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re: Don’t look at tropical tidbits
Posted on 9/16/24 at 6:05 pm to buford4LSU
Posted on 9/16/24 at 6:05 pm to buford4LSU
What did it look like 2-3 weeks ago?
Posted on 9/16/24 at 6:45 pm to buford4LSU
A storm like that would take up 3/4 of the gulf lol. Another 18z classic hour GFS run like the other day
Posted on 9/16/24 at 6:49 pm to buford4LSU
quote:
tidbits still not giving up. huge storm in gulf at end of next week
It’s happening.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 6:57 pm to buford4LSU
it's almost like the GFS is considering the climatological peak of hurricane season or something
Posted on 9/16/24 at 7:01 pm to tigerbutt
Sounds like you have good Intel.
Can you point us in the direction of where it makes landfall using our updated 15mi margin of error of its exact location and the accompanying early/late four hour window to arrive?.
Thanks for everything, t butt. You've been a lot of help.
Can you point us in the direction of where it makes landfall using our updated 15mi margin of error of its exact location and the accompanying early/late four hour window to arrive?.
Thanks for everything, t butt. You've been a lot of help.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 7:07 pm to buford4LSU
Let's gooooooo!! Teachers didn't get enough time off from the first one.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 7:07 pm to buford4LSU
Can you DM Levi and confirm this storm forecast 2 weeks out is valid? I can save quite a bit booking my flight out tonight.
Thanks, appreciate you.
Thanks, appreciate you.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 7:50 pm to buford4LSU
quote:
tidbits still not giving up. huge storm in gulf at end of next week
We're coming into a pretty favorable period for the Western Caribbean, so development would be pretty likely with anything that tries.
What matters most is the synoptic pattern over the US/North America, ridging and throughs. Nothing has a good handle on any of it right now, even the EuroAI is back and forth.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 7:51 pm to LegendInMyMind
So is Louisiana done for?
Posted on 9/16/24 at 7:58 pm to LSUDAN1
quote:
So is Louisiana done for?
Yes, but that doesn't really have much to do with this tropical system.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 8:13 pm to LegendInMyMind
Yep the last 2 days of runs the Euro AI has been from Florida to buried in the BOC.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 8:55 pm to SWLA92
The long range model for what would later become Francine was not that far off.
....Had it barrelling toward Brownsville TX ; putting on the brakes ; making a hard right toward LC.
Hopefully this is just a fart in the wind or stays a fish storm...
....Had it barrelling toward Brownsville TX ; putting on the brakes ; making a hard right toward LC.
Hopefully this is just a fart in the wind or stays a fish storm...
Posted on 9/16/24 at 9:12 pm to RBTiger
Yeah I know it’s a small sample size but the Euro AI has been very successful this season
Posted on 9/16/24 at 9:40 pm to SWLA92
Heard the rest of September will be pretty active. Won’t shock me to see another hurricane or two landfall along the gulf coast.
Posted on 9/16/24 at 9:42 pm to Mr Roboto
Why do I just see a storm annihilating the fl panhandle what’s the model showing the la storm?
Posted on 9/16/24 at 9:54 pm to CE Tiger
There’s no models today that show a LA landfall
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:49 am to SWLA92
I’ll pretend I’m still not looking at tropical tidbits this morning. I’ll also pretend that most models don’t see something developing.
I will, however, not pretend that they have no clue whether it’ll go through Florida and out into the Atlantic or into the northern Gulf coast because that’s apparent. Yall don’t get your panties all in a wad because this is over a week out and the models have no clue what this hypothetical hurricane will do.
I will, however, not pretend that they have no clue whether it’ll go through Florida and out into the Atlantic or into the northern Gulf coast because that’s apparent. Yall don’t get your panties all in a wad because this is over a week out and the models have no clue what this hypothetical hurricane will do.
Posted on 9/17/24 at 10:19 am to TDsngumbo
Should we make a thread on this? If a bunch of computer models are picking it up doesn't that mean it's likely going to happen somewhere?
Posted on 9/17/24 at 10:58 am to tunechi
Let's Geaux Cold Fronts!
Shove that garbage out into the Atlantic

Shove that garbage out into the Atlantic
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