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re: So Brees is the NFL leader in yards, TDs, comp%; is 13-3, yet isnt the MVP?

Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:10 am to
Posted by SLTiger29
Galliano, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
734 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:10 am to
quote:

Do you want the player A who accounted for 48 TDs or player B who accounted for 47 TDs? A or B?


What about when player C replaces player A and accounts for more TDs and yards in a game than player A has done in the four years he's been starting?

When we are talking about whose most "valuable", then, yeah, I'm going with player B-rees.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112610 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:10 am to
quote:

I never choose players based solely on one stat.
it was meant for sltiger29.
Posted by STERLING
Member since Sep 2009
721 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:11 am to
quote:

I can provide you some calculative links if you need them.

Please do.
Posted by SLTiger29
Galliano, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
734 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:12 am to
quote:

it was meant for sltiger29


I don't either.
Posted by Breesus
House of the Rising Sun
Member since Jan 2010
69413 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:12 am to
quote:

What about when player C replaces player A and accounts for more TDs and yards in a game than player A has done in the four years he's been starting?


Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112610 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:12 am to
quote:

What about when player C replaces player A and accounts for more TDs and yards in a game than player A has done in the four years he's been starting?
oh now there's a qualifier?

What happened to taking 46 over 45?



It completely changed suddenly to now taking 47 over48, odd
Posted by SLTiger29
Galliano, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
734 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:14 am to
quote:

oh now there's a qualifier?


Sorry I didn't follow the Saints talk board arguing rulebook.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112610 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:15 am to
Did you not say you'd take the guy with more TDs once less TDs?
Posted by jdrumdog
baton rouge, la
Member since Jan 2010
7655 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:16 am to
LINK

I stuck with very very basic stuff. Go read about percentages and how they relate probabilities. You're going to need some info besides personal Aaron Rodgers stats if that's all you're going to use. You're going to need:

some average ratings for int/TDs thrown in an NFL game for the past 20 or so years

Aaron's personal probability numbers for such an outing.

Weather percentage probabilities, int/TD ratios for inclement weather.

Home probability turnover ratios.

That's just for starters.


I'll wait until you can at least safely predict how many TDs/int Aaron Rodgers would've thrown today based upon a real numbers argument.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60671 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:17 am to
quote:

No, I got the point. The point you were making was that if Brees had two options at TE like Brady does then Graham wouldn't have had the record, which was wrong, and


Then you didn't get the point,

the point is 1 less good player, its less likely he will break an individual record but that doesn't mean the QB is better or worse. The all time record for TE's is nice, but doesn't tell you anything other than the TE that set it is used in the passing game more and is a good receiver. When you have QB's throwing for all time record yards and they use TE's a lot, its not surprising the TE's set records in years with QB's setting records. The record Graham broke was Kellen Winslow's he set it in 1980, when Dan Fouts set the single season passing record. In the case of NE, outside of Welker their WR are pretty bad, so they throw to the TE's a lot as they are the #2 and #3 rec for them, that's extremely unusual. Sorry i wasn't keeping up with NE's rec stats, but since I'm not a fan of them idgaf who their leading rec is.

quote:

The greater point you were making was that Jimmy Graham breaking a receiving yards record has nothing to do with who was passing him the football, which was stupid.


Wrong again. Actually its the opposite, having WR or TE set records does not necessarily tell you anything about the season or value of the QB tht year. The single season record for Rec yards is held by Jerry Rice, the QB was Steve Young. #2 (set the same year) is Issac Bruce, the QB(s) throwing him the ball were Chris Miller and Mark Rypien. By contrast no Saints WR in 2011 had even 1000 yds. Setting receiving records does not tell you anything about the QB so using Graham setting a record is not something to use to boost Brees MVP candidacy any more that not having any 1 guy set a positional record hurts Rodgers. That's the important point.
Posted by SLTiger29
Galliano, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
734 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:17 am to
quote:

What happened to taking 46 over 45?


You just don't understand what the frick we're talking about. We're talking about the Most Valuable Player in the NFL. Peyton Manning has more of those awards than anyone else in history. Want to know why? Look at his team with him last year and without him this year.

Drew Brees' team without him is nothing. Not .500, not six wins, probably not even two wins. I have serious doubts as to whether or not anyone affiliated with the Saints organization outside of Jim Henderson and Jon Vilma would even know what to do when they went to work without Brees as QB.

And a backup making his second NFL start just put up the greatest passing game in the history of the Green Bay Packers. You please tell me which QB is worth more to his organization.
Posted by jdrumdog
baton rouge, la
Member since Jan 2010
7655 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:18 am to
quote:

oh now there's a qualifier?


damn that word "valuable". Gets in the way every time.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112610 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:19 am to
Do I want more touchdown passes instead of less touchdown passes? Yes, I do.



That was the quote.but now it's suddenly changed.


Now you're saying you don't wasn't the guy with more TDs.
Posted by SLTiger29
Galliano, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
734 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:20 am to
OK. Now I understand. Brees making his teammates better players has absolutely nothing to do with his value to his team.

Got ya.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112610 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:21 am to
quote:

damn that word "valuable". Gets in the way every time.
I'm just trying to understand why he said 2 completely different things, is all
Posted by Breesus
House of the Rising Sun
Member since Jan 2010
69413 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:21 am to
quote:

Peyton Manning has more of those awards than anyone else...look at his team last year and without him this year...And a backup making his second NFL start just put up the greatest passing game in the history of the Green Bay Packers. You please tell me which QB is worth more to his organization.


Posted by SLTiger29
Galliano, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2011
734 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:22 am to
Yeah, you asked me about whatever bullshite average or Td per attempts or whatever the frick stupid back pocket stat you were trying to use to jack Rodgers off, and I was trying to simplify it for you.
Posted by Breesus
House of the Rising Sun
Member since Jan 2010
69413 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:22 am to
quote:

Do I want more touchdown passes instead of less touchdown passes? Yes, I do.



That was the quote.but now it's suddenly changed.


Now you're saying you don't wasn't the guy with more TDs.


There is a differnce between wanting more touchdown passes than less touchdown passes and choosing a QB based solely on that stat numbnuts..
Posted by jdrumdog
baton rouge, la
Member since Jan 2010
7655 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:23 am to
quote:

You just don't understand what the frick we're talking about. We're talking about the Most Valuable Player in the NFL. Peyton Manning has more of those awards than anyone else in history. Want to know why? Look at his team with him last year and without him this year.


Remember what happened when Shaun Alexander left Seattle?

Something else I don't understand......why can there not be a co-mvp argument? Both are deserving, I just feel personally that Brees deserves it more for the ridiculous records he's broken and the pack he's currently leading (that's a pun, btw).
Posted by jdrumdog
baton rouge, la
Member since Jan 2010
7655 posts
Posted on 1/2/12 at 12:24 am to
quote:

I'm just trying to understand why he said 2 completely different things, is all


pretty sure we all know that's bullshite.
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