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re: BitTorrent Live - A potential ESPN killer?

Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:03 pm to
Posted by buddhavista
Member since Jul 2012
3543 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

because it is cheap for anyone to do it, that doesn't mean it is better quality. Music is art, so someone will always produce it, that's different than sports and even things like movies.

I think you are right with sports, but movies and tv encourages a boot strap mentality. I have funded quite a few indie movies for my friends, and in general like the results.

With CGI, what they can do on a limited budget is amazing.

I do think you are looking at this through an incorrect prism.

Think of it this way, if I am 18 dropped out of high school and don't have a job. if I don't have a job is it my fault for having no skills or yours for not hiring me? Obviously its my fault. Business is the same way. They don't deserve our $$, they have to earn it. And ESPN, for me at least, is not earning it.
Posted by buddhavista
Member since Jul 2012
3543 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

how, if none of you ware willing to pay for it


I would pay for it, that is the thing.

I would have snapped up spotify 10 years ago. I wanted it and it annoyed the shite out of me it didn't exist. But now, I am pretty much hooked on pirating. And I know I am not alone in this.

ESPN, and HBO too, need to get out ahead of this or face the economic consequences.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60998 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

and there will always be a business for broadcasting sports. I don't think anyone has alleged otherwise.


i don''t think you are alleging it, just ignoring it.

You still have to have someway for this stuff to get to you and your devises. so its the internet, great, you have to pay for that service, then $20/mnt for ESPN, Whatever for what ever other stuff you want to watch. In the end I think for most people that would cost the same or more than just paying for cable, that's why I don't think stuff will go away anytime soon.
Posted by buddhavista
Member since Jul 2012
3543 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

In the end I think for most people that would cost the same or more than just paying for cable, that's why I don't think stuff will go away anytime soon.

I actually think it will be cheaper. Bundling is a scam, and almost always benefits the seller at the cost of the purchaser. I used to be a product manager, and we would bundle our products to drag the low selling ones and raise our ASP. Customers in general hated it. of course that was B2B but I think the economics hold.

they have an a la carte cable model in canada. I don't hear about that being a problem, and canadians have lower monthly bills.

You can buy streaming ESPN sports in europe. that obviously is not causing them major headaches, as they continue to support it. If you talk to europeans, they are always astonished at our cost for telco and entertrainment. They just don't get it.

I do, its a gov't mandated monopoly (or duopoly) in many instances. And monopolies always rape their customers.

I would love for them to crack this problem b.c its probably the #4 problem in my life. #1 is my boss is a fricking jackass and a half. #2 is all my friends are breeding and have very little free time to do stuff.

Of course that speaks to how awesome my life, more than anything else.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60998 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

ESPN, and HBO too, need to get out ahead of this or face the economic consequences.


I get what you are saying, but my point is they may not be offering it to you because it is not economicaly viable for them.

Take HBO, most on here object to paying, whatever, $60-80 a month for cable and then another $15 or so for HBO. But how does HBO get to you? Internet? You have to pay for that, so is that cheaper in the end to pay for internet service and then $10-15 for HBO?

As far as their original programing, it take a lot up front to make those shows, it would be very risky to do that to just sell that show if people just pay for the show. something like GOT which has an audience from the books, but something like the Sopranos is different, they have to build an audience and broadcasting it like they do is probably the cheapest way to do that. Now you are right, tech will bring production costs down, so I'm not saying it can't happen, just that it has to before we get to the total a la carte world, not just a la carte channels but a la carte shows.
This post was edited on 1/8/13 at 6:28 pm
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60998 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

I do, its a gov't mandated monopoly


now we are getting somewhere. gov't regulations is usually a HUGE problem.

The only problem i have with using examples from Canada and Europe is are they being subsidied by tax payers? That i don't know.

I'm fine with Al a carte for cable stuff, i'm just not sure it will be as much cheaper as people think.

I want options beyond just sports, for nights like last night, when i had no interest in the major sporting event
Posted by buddhavista
Member since Jul 2012
3543 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

I get what you are saying, but my point is they may not be offering it to you because it is not economicaly viable for them.


well I think HBO and ESPN are slightly different use cases. I do agree with you to a certain extent.

I feel confident that HBO and ESPN have run the numbers, and have decided not to offer this. They have people whose job it is to figure this out, and chances are they know the economics better than I do.

At the same time, I would also bet there was a finance person at blockbuster saying late fees were their cash generator and not to lower them. But to get stricter. What they failed to see is how the market was going to change. And blockbuster was crushed b.c everyone hated them, and were eager for a new service. While ESPN will unlikely face the same fate, if they don't get out ahead of these things....they will see their revenues eroded over time, especially as people seek alternatives. This is just my opinion tho, and who knows what actually happens.
quote:

As far as their original programing, it take a lot up front to make those shows, it would be very risky to do that to just sell that show if people just pay for the show. something like GOT which has an audience from the books, but something like the Sopranos is different, they have to build an audience and broadcasting it like they do is probably the cheapest way to do that. Now you are right, tech will bring production costs down, so I'm not saying it can't happen, just that it has to before we get to the total a la carte world.

TV shows are different than sports though, I can always watch on netflix at a later date or buy the DVD. And I would guess that HBO has made the right decision on GoT, despite what reddit says.

Posted by buddhavista
Member since Jul 2012
3543 posts
Posted on 1/8/13 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

The only problem i have with using examples from Canada and Europe is are they being subsidied by tax payers? That i don't know.


well for ESPN streaming, I certainly doubt it. No clue for canada.
quote:

I'm fine with Al a carte for cable stuff, i'm just not sure it will be as much cheaper as people think.


Its a complex equation, especially as many people have it set in their mind they are going to drop $100 a month of tv.

quote:

I want options beyond just sports, for nights like last night, when i had no interest in the major sporting event


I am with you on that one. But I think that is where streaming comes in. Wouldn't you rather watch what you want to watch as opposed to what is broadcast? You might not, but the youngins sure as hell do.
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