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re: 132k active Covid Cases Nationwide
Posted on 5/14/20 at 6:46 pm to hubreb
Posted on 5/14/20 at 6:46 pm to hubreb
Had a coworker get the rona and they sent him to hospital. Last I heard he didn’t even feel that bad but they made him go. I think it’s odd they recommended he go to the hospital when he didn’t feel too bad. Maybe they are trying to pump up the numbers.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 6:47 pm to hubreb
quote:
So 132k nationally, assume 2% hospitalized = 2,600
The hospitalization rate is higher than that. There were 1,193 people hospitalized with COVID in Louisiana today.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 6:47 pm to OceanMan
quote:
We have known these things for months.
I’m not sure we’ve known that for months. Shutting down initially to flatten the curve was smart and it gave us time to prepare for a larger outbreak and learn more about the virus.
The Spanish Flu nailed people aged 25-35. I’m sure a lot of our government’s initial decisions were based on the fear that Covid could do the same.
Now that we’ve flattened the curve and understood who is at risk (old frail already sick people), there’s no need to remain in lockdown mode.
But we have a greater sickness to deal with: political theater.
That’s all we’re dealing with now. Politicians making decisions based on what they believe their voting base will like come November. That’s on both sides BtW.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 6:54 pm to Volvagia
quote:
Current hospitalized. And don’t argue with me, argue with the Texas health department dashboard.
Fair...my 2% number may be completely wrong...but the other data isn't...I ran for 14 and 21 days as well...at 21 day recovery method it is 440k active
Posted on 5/14/20 at 6:58 pm to hubreb
Correct me if I'm wrong but I thought the 10 days you use is the upper length of the guideline to begin to "show symptoms" and not the total recovery time?
A lot of people I've known who had this and recovered took much longer than 10 days to recover after the first day they likely would have tested positive. Some didn't even begin to get sick with it for almost 10 days.
Aren't many people who are having to be hospitalized there for longer than 10 days?
A lot of people I've known who had this and recovered took much longer than 10 days to recover after the first day they likely would have tested positive. Some didn't even begin to get sick with it for almost 10 days.
Aren't many people who are having to be hospitalized there for longer than 10 days?
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 7:01 pm
Posted on 5/14/20 at 6:58 pm to hubreb
quote:
my 2% number may be completely wrong.
It is completely wrong.
quote:
but the other data isn't
It's also probably completely wrong. Active cases in the US are probably somewhere around 350,000.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 7:06 pm to hubreb
quote:
21 day recovery method it is 440k active
I would guess that's closer to the accurate count, maybe a bit lower.
I think hospitalization numbers are higher than your 2% based on 10 days because a lot of people getting this seriously enough for the hospital are there for 2-3 weeks.
This post was edited on 5/14/20 at 7:09 pm
Posted on 5/14/20 at 7:16 pm to wm72
quote:
I think hospitalization numbers are higher than your 2% based on 10 days because a lot of people getting this seriously enough for the hospital are there for 2-3 weeks.
Agree...the 10 day is from the CDC guidance...in original post...TN and LA use 21 day..I've been running this for weeks using 21 and found the CDC deal today
Only guy I know who had it was on ventilator for 19 days, nearly died... however, when they took him off he was negative for Cov 19..still in horrible shape two weeks after coming off vent, but should survive...guys like that are super small percentage
Posted on 5/14/20 at 7:23 pm to wm72
quote:
Correct me if I'm wrong but I thought the 10 days you use is the upper length of the guideline to begin to "show symptoms" and not the total recovery time?
A lot of people I've known who had this and recovered took much longer than 10 days to recover after the first day they likely would have tested positive. Some didn't even begin to get sick with it for almost 10 days.
Aren't many people who are having to be hospitalized there for longer than 10 days?
I'm pretty the CDC guidelines say to stay home for 3 days without symptoms AND at least 10 days from the first symptom.
So if your symptoms are done on day 5, you still need to wait out the 10 days.
If your symptoms are gone on day 9, stay home 3 more days.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 8:04 pm to Antonio Moss
quote:
The hospitalization rate is higher than that. There were 1,193 people hospitalized with COVID in Louisiana today.
Just out of curiosity, do you have access to St. Tammany data. As of today, the number in West St. Tammany was 9 according to the evening news.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 8:08 pm to notbilly
What about those who are asymptomatic? You know, never had any symptoms. That makes up a large majority of those who tested positive.
Posted on 5/14/20 at 8:42 pm to RealityTiger
quote:
What about those who are asymptomatic? You know, never had any symptoms. That makes up a large majority of those who tested positive.
CDC link in op says 10 days quarantine
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