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re: Why miss the last free throw on purpose?

Posted on 4/5/10 at 10:53 pm to
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70555 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 10:53 pm to
yeah I guess there was a little too much time left. You miss on purpose when there is about 1 second left, then the other team has no chance.
Posted by fouldeliverer
Lannisport
Member since Nov 2008
13538 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 10:54 pm to
Seems so odd. I'm looking forward to hearing Coach K's explanation, after all he's not Les Miles...He knows what he's doing, which makes it all the more strange.
Posted by KCBasketball
Member since Dec 2008
3629 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

Seems so odd. I'm looking forward to hearing Coach K's explanation,


You really dont know what he is going to say? Really?

Well if he makes we foul and leave 1.8 seconds on the clock for them to inbound it at half time and get a chance at a close 3. With this, there is no way they get past half court. Ill take my chances at a half court shot.

K thanks bye.
Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

You really dont know what he is going to say? Really?

Well if he makes we foul and leave 1.8 seconds on the clock for them to inbound it at half time and get a chance at a close 3. With this, there is no way they get past half court. Ill take my chances at a half court shot.

K thanks bye.


i would reply with,"are you drunk?"
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
64535 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 11:08 pm to
They should make the free throw and at the very worst, go to overtime. They gave Butler a chance to beat them in regulation.

Just try to make the free throw. You might miss the free throw anyway. But I'd rather be up by 3 with 3.5 seconds left and let them inbound it with my defense at halfcourt, than be up by 2 and they have a chance for a fluke shot to win.

If you are up by only 1 at that point, then you miss the free throw on purpose, because there is no different that 1 or 2 points on a halfcourt heave.
Posted by fouldeliverer
Lannisport
Member since Nov 2008
13538 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

Well if he makes we foul and leave 1.8 seconds on the clock for them to inbound it at half time and get a chance at a close 3. With this, there is no way they get past half court. Ill take my chances at a half court shot
I hope you are drunk and not simply incredibly stupid.
Posted by geauxtigers2
Lawrence, Kansas
Member since Jul 2007
4822 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 11:11 pm to
quote:

then the other team has no chance.
Obviously that didn't work out, because Butler was given a clean look at winning the game.
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
21954 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 11:12 pm to
The correct thing to do in that situation is make the free throw to go up by 3, then foul.
Posted by BrockLanders
By Appointment Only
Member since Sep 2008
6517 posts
Posted on 4/5/10 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

just rewatched and he DEFINITELY missed on purpose.


Generally there is a scramble for the ball, which gives the other team even less time to get a decent shot off.

With 3 seconds left, it wasn't an awful strategy.
This post was edited on 4/5/10 at 11:14 pm
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
62024 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 6:13 am to
It was a bad decision by Coach K, but like he said in his press conference, "What the hell, it worked."
Posted by Sophandros
Victoria Concordia Crescit
Member since Feb 2005
45219 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 6:48 am to
What's more likely to succeed: a half courrt (or farther) heave or a long pass to get a layup off of essentially a set piece? I agree with Coach K that the latter is more likely to succeed, thus missing the free throw was the correct decision. Don't have the numbers in front of me but a 2pt shot is usually converted at a higher rate than a half court heave.
Posted by Bullethead88
Half way between LSU and Tulane
Member since Dec 2009
4202 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 7:26 am to
quote:

What's more likely to succeed: a half courrt (or farther) heave or a long pass to get a layup off of essentially a set piece?

Well that was not the situation. If Zoubek makes the 2nd free throw, then Duke goes up 3 and a layup will do Butler no good.
quote:

I agree with Coach K that the latter is more likely to succeed, thus missing the free throw was the correct decision.

The latter was never an option. So no, missing the free throw was not the right decision.
quote:

Don't have the numbers in front of me but a 2pt shot is usually converted at a higher rate than a half court heave.

Correct, but once again, irrelevent.
Posted by Sophandros
Victoria Concordia Crescit
Member since Feb 2005
45219 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 7:42 am to
My bad. Replace 2 pt shot with 3 pointer out of a set play. The odds are still in Coach K's favor to miss the free throw on purpose because you can rebound it yourself (they had dominated the boards that night), which eliminates the long heave, have time run out prior to a long heave, or have them take a very low % shot. You make it, and you give them a chance at a higher % shot on their terms. % wise, it was the correct decision.
Posted by Rockerbraves
Greatest Nation on Earth
Member since Feb 2007
8015 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 7:48 am to
Kid could have missed the rim? Yikes!
Posted by Bullethead88
Half way between LSU and Tulane
Member since Dec 2009
4202 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 7:50 am to
quote:

The odds are still in Coach K's favor to miss the free throw on purpose because you can rebound it yourself (they had dominated the boards that night),

The rebound margin was like +2 for Duke. They in no way, shape, or form dominated the battle of the boards.
quote:

You make it, and you give them a chance at a higher % shot on their terms. % wise, it was the correct decision.

But you have to factor in the fact that the long heave (which was about a 45 footer) is for the win, not the tie. Plus, if you make the shot, Zoubek can guard the inbound with his 7'1'' frame. And usually teams don't get that great of a shot off in that situation anyway. Duke would have kept them in front and Butler would have probably gotten about a 35 foot contested shot for the tie AT BEST. More likely, Duke would have fouled and Butler would have never even gotten the chance to take a game-tying shot.

It was not the correct decision.

Also, Butler had no timeouts left. So I don't know where you get the idea that they were going to get a shot on their own terms off of a "set piece." Odds are they would have gotten basically the exact same type of shot except it would be for the tie and not the win.
This post was edited on 4/6/10 at 7:57 am
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
64535 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 7:57 am to
quote:

The odds are still in Coach K's favor to miss the free throw on purpose because you can rebound it yourself (they had dominated the boards that night),


They only had one Duke player lined up for a rebound. They weren't trying to rebound the shot. Also, they wouldn't risk fouling on the rebound when only up 2 points.
Posted by Sophandros
Victoria Concordia Crescit
Member since Feb 2005
45219 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 8:05 am to
Again: Which has a better chance of going in, a half court heave amid chaos, or a shot that your team has worked on for that sort of end game situation?

You give them the opportunity to have almost 4 seconds to make a play vs. approx. 1-2 seconds, you greatly increase your chances of winning.

A 60 foot shot has a smaller chance of going in than a 25-30 foot shot does, which makes the decision the correct one, percentage wise.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96856 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 8:06 am to
quote:

My bad. Replace 2 pt shot with 3 pointer out of a set play. The odds are still in Coach K's favor to miss the free throw on purpose because you can rebound it yourself (they had dominated the boards that night), which eliminates the long heave, have time run out prior to a long heave, or have them take a very low % shot. You make it, and you give them a chance at a higher % shot on their terms. % wise, it was the correct decision.


i would say its only slightly higher. and you're leaving out the part that one scenario beats you and the other only ties you.

eta: not to mention if you want them to try for the rebound you seriously risk fouling them on the rebounding opportunity.
This post was edited on 4/6/10 at 8:08 am
Posted by Palm Beach Tiger
Orlando, Florida
Member since Jan 2007
30065 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 8:08 am to
quote:

What's more likely to succeed: a half courrt (or farther) heave or a long pass to get a layup off of essentially a set piece? I agree with Coach K that the latter is more likely to succeed, thus missing the free throw was the correct decision. Don't have the numbers in front of me but a 2pt shot is usually converted at a higher rate than a half court heave.


For the record, If Zoubek makes the Free throw Butler has to go for 3. Other then that, I agree
Posted by Palm Beach Tiger
Orlando, Florida
Member since Jan 2007
30065 posts
Posted on 4/6/10 at 8:09 am to
quote:

eta: not to mention if you want them to try for the rebound you seriously risk fouling them on the rebounding opportunity.



Didn't they only have Zoubek over there?
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