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ESPN FPI: Baltimore 60% chance to win

Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:27 am
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115787 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:27 am
Discuss.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
89898 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:31 am to
Think it's a little high, maybe 54%. Home team usually gets a 3 point push. Over/Under should be an interesting bet.
Posted by Garden of Asik
Slidell
Member since Jun 2017
426 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:42 am to
What’s Drew’s record against Baltimore, in road games and in outdoor games?

I believe in this team, but 40% chance to win is about right.
Posted by liquid rabbit
Boxtard BPB®© emeritus
Member since Mar 2006
60265 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:42 am to
were gonna get blown out
Posted by swagsurfin7
Founder of the Alex Morgan Fan Club
Member since Dec 2009
6993 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:46 am to
quote:

were gonna get blown out





ISWYDT...

I like it
Posted by NamariTiger
Flower Mound, Texas
Member since Jun 2014
17746 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 8:55 am to
Posted by 3HourTour
A whiskey barrel
Member since Mar 2006
21223 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:05 am to
We honestly should just forfeit. Get two weeks off before the gauntlet. Losing an AFC game is no big deal. Beating the Rams, Vikings, Eagles, etc. is much more important.
Posted by A Menace to Sobriety
Member since Jun 2018
29066 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:05 am to
Too high, but Baltimore has a great defense and are at home so I'm not surprised they are favorites.
Posted by WhiskeyPlease
Member since Sep 2018
1959 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:08 am to
"Never tell me the odds!!"
-Solo,Captain
Posted by Loaner1231
Member since Jan 2016
3903 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:19 am to
quote:

We honestly should just forfeit. Get two weeks off before the gauntlet. Losing an AFC game is no big deal. Beating the Rams, Vikings, Eagles, etc. is much more important.


Take the extra time off to get PP familiar with the defense.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64338 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:31 am to
How correct is this so far this year?
Posted by VA LSU fan
Virginia
Member since Dec 2007
7891 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:39 am to
Baltimore is a good team but with our offensive line and run game the Saints should be able to score the 27 points I think it will take to win.

Baltimore’s offense is pretty average.

The Saints just beat a team that is very much like the Ravens in the Redskins. Good defense, average qb, we, and running game with a offensive decent line.

Ravens have a slightly better pass rush but I feel are a little weaker up the middle than the Redskins.

Saints 27 - Ravens 17

Posted by JS87
Member since Aug 2010
16659 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 9:45 am to
Not sure what's the reason the Saints never match up well with the Ravens.

We've played against other teams with tough defenses over the years and have beaten them, but not Baltimore.

John Harbaugh just has Paytons number.
Posted by Mike Honcho
North Dallas
Member since Oct 2007
2919 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 10:22 am to
quote:

Ravens have a slightly better pass rush but I feel are a little weaker up the middle than the Redskins.


There is no team in the NFL that is better at screen then the Saints. We have arguably the best Oline in the league and if they blitz Brees is the best in the business at getting it to Ingram or Kamara in space.
Posted by Starchild
Member since May 2010
13550 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 11:32 am to
quote:

We honestly should just forfeit. Get two weeks off before the gauntlet. Losing an AFC game is no big deal. Beating the Rams, Vikings, Eagles, etc. is much more important


Why not just beat em all?
Posted by ctalati32
Member since Sep 2007
4060 posts
Posted on 10/16/18 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

What’s Drew’s record against Baltimore, in road games and in outdoor games?


Drew has never beaten Baltimore. Actually if we win this game, Drew will have finally beaten every team in the league.
Posted by philly444
stuck in contraflow
Member since Nov 2008
11355 posts
Posted on 10/17/18 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Baltimore is a good team but with our offensive line and run game the Saints should be able to score the 27 points I think it will take to win.


Yep. If this were the Saints teams of old then I would be expecting a loss in this game, but this team has an exceptional running game to lean on that helps immensely against teams like the Ravens on the road.

This reminds me of one of those games where we will have a hard time giving Brees enough time in the pocket, but if we successfully run the ball then that won't be an issue.
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