is done with whatever that was, it will probably strengthen some more before PR.


The end result was like a replacement cycle, but without the weakening and long battle killing in the inner eye.

Weird. Irma had a similar thing happen IIRC.
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:19 pm to
Hurricane center forecasters have said it “now appears likely” that Maria will still be at category 5 intensity when it moves over the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, according to the AP.

The center of the storm was forecast to move over or near the US Virgin Island of St Croix and Puerto Rico on Tuesday night and Wednesday, leading to “life-threatening” floods.

LINK
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:32 pm to
910 mb and 170 mph+ unflagged on recent pass.

Make that about 175 mph unflagged.
This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 5:36 pm
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43097 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:37 pm to
Damn
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
50698 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

910 mb and 170 mph+ unflagged on recent pass.

Make that about 175 mph unflagged.
Jesus H. Christ
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43097 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:39 pm to
This might make a run at sub 900 mb tonight
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8312 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:40 pm to
Holy shite
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36156 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:46 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:50 pm to
Top 10 all time as of now.

Pressure drop 3 mb/hr currently. Could make a run at 900 mb. St. Croix still in the path of strongest winds.
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36156 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:54 pm to
I remember in one of the other threads, someone posted the top 10 strongest hurricanes, with wind and pressure columns. Does anyone have that saved?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43097 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 5:58 pm to
...700 PM AST POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE... ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE MARIA STILL STRENGTHENING...
7:00 PM AST Tue Sep 19
Location: 16.9°N 64.1°W
Moving: WNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 909 mb
Max sustained: 175 mph
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Min pressure: 909 mb

Well, now it's one of the top ten most intense hurricanes by pressure.
This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 6:01 pm
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36156 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Min pressure: 909 mb Max sustained: 175 mph
Mother of God. And strengthening?
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/19/17 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

STILL STRENGTHENING...


Could we actually see this storm hit 190 tonight?

UPDATE EDIT:
Dropsonde just measured 195 mph winds in Maria, I hope to god that's just a gust!


This post was edited on 9/19/17 at 6:16 pm
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