re: How long until colleges become extinct?

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Am I wrong?

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Yes. You are wong.

Colleges will not go extinct, but they will look a lot different. I would argue that four-year universities were never intended for more than 10 to 30% of the population. That’s not a class issue, we just don’t need everyone to have a four year advanced general education. Most people would be better off going into blue collar trades or starting white collar apprenticeships after high school.

My son is 14 months old. I fully expect that he will not have the four-year college experience that I had. Even I’m on my friends with older kids, college appears to be much different already.

I could even see specialized career focused programs or vocational programs attached to current four year universities like LSU. Have kids come in for a couple of years and use that college experience to mature while getting a shorter more focused training.