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Message
re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:02 pm to LSUKTR
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:02 pm to LSUKTR
quote:
So 80% of the time, they’re at least 50mi off this far out. I guess it is good to be in the center of the cone right now.
As opposed to not being in the cone at all? Nah.
The center of the cone is the most likely place to get hit, even if it’s most likely to not hit exactly there.
0
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:02 pm to treyk89
quote:
There’s a clear difference between having a major hurricane at some point in the gulf and having a major hurricane at landfall. Anyone suggesting otherwise is idiotcasting.
A weakening major hurricane at landfall is a huge threat. Pretty significant precedent has shown that.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:04 pm to rt3
quote:
wasn't slack talking about a model run he was watching... discussing the nearing landfall on said model run?
Yes. I thought the 90 hr our image I posted provided enough context.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:04 pm to Notasnitch
quote:
At least I'm not oweo or peej
With 3 post?
Band time.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:04 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:05 pm to fishfighter
quote:
With 3 post?
Band time.
You're right. That's not enough data to tell if he/she is, in fact, not a snitch.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:05 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
A weakening major hurricane at landfall is a huge threat. Pretty significant precedent has shown that.
yeah... Katrina was a "weakening" hurricane at landfall
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:06 pm to fishfighter
quote:
Drinking a couple cold ones. Got out today which picked me up out the dirt.
Do as much as you can as often as you can, bud. No better way to feel better than to keep going.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:07 pm to Elleshoe
quote:
hate the nerdy cocksuckers in these threads who downvote every legit question just because it’s from someone that’s not a regular
Don’t think you’re getting downvoted for that. Asking how fricked BR and NOLA are is almost like asking about Punta Cana in these threads. It’s a meme, even if it’s legitimate in this case.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:07 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Convection really blowing up in that last frame
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:07 pm to rt3
quote:
yeah... Katrina was a "weakening" hurricane at landfall
With a Cat5 storm surge.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:07 pm to rt3
All I know is if this comes my way, it's going to cost me around 15K if not more. 
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:09 pm to TigerNAtux
quote:
Is the biggest concern I have as well.
Beta gave us 3 foot.
I can’t believe we are doing this again.
Have friend on Grand Isle that have cleaned up after water 3 times already this year.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:09 pm to slackster
quote:
Don’t think you’re getting downvoted for that. Asking how fricked BR and NOLA are is almost like asking about Punta Cana in these threads. It’s a meme, even if it’s legitimate in this case.
I was asking a legit question. I don’t know dick about what y’all are talking about and was curious
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:09 pm to rds dc
Lili came in only a few days after TS Isadore came through the same waters. If I remember correctly she stirred up the cool water so much that Lili suffered from cool water temps more than anything else leading to her collapse. Fuking Bob Breck came on before Lili hit saying people in Thibodaux were going to drown from Lili's surge only for her to collapse to almost nothing at landfall.
Hurricane Isadore
Hurricane Isadore
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:10 pm to t00f
quote:
yeah... Katrina was a "weakening" hurricane at landfall
With a Cat5 storm surge.
Unlikely Delta gets to cat 5, but a few models get it close on the high end.
ETA HWRF took it up to 140 mph this past run.
This post was edited on 10/5/20 at 7:13 pm
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:12 pm to slackster
Not suggesting it will be a cat5
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:13 pm to slackster
Dumb question, but when do they have this making landfall?
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:13 pm to t00f
quote:
Not suggesting it will be a cat5
I know that, but it’s got some high end potential in the south/central GOM. It’s not out of the question.
Posted on 10/5/20 at 7:14 pm to TheOtherWhiteMeat
quote:
Dumb question, but when do they have this making landfall?
Friday at the moment.
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