re: Harvey ***Catastrophic Flooding Event***

I'd be worried about another Camille situation. That bitch rapidly intensified into a Category 5 storm and they still don't know how almost 50 years later.

Ok thanks. Fox8 is saying it potentially could move north while still in Texas now

Saw an intelligence report (I know, military Intel and what not...) that suggests a very slight NE turn towards Arkansas with the east wall towards Shreveport.

I'm not sure if that helps or not or if it's even accurate. If it isn't, I apologize in advance for that bad Intel.

That's some eerie posts from those guys. I assume they're pretty well respected and not fear mongers.

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For a reference point, Katrina was a 3...

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Katrina had some extenuating circumstances that made it a lot worse than the average 3. Not really a great reference point to use.

But it was called a 3 not an M.

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But it was called a 3 not an M.

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On NHC maps they call it M.

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But it was called a 3 not an M.

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NHC alters the way it forecasts every year based on user feedback. They just started denoting major hurricanes on their forecasts a few years ago.

So, looks like Harv was up all night snorting coke. Great...

Minimal decrease in forward speed and an earlier landfall time...makes me feel not as good about forward inland movement, and more concerned about Austin seeing more of an impact than what is currently forecasted.

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looks like recon found a pressure of 948.

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that's just extrapolated... the dropsonde directly measured 951.

still a bad sign but 948 is a lot closer to signaling cat 4 intensification