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re: Why miss the last free throw on purpose?
Posted on 4/6/10 at 3:11 pm to yaherrdme
Posted on 4/6/10 at 3:11 pm to yaherrdme
quote:
is quite obvious they had a play called for a "miss" and it worked quite well
They had a play and it worked. But they lost a couple of seconds getting the ball and dribbling. The best they could do was a half court shot. Duke was obviously worried they could get the ball to someone near the 3 point line with the clock stopped and an inbounds pass.
Posted on 4/6/10 at 3:15 pm to lsumatt
In the end I think:
1) If He makes the FT, Butler has a 20% chance (less than the usual 30% under ideal conditions) of making a shot right behind the arc via an inbound pass. Then they have a 50/50 shot of winning in OT. 10% overall.
2) If he misses, a prayer from half court, off balance, and running has at best a 10% shot.
It almost seems like any chance you give them to make a 3 from an inbounds pass is about twice as likely as a prayer from half court, so it is a wash. I would have made the free throw though.
1) If He makes the FT, Butler has a 20% chance (less than the usual 30% under ideal conditions) of making a shot right behind the arc via an inbound pass. Then they have a 50/50 shot of winning in OT. 10% overall.
2) If he misses, a prayer from half court, off balance, and running has at best a 10% shot.
It almost seems like any chance you give them to make a 3 from an inbounds pass is about twice as likely as a prayer from half court, so it is a wash. I would have made the free throw though.
This post was edited on 4/6/10 at 3:17 pm
Posted on 4/6/10 at 3:34 pm to molsusports
quote:
Sophandros
quote:
I think you've distracted yourself with a point no one is arguing
Basically, he likes the sound of his own voice.
Posted on 4/6/10 at 4:23 pm to lsumatt
I like the intentional miss and think they played it right.
One guy stayed on the line to make them fight for the rebound.
Seemed like Butler should have had 3 in the paint and have an outlet guy ready to take it up the floor off a rebound.
One guy stayed on the line to make them fight for the rebound.
Seemed like Butler should have had 3 in the paint and have an outlet guy ready to take it up the floor off a rebound.
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