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Message
re: General Tornado Thread
Posted on 4/26/14 at 11:44 pm to au21tigers
Posted on 4/26/14 at 11:44 pm to au21tigers
quote:
I believe it.. The lighting that day was something I will never forget on my ride home. It was like a movie.
I always said the same thing. The way the sky and light looked and the air felt I will never felt. I remember that whole day so vividly. I woke up around 4am when 100 mph straight-line winds tore up Bluff Park and watched the news the whole rest of the day. When The first tower cam shot came on from Tuscaloosa and I saw the size of the tornado my jaw dropped. I didn't even want to call my friends to check on them because I was too worried that they had much more important things to be dealing with than answering my call. Then It got to Birmingham and they showed a picture where the skyline of Birmingham was in front of the tornado and was dwarfed by the size of the tornado in the background. I'll never forget the fear I felt for people I didn't even know.
And nobody get offended by this but being a Birmingham native I get slightly annoyed seeing/hearing people refer to April 27th, 2011 as the "Tuscaloosa tornado" like that was the only place the got hit that day. The entire state got torn up that day a long with much of MS and GA. The destruction I helped clean up for well over a year later all around the Bham metro is something I will always carry with me.
0
Posted on 4/26/14 at 11:46 pm to JordonfortheJ
quote:
Are we just expecting a normal severe thunderstorm with a possible chance of tornadoes? Haven't been keeping up. North AL here
No way. Go buy a weather radio, make a plan to get to a safe spot at a moments notice.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 11:51 pm to GEAUXmedic
Yeah, North AL could be in the proverbial bulls eye next week.
What I find interesting is how slow the front is expected to move and how the tornadoes, etc. are expected to fire up from Sunday til Wednesday.
What I find interesting is how slow the front is expected to move and how the tornadoes, etc. are expected to fire up from Sunday til Wednesday.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 11:51 pm to JordonfortheJ
quote:
North AL here
Stay safe. You know how it is in this area.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 11:57 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
What I find interesting is how slow the front is expected to move and how the tornadoes, etc. are expected to fire up from Sunday til Wednesday.
There's actually three rounds coming though.
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:12 am to GEAUXmedic
Excerpts from the new convective outlooks:
Today:
NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THE
ARK-LA-TEX INTO ARKANSAS...WESTERN TENNESSEE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI AND ERN KS. A SECONDARY THREAT AREA WILL BE FROM EASTERN
NEBRASKA INTO IOWA...AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN THIS REGION DURING THE
DAY WILL ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND SEVERAL TORNADOES.
INITIAL STORMS ALONG THE
DRYLINE AS WELL AS PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE WILL LIKELY BE
DISCRETE AND POSE A THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES...A FEW
OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG. SOME STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY CONSOLIDATE
INTO ONE OR MORE MCSS DURING THE EVENING BUT WITH A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR DAMAGING WIND...TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS
TOWARD THE TN VALLEY. A PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY MAY NEED TO
BE INCLUDED IN A HIGH RISK IN LATER UPDATES.
Monday:
AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING STRONG TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS LIKELY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY.
SEVERE
HAIL ASIDE /AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING/...TORNADOES...INCLUDING
A VIABLE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE
EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS AS STORMS DEVELOP EAST/NORTHEASTWARD
ESPECIALLY ACROSS MS/AL/TN.
Today:
NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THE
ARK-LA-TEX INTO ARKANSAS...WESTERN TENNESSEE AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI AND ERN KS. A SECONDARY THREAT AREA WILL BE FROM EASTERN
NEBRASKA INTO IOWA...AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN THIS REGION DURING THE
DAY WILL ALSO LIKELY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND SEVERAL TORNADOES.
INITIAL STORMS ALONG THE
DRYLINE AS WELL AS PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE WILL LIKELY BE
DISCRETE AND POSE A THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES...A FEW
OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG. SOME STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY CONSOLIDATE
INTO ONE OR MORE MCSS DURING THE EVENING BUT WITH A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR DAMAGING WIND...TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS
TOWARD THE TN VALLEY. A PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY MAY NEED TO
BE INCLUDED IN A HIGH RISK IN LATER UPDATES.
Monday:
AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING STRONG TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS LIKELY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TENNESSEE VALLEY.
SEVERE
HAIL ASIDE /AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING/...TORNADOES...INCLUDING
A VIABLE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE
EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS AS STORMS DEVELOP EAST/NORTHEASTWARD
ESPECIALLY ACROSS MS/AL/TN.
This post was edited on 4/27/14 at 1:18 am
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:15 am to GEAUXmedic
Local weather guy out of a Texarkana station is on FB downplaying. He is saying wildly scattered and not as bad as is being foretold.
Whether there is an F5 or an ice cream truck coming through your neighborhood, someone called it.
Whether there is an F5 or an ice cream truck coming through your neighborhood, someone called it.
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:17 am to Scoop
quote:
Local weather guy out of a Texarkana station is on FB downplaying. He is saying wildly scattered and not as bad as is being foretold.
Who is he? just curious..
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:18 am to GEAUXmedic
Mike Bettes is in Wichita
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:21 am to GEAUXmedic
Todd Warren.
Texarkana guy and no idea how I saw his post, but he put up earlier that the latest showed the cells would be "quite scattered."
Texarkana guy and no idea how I saw his post, but he put up earlier that the latest showed the cells would be "quite scattered."
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:21 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Mike Bettes is in Wichita
highly doubt they're gonna be anywhere near the action... may be surprised though
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:24 am to Scoop
quote:
Todd Warren.
he says:
"Note about Sunday's storms. Latest run of Futurecast shows that they will likely be quite scattered. However, ANY cell that develops has the potential to produce large hail, damaging wind and a tornado due to the explosive nature of the atmosphere."
Well thats his safe way of saying no matter what happens he was right. There are very few TV Mets you can trust, some aren't even "real" meteorologists, but you can usually tell who is for real and who isn't. This guy seems like he has a meteorology degree, but that post is safe as hell.
This post was edited on 4/27/14 at 1:29 am
Posted on 4/27/14 at 6:19 am to GEAUXmedic
Shreveport forecast discussion. Maybe they've backed off just a bit on the severity?
quote:
CONCERNING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TODAY AND TONIGHT...STRONG TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE...CHARACTERIZED BY DEW POINT VALUES IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S...WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO ALLOW FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT BY MID-AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...CLOUD COVER COULD PLAY A ROLE IN DELAYING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT BY RESTRICTING LOW-LEVEL WARMING. STORMS TO FORM AS DISCRETE CELLS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING DRYLINE ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS BEFORE CONSOLIDATING INTO AN MCS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION.
Posted on 4/27/14 at 6:44 am to Jim Rockford
Little Rock Arkansas and surrounding area have a big time threat right now. Prayers for those people
Posted on 4/27/14 at 7:53 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Shreveport forecast discussion. Maybe they've backed off just a bit on the severity?
There is a lot of morning convection and the Hi-res models seem to indicate that trend will continue today. This could keep the warm sector cluttered with storms and clouds, which could help reduce the over all threat.
ETA: New Day 1 still indicating the chance for strong tornadoes. It will be interesting to see how the convective trends evolve today.
ETA 2: Storms around DFW have taken on more of an eastward component the last couple of scans indicating that they may be starting to root in the very unstable surface layer.
This post was edited on 4/27/14 at 8:14 am
Posted on 4/27/14 at 8:44 am to GEAUXmedic
Obviously, I hope today isn't bad.
If it isn't, though, it's going to be one of the one of the worst meteoroligical bed shits I've ever seen.
If it isn't, though, it's going to be one of the one of the worst meteoroligical bed shits I've ever seen.
Posted on 4/27/14 at 8:57 am to Scoop
quote:
If it isn't, though, it's going to be one of the one of the worst meteoroligical bed shits I've ever seen.
Hardly, SPC is yet to even issue a High Risk area for today. Forecasting tornadoes is by far one of the hardest things to do. There is no denying that the synoptic scale features are in place for an outbreak and will be for the next couple of days. However, there are still limitations to accurately forecasting convective timing/initiation and storm mode, esp. when those are influenced by meso and storm scale features. We are often times left scratching our heads and analyzing maps/data after the fact to determine why one day produced and another day didn't.
Posted on 4/27/14 at 10:00 am to rds dc
Man they got some heavy duty analysis up in the weather threads ... Nearly warranting its own board
Posted on 4/27/14 at 10:04 am to Chad504boy
quote:
Nearly warranting its own board
Posted on 4/27/14 at 10:28 am to dukke v
Well Jim cantore is in Huntsville
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