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re: Fed Chair Says U.S. May Be Drastically Overstating Jobs Numbers

Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:16 am to
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26410 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:16 am to
quote:

He's juuuuuuuust a little late to the party.


It’s just transitory, bro.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94756 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Where was Powell the entire Biden admin? Asleep?


Nope. "In on it."
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
296376 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:20 am to
they completely skipped October numbers. It was obvious shenanigans were happening.
Posted by jwalk38
Member since Nov 2021
109 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Christmas spending is up though


*The value of your money spent on Christmas shopping went down.
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138104 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:29 am to
It’s a pretty shitty tactic and I hate it. But let’s not pretend that this is unique to one specific party.
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
26410 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:30 am to
quote:

they completely skipped October numbers. It was obvious shenanigans were happening.



They had just adjusted 2024 numbers downward by nearly 1m, and POTUS has been relentlessly demanding that they cut rates.

Everyone clearly has their own agenda and chooses the data interpretation methods that they want to support it. Trump wants rate cuts and probably wants the committee to see negative economic data behind closed doors to support that. Powell and a couple of committee members clearly want the opposite. And then on top of all of this the data is total shite.

Either way I have little confidence in The Fed right now. They are either politically compromised, using bad data, using good data with too much latency, and reacting slowly to the data they do have.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
296376 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:31 am to
quote:


Either way I have little confidence in The Fed right now. They are either politically compromised, using bad data, using good data with too much latency, and reacting slowly to the data they do have.


I have little trust in any of them, honestly. Fed or Administration.

We get spoonfed what is convenient. But something has to break.
Posted by Shorts Guy
BR
Member since Dec 2023
544 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Of course trump is gaming the numbers.


Anyone who thinks that ANY politician with whatever letter beside their name does anything other than game the numbers is a dumbass of the highest caliber.
Posted by SundayFunday
Member since Sep 2011
9829 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:36 am to
quote:

That's why Trump fired the independent analysts that compiled the data. This way we only get the numbers Trump wishes existed, and even those numbers are bad.
\


What a desperate jump to conclusions over a 'may be'.

Its just pathetic
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
296376 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:38 am to
quote:


What a desperate jump to conclusions over a 'may be'.



Not releasing October numbers was kinda funny.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93432 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:55 am to
quote:

Not releasing October numbers was kinda funny.


I mean theres plenty of data that shows the jobs numbers

They are not good. The BLS is total.bullshite anyways

But old fossils like yourself cling to it
Posted by HogBalls
Member since Nov 2014
8902 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 10:56 am to
quote:

That's why Trump fired the independent analysts that compiled the data. This way we only get the numbers Trump wishes existed, and even those numbers are bad.


Oh yeah, the bitch he fired for fudging the numbers for Biden. I had forgotten about that piece of shite.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85843 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 11:16 am to
quote:

That's why Trump fired the independent analysts that compiled the data. This way we only get the numbers Trump wishes existed, and even those numbers are bad.



Then why did 900k jobs under Biden get revised down?



The reason she was fired was because every estimate of hers needed a down revision.


A person good at their job would have up revisions and down revisions. Over a period of time the numbers would even out. The person that got fired had a positive bias every time. That's either you suck, or you are manipulating the data.




Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85843 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 11:17 am to
quote:

Not releasing October numbers was kinda funny.



The government was shut down.


Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
296376 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 11:19 am to
quote:



The government was shut down.


its been open for a month.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85843 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 11:19 am to
quote:

*The value of your money spent on Christmas shopping went down.


Yes, at a rate of 6.5% per year under Biden.


We are closer to 2.2% for the year under Trump.



You and Roger are welcome.


Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85843 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 11:20 am to
quote:

its been open for a month.


Not in October.


And what are you going to do with october's numbers now?


Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
296376 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 11:21 am to
quote:



Not in October.


They've had a month to accumulate the numbers.

They have the info.
Posted by jnethe1
Pearland
Member since Dec 2012
17054 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 1:10 pm to
Do you know how the unemployment rate is calculated?
Posted by Suntiger
STG or BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
35581 posts
Posted on 12/11/25 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

why did 900k jobs under Biden get revised down?


Numbers are reported and revised. This happens during all administrations. Yes, even Trump’s first go round. Why does something this dumb have to be a partisan issue?

quote:

Yes, at a rate of 6.5% per year under Biden.

We are closer to 2.2% for the year under Trump.


You know a lot of that inflation under Biden was because of the stimulus Trump sent out right?

Again, all the political parties are to blame. If you keep picking a side and blaming “them” for everything bad and taking credit for everything good, you’re pretty much the problem with American politics at the moment.




As for the rate, I know Trump wants them lowered, but inflation was already on the rise (from 2.8 to 2.9) and this isn’t going to help. Lowering rates might have helped in the old economic system, but you have AI replacing people, businesses having to pay tariffs and part of the population (who were reported in job numbers) being deported. Forgetting politics and from a purely economic stance, lowering rates won’t combat any of that.
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