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re: McNamara trade ideas article

Posted on 12/14/19 at 6:53 pm to
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17834 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 6:53 pm to
Right, but the question is: would be better off running our offense the right way starting now? Would that help our other players develop?

I'm watching Patty Mills on TV right now against the Suns, and I'm really liking the idea of trading for him. Mills is 31, and the Spurs need to rebuild around younger players, so you've got to think that he'll be available. Mills is under contract this year and next. He's extolled for his leadership and his ability to mentor younger players, and we really need another veteran who can be vocal with the younger guys. He's under contract for $12 million this year and $13 next, so we can certainly handle that.

[Mills shoots winning shot as I type this.]
Posted by Macintosh504
Leveraging Salaries University
Member since Sep 2011
52603 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 6:59 pm to
Why would the spurs want Lonzo?
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61482 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 7:03 pm to
He hasn't looked good to us, but there were quite a few experts around the league who felt Lonzo, not Ingram, had the most potential of the players the Pels got back.

The general sentiment was "if he could learn to shoot he'd be an All Star". Well he's improved his 3 point shot some so the people who believed in him before should still believe in him. Maybe you get a 3 way deal going for a player you want like Mills.
This post was edited on 12/14/19 at 7:04 pm
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17834 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 7:09 pm to
They wouldn't. We can make more than one trade.

I'm just talking about replacing Lonzo with a quality PG. If we get rid of Lonzo, we need another starting quality guard.
Posted by Sharp85
Member since Jan 2019
846 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 7:29 pm to
Are we going to give Favors a contract after this year?
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17834 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

Are we going to give Favors a contract after this year?



I don't know. And I don't know if he would take it or go elsewhere.

I think that depends on:

1) The development of Jaxson Hayes. Since the preseason, Jaxson has already made great progress. How much more can he make before the trade deadline, and is that enough for the front office to decide that what we can get for Favors is worth it?

2) How much time does Zion spend playing center, and how do we look when he does that?

Personally, I can imagine Favors getting traded. I made a thread last week on that, but I was wrong in thinking that Favors could get traded soon. If it happens, I don't think it happens until right before the trade deadline, as Griffin will want to use all the time that he can to see what our future looks like with Jaxson and Zion playing center.
Posted by Sharp85
Member since Jan 2019
846 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 8:43 pm to
I dont think Hayes will be ready to be a everyday starter for a couple more years. Hes still so very raw. Usually year three is when players start making their big stride like Ingram is doing this year.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61482 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 8:52 pm to
I agree, Jaxson won’t be ready for that responsibility as early as next year. You also really take a step back in depth if you don’t keep Favors and Jaxson is super cheap right now.

Unless they trade him for another center like Myles Turner I’d expect them to try and resign Favors. If he gets a 4 year offer on the market he might be gone, but 2/$40 seems like something the Pels could be happy with.
Posted by Sharp85
Member since Jan 2019
846 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 9:11 pm to
I think 2/40 would be a great deal for Pels. Keeps your flexibility for future and gives you one of the best rim protectors in his prime. Im all for keeping him unless a great un expected player likr Turner becomes avalible to us.
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 9:18 pm to
Yeah if you get him ata round that salary it is sort of a no brainer.

Much like Reddick it’s basically house money unless he has a catastrophic injury, as he, unlike awful reaches like Solomon Hill or overpays like Gordon, is going to be a positive asset. So if Jaxson develops quicker than expected, the fit with Zion isn’t ideal, or minutes decrease, you should be able to move Favors and get equal value.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17834 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 9:43 pm to
Y'all make good points about why we should keep Favors, but also bring up why we might not. I should've added a third question:

3) How well does Favors fit with Zion? In the preseason, it looked like Favors mostly just got in Zion's way. If Zion isn't going to play the 5, then someone like Turner who can shoot 3s might be a much better fit, by clearing the lane and giving Zion an easier path to dunks.

I really want to see how the Zion+Favors combo works at the offensive end, compared to things like Zion+Kenrich or Zion+Melli. That's another reason that, if we end up trading Favors, it wouldn't be until right before the trade deadline.

That's the terrible thing about Zion's injury -- not only have we lost all these games, but we haven't had the opportunity to see how well our pieces fit together.
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 10:10 pm to
That’s a fair point as well.

As I’ll keep saying it forever, either Zion gets a jumper or his five does.

As much as I like Jaxson individually, it is likely that he and Zion will not be the ideal duo long term unless one or the other manages to develop one. As they run into the same problem he and Favors do. Which isn’t to say they can’t be really good, but you ideally really don’t want two non-shooting big men playing large minutes together in the modern NBA. And if Zions ideal role is in the interior, having a guy that can draw defenders to the three, play in the pick and pop game, and then get back and cover the rim on defense, you want a guy like Turner, Horford, or Porzingas next to him in between him playing the five.
Posted by NOSHAU
Member since Feb 2012
11894 posts
Posted on 12/14/19 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

He hasn't looked good to us, but there were quite a few experts around the league who felt Lonzo, not Ingram, had the most potential of the players the Pels got back.

The general sentiment was "if he could learn to shoot he'd be an All Star". Well he's improved his 3 point shot some so the people who believed in him before should still believe in him. Maybe you get a 3 way deal going for a player you want like Mills.

And if many experts feel that way, it makes you wonder if he is being used correctly here. If you recall. many on this board thought that we should deal Ingram based on the preseason as he "did not fit" this team. I want to see if he improves before dumping him.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61482 posts
Posted on 12/15/19 at 9:36 am to
This post from Bobby Marks highlights just how rare early trades are. You usually don't get the best value with early trades so you need 2 teams desperate for what the other is offering which is rare.

quote:

Bobby Marks @BobbyMarks42 · Dec 13

Breakdown of trades over the past 7 seasons in 2 time frames:

Dec. 15 to Jan. 15

18/19- 3
17/18- 0
16/17- 2
15/16- 2
14/15- 10
13/14- 3
12/13- 0

Jan. 16 to trade deadline

18/19- 23
17/18- 16
16/17- 16
15/16- 11
14/15- 14
13/14-13
12/13- 14
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 12/15/19 at 11:25 am to
quote:

He isn’t playing the style of basketball he needs to play,


improved ft from worst starter in nba 45% to just terrible 60%.

One of these days he'll hit 4 out of 6 3s and 6 out 7 ft. On that day, trade him for a 2 and be glad you dont have to watch him.

Remember, pels did not waste 2nd pick on him or first pick on the dud from Washington.

Actual cost of lonzo is his big salary. He was a throw in, erasing laker magic error.

Hart and ingram are the trade.
This post was edited on 12/15/19 at 11:34 am
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17834 posts
Posted on 12/15/19 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Remember, pels did not waste 2nd pick on him or first pick on the dud from Washington.

Actual cost of lonzo is his big salary. He was a throw in, erasing laker magic error.

Ingram, Hart, NAW, Didi, Hayes, and a whole bunch of draft picks are the trade.


FIFY



You are right that we don't have a big sunk cost in Lonzo, and that we still killed the trade with the Lakers, but Crewz is right that no one should be a prisoner of the sunk cost fallacy anyway. The question is: does the hurt that our team incurs right now from Lonzo justify the potential of developing him into a good piece, as compared to whatever trade value we could get for him? I don't know the answer.
Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6110 posts
Posted on 12/15/19 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

For me it’s all how he fits with Zion. If his passing unlocks Zion and makes the game easier for him, you probably keep him. But I really think long term he’s not a fit as Ingram and Zion will be the ones with the ball down the stretch.


I think the article & pod bring up a very interesting insight to the building of this roster. We have 3 young rookies that need work. We have Frank & Jah without a clear role. What will Lonzo be? etc, etc, etc. we cannot invest our time & energy into every young guy (including future picks). and we need to make many decisions on whether to continue developing player A because you see more potential, or cutting bait and looking in another direction. This is conversation we are currently having with Lonzo, but will end up having about NAW & Hayes soon too.


the problem in this case with Lonzo, is that because of the pedigree of a #2 pick, will we hold on too long and/or will HE accept a role that doesn't line up with his reality as a former #2?


so the question that must be answered is "at what point do you continue to invest? and at what point do you cut your losses?" those decisions are critical in a long line of upcoming critical decisions
This post was edited on 12/15/19 at 2:05 pm
Posted by CocoLoco
Member since Jan 2012
29108 posts
Posted on 12/15/19 at 2:07 pm to
Jaxson has really good shot mechanics, it’s more likely than not that he develops a shot
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61482 posts
Posted on 12/15/19 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

we need to make many decisions on whether to continue developing player A because you see more potential, or cutting bait and looking in another direction.


Jaxson is a real wild card. Does he make Myles Turner the perfect compliment to himself and Zion, or is he going to be so good that he makes Myles Turner overkill and a waste of assets to acquire?
This post was edited on 12/15/19 at 2:19 pm
Posted by DeionDeion
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2010
6110 posts
Posted on 12/15/19 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Jaxson is a real wild card. Does he make Myles Turner the perfect compliment to himself and Zion, or is he going to be so good that he makes Myles Turner overkill and a waste of assets to acquire?


yep I've been thinking the same. if Hayes continues to progress & Indiana is willing to trade you Turner, what do you do?


ideally, you continue to bring vets into Nola in the short term to teach the young guys & help you see what you have in these young players. what makes you pull the trigger on a Turner deal? what makes you stick with Hayes? is there a world where you see keeping both? its an interesting thought exercise
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