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Started By
Message
re: General Tornado Thread
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:14 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:14 pm to GEAUXmedic
I'm working and wife sent me the link.
How old is it? We went from 4-7 in the last 36 ours or so and we were damn sure never a 9 in the meantime.
Seriously, I'm confused.
How old is it? We went from 4-7 in the last 36 ours or so and we were damn sure never a 9 in the meantime.
Seriously, I'm confused.
This post was edited on 4/26/14 at 8:18 pm
1
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:17 pm to Scoop
quote:
How old is it? We went from 4-7 in the last 36 ours or so and we were damn sure never a 9 in the meantime.
the video is about a year old. i'll DM the digital content producer and let them know its confusing to have on the page
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:25 pm to GEAUXmedic
Has the cap come off in the Plains yet?
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:26 pm to GEAUXmedic
I'll beat my wife for this, btw. She sent me the link.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:27 pm to Duke
I haven't been watching it, RDS would know more
This post was edited on 4/26/14 at 8:44 pm
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:30 pm to Scoop
quote:
I'll beat my wife for this, btw. She sent me the link.
lmao, no need to beat your wife, i mean yeah a 9 is insane, but a 7 is still horrible. its a 70% chance of a tornado happening within 50 miles of any point in the area.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:33 pm to Scoop
Just make her stand outside all day tomorrow.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:41 pm to Duke
She just figured out that the video was four years old and instructed me not to call her stupid here.
Funny thing is, the video is on YouTube and I never remember NW La being a 9.
I vaguely remember SW Ark being and 8 around then but never recall a 9 for NW La.
Weird.
Funny thing is, the video is on YouTube and I never remember NW La being a 9.
I vaguely remember SW Ark being and 8 around then but never recall a 9 for NW La.
Weird.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:42 pm to Duke
quote:
Has the cap come off in the Plains yet?
The west Texas storms are pretty isolated and fired along the dry line as the result of day time heating. Large scale forcing that could lift the cap is still out West. If those storms can survive the next few hours then lift should start spreading in from the west improving the convective environment.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:48 pm to rds dc
Tweet from the Alabama EMA:
Posted on 4/26/14 at 8:53 pm to East Coast Band
they shouldn't have tweeted that 
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:06 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
Tweet from the Alabama EMA:
Holy crap... idiotic. Each of the next 3 days certainly have high end potential but there is just no way to make a call like that. The models can't resolve the small scale features that make or break the big days.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:08 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
they shouldn't have tweeted that
Agreed, bc people think similarity in terms of severity. The one similarity is that this risk is focused more on discrete cells vs a line forming. Seems like a line likes to form in east texas and race east with a lot of systems. Not this time.
This time it could be hit or miss. As in I get not much and the guy 10 miles north gets hit with multiple cells, one of which puts his shed in his pool.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:11 pm to bendellee
The thing is, this system synoptically isn't similar, could the tornadoes that form be as severe as the storms of that day? yes. Could the system be as widespread as that day? yes. Could both happen at the same time? Sure, why not.. but the models are showing nothing of the sort, and april 27th is a once in decades event.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:13 pm to GEAUXmedic
Comment about tweet from James Spann, the top and most respected TV meteorologist in these parts:
quote:
I am not sure where they got this information, but the pattern developing in coming days is not similar to April 27, 2011. Is there a significant risk of severe weather? Yes. Should be we prepared? Yes. But this is not correct.
I good friends at the state EMA office and they do a wonderful job… but they just got some incorrect information.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:16 pm to East Coast Band
Spann also points out the top 15 analogs.. april 27th isn't on the list.
here are the storm reports from the analogs for the three days:
Sunday:
Monday:
Tuesday:
here are the storm reports from the analogs for the three days:
Sunday:
Monday:
Tuesday:
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:20 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
James Spann, the top and most respected TV meteorologist in these parts:
Spann is one of the most respected TV mets in the whole country. The guy absolutely is one of the best.
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:21 pm to rds dc
Gotcha. Thanks for the explanation. 
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:24 pm to rds dc
quote:
Spann is one of the most respected TV mets in the whole country. The guy absolutely is one of the best.
Agreed.. but Gary England is the GOAT
Posted on 4/26/14 at 9:39 pm to GEAUXmedic
I agree. This will not be like 4/27/11. But we aren't used to being under the gun like this.
Despite conventional belief, we can get strong tornadoes in N LA. Out of 5 F4s in the state since 1953, 4 have been in N La.
2 in Caddo/Bossier, 2 in Ouachita/morehouse (if my memory is correct). The other was SW of alex.
Despite conventional belief, we can get strong tornadoes in N LA. Out of 5 F4s in the state since 1953, 4 have been in N La.
2 in Caddo/Bossier, 2 in Ouachita/morehouse (if my memory is correct). The other was SW of alex.
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