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Started By
Message
re: The Unofficial 2018 Non-GS Tennis Thread
Posted on 8/8/18 at 12:57 pm to bayoucracka
Posted on 8/8/18 at 12:57 pm to bayoucracka
quote:
Association of
Tennis
Precipitation
0
Posted on 8/8/18 at 4:10 pm to Kingpenm3
quote:
Tiafoe-Raonic coming up. Pretty good odds (+275) for Tiafoe as a #41 v #29.
I tossed Raonic in a parlay with Djoke and Alex when he was at -290 (and djoke was at -1200....I think he closed at -1900. and alex was at -900 (not sure where that closed, but definitely a larger number than 900)). Anyway, I'm generally the guy warning peeps to stay away from tennis parlays at all costs, and yet I was pretty pleased with the value I got on that one. Risked 105 to win 65.
And then Dogtrash drops the first set. FML.
Teetsy was free money just sitting right there on the table, and I didn't grab it. I'm always a little more gun shy on guys who are in my fantasy lineup because I feel like I'm double dipping with them or something. This is of course a ridiculous way of looking at it. We all pay $150 entry fee for a year long fantasy tennis season; it really isn't a big deal if I don't win the league.
I'm gonna go punch myself in the face like teetsy.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 4:16 pm to MidnightVibe
tits up a set on thiem for the right to face djoker tmrw
Posted on 8/8/18 at 4:18 pm to bayoucracka
quote:
Not anymore...
Association of
Tennis
Precipitatio
I live in DC*, and it has been the most miserable summer weather-wise that i have ever been a part of, and by a comfortable comfortable margin. I mean, DC is actually a swamp, but this has been the swampiest I've ever know it to be. It's like gotten into some focking Brazilian Rain-forest level swampy. And I do not love it. At all.
Fellow East-coasters: has this been your experience as well?
is it not miserably swampy when you start to get a a bit farther inland?
I'd trade Sin City weather for this every day of the week, bayou. I'm jealous of your lack of exposure to oppressive humidity levels.
*Well, Arlington. So like a mile away from the river. Close enough.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 4:19 pm to MidnightVibe
Posted on 8/8/18 at 6:52 pm to MidnightVibe
tits beats thiem
Posted on 8/8/18 at 7:10 pm to The Egg
In K-zoo with a bunch of entitled juniors running around town. Who is going to qualify for the U.S. Open?
Posted on 8/8/18 at 7:23 pm to bayoucracka
Cincy was a disaster with rain and injuries last year. These Masters series events get you up close, but they become a mess with no buffer days for rain and guys pulling out over any muscle pull.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 7:46 pm to The Egg
Rafa pounding this Brooklyn hipster.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 9:57 pm to Bunk Moreland
STAN THE MAN!
Posted on 8/8/18 at 11:32 pm to bayoucracka
quote:
I’m on Fucsovics over Stan at even money.
My other play today was on Stan, but not for as much as I had on the parlay.
Rough gambling day for both of us. It happens.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 11:49 pm to Bunk Moreland
quote:
Cincy was a disaster with rain and injuries last year. These Masters series events get you up close, but they become a mess with no buffer days for rain and guys pulling out over any muscle pull.
It does seem a little too tight.*
*that's definitely not what he said
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:19 am to MidnightVibe
I broke even, so it’s cool. I was able to hit Stan at +250 in the 2nd set when I saw that the crowd was 100% behind him. Screenshot since it sounds like bullshite...
I do this pretty often. It’s probably a bad move long term, but sometimes you don’t feel it.
I do this pretty often. It’s probably a bad move long term, but sometimes you don’t feel it.
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:24 am to MidnightVibe
MV's Remaining Draw Analysis:
Bunk wasn't kidding, eh?. We're already into the round of 16, buddy. Definitely feels super condensed to me, guy.
Top Quadrant:
TGGRN will handle Stan with relative ease. Cilic will have a tougher go of it against Diego, but I think he'll take it in three. Cilic v. Rafa will be interesting. I'd probably have to lean Rafa on current form, though, in fairness, the sample size is limited.
Bottom of Top Half Quadrant:
This is the weakest of the four quadrants from a player quality standpoint. I"ll take Shapo over Haase. I never have any idea who wins the tennis matches involving Isner, and so your guess is as good as mine. The purebred servebot has been having a better go of it these last few months than tennis deserves.
So, yeah, for the sake of tennis, I hope Shapo comes out of this quadrant, but I wont' be shocked if it's Isner.
The Top of the Bottom Half Quadrant:
So when is Kevin Anderson going to get the memo that he isn't particularly good at tennis? Seriously, what's going on? Is there a printer jam or something? Are we fresh out of toner? Well shite, in the absence of said memo, I feel like he'll advance to the next line.
I have absolutely no read on Tiafoe. You might even say I have like a negative read on him. He's on my fantasy team, and every time I've put him into the starting lineup, the fricking dude takes a first round L. So I sit him on my bench, and then he focking beats the guy that I have starting in his place. And then on top of that, he focking ruins my parlay. So, I dunno. I would lean Frankie T over Playboy Grigs, but this is not an opinion you wanna put a substantial stake on.
I'm going to go with the faint-hearted prediction of KA into the semis. Can somebody get him that memo? Seriously, Kinkos is open 24/7.
Bottom quadrant:
I've made known that I'm bullish on the teetsy fly, but Novak is gonna be a bit too big of an ask for the fiery yet poised youngster with the great face-punching form.
Novak will play Alex, of course in the next round, This is your de facto final This is the summer of Alex, so I'm going with Alex, who will then work over KA and play probably TGGRN in the final. Or maybe not. I mean, I realize I don't really know what the fock I'm talking about. and so this is merely the best guess of a man who doesn't know what the fock he's talking about.
I actually wouldn't mind seeing Rafa and Novak play on a hard court right now. We're in a different city for this one, but their final in the 2013 version of this event is one of my super-sleeper favorite matches of all time. No BS. That match was two guys at the peak of their powers playing some of the cleanest tennis that can be played.
ETA: It was actually the semifinal. Here is the third set breaker.
Bunk wasn't kidding, eh?. We're already into the round of 16, buddy. Definitely feels super condensed to me, guy.
Top Quadrant:
TGGRN will handle Stan with relative ease. Cilic will have a tougher go of it against Diego, but I think he'll take it in three. Cilic v. Rafa will be interesting. I'd probably have to lean Rafa on current form, though, in fairness, the sample size is limited.
Bottom of Top Half Quadrant:
This is the weakest of the four quadrants from a player quality standpoint. I"ll take Shapo over Haase. I never have any idea who wins the tennis matches involving Isner, and so your guess is as good as mine. The purebred servebot has been having a better go of it these last few months than tennis deserves.
So, yeah, for the sake of tennis, I hope Shapo comes out of this quadrant, but I wont' be shocked if it's Isner.
The Top of the Bottom Half Quadrant:
So when is Kevin Anderson going to get the memo that he isn't particularly good at tennis? Seriously, what's going on? Is there a printer jam or something? Are we fresh out of toner? Well shite, in the absence of said memo, I feel like he'll advance to the next line.
I have absolutely no read on Tiafoe. You might even say I have like a negative read on him. He's on my fantasy team, and every time I've put him into the starting lineup, the fricking dude takes a first round L. So I sit him on my bench, and then he focking beats the guy that I have starting in his place. And then on top of that, he focking ruins my parlay. So, I dunno. I would lean Frankie T over Playboy Grigs, but this is not an opinion you wanna put a substantial stake on.
I'm going to go with the faint-hearted prediction of KA into the semis. Can somebody get him that memo? Seriously, Kinkos is open 24/7.
Bottom quadrant:
I've made known that I'm bullish on the teetsy fly, but Novak is gonna be a bit too big of an ask for the fiery yet poised youngster with the great face-punching form.
Novak will play Alex, of course in the next round, This is your de facto final This is the summer of Alex, so I'm going with Alex, who will then work over KA and play probably TGGRN in the final. Or maybe not. I mean, I realize I don't really know what the fock I'm talking about. and so this is merely the best guess of a man who doesn't know what the fock he's talking about.
I actually wouldn't mind seeing Rafa and Novak play on a hard court right now. We're in a different city for this one, but their final in the 2013 version of this event is one of my super-sleeper favorite matches of all time. No BS. That match was two guys at the peak of their powers playing some of the cleanest tennis that can be played.
ETA: It was actually the semifinal. Here is the third set breaker.
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:25 am to bayoucracka
quote:
I broke even, so it’s cool. I was able to hit Stan at +250 in the 2nd set when I saw that the crowd was 100% behind him. Screenshot since it sounds like bullshite...
What site do you use?
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:29 am to MidnightVibe
quote:
I'd trade Sin City weather for this every day of the week, bayou. I'm jealous of your lack of exposure to oppressive humidity levels
I grew up in south Louisiana, so rain and humidity was my life for 26 years. It’s probably what I miss the least.
Although when it’s between 100° and 115° for 12 hours a day for about 6 months, and in the 90’s at night, you start to get sick of heat pretty quickly. It beats the hell out of your east coast weather though.
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:31 am to MidnightVibe
quote:
What site do you use?
A few but that was with William Hill. You will have them in your area before you know it.
Posted on 8/9/18 at 12:54 am to Kingpenm3
quote:
Tiafoe-Raonic coming up. Pretty good odds (+275) for Tiafoe as a #41 v #29.
Nice call. Tough to oppose Raonic with how dominant he looked vs. Goffin, but that’s usually the best time.
Posted on 8/9/18 at 2:25 am to bayoucracka
I’m rolling with Grigor tomorrow. At -135, it seems like a trap, but in pure tennis terms, he’s a better player. I wouldn’t mind seeing Tiafoe keep rolling though.
Posted on 8/9/18 at 9:44 am to Kingpenm3
quote:
Tiafoe-Raonic coming up. Pretty good odds (+275) for Tiafoe as a #41 v #29.
I should start gambling. lol.
eta: Damn, Nadal sitting at -1000 against Stan. Stan coming into the match hurt or something?
This post was edited on 8/9/18 at 9:57 am
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