re: OFFICIAL Week 8 CFB bet thread™

Kind of the feel I was getting, especially seeing how some of you were throwing big money down on them giving up -4.

Thoughts on these games

Clemson -8.5 vs VT
Kent State -3.5 vs West Mich
FSU -18.5 @ Miami

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Clemson -8.5 vs VT

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i would say clemson all cause they matchup so well with VT, but tech has that revenge factor on their mind from getting blown out two times from last year, now both are not as good as they were last year but tech is worse off than clemson. I think clemson will win by 14+

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Kent State -3.5 vs West Mich

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dont know

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FSU -18.5 @ Miami

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-18.5 is a lot, especially on the road for a rivalry game

Should I get ULL now at -4 or do you think the line may drop as it gets closer to game time?

I do like the over tonight, even at 56. Dropping ULL to -1 and over 53 would be a safe bet IMO. I'm on my phone, can anyone tell me the payout on that bet?

2 team 3pt teaser
ULL -1
Over 53

I would be cautious with the over in this one ... North Texas has been struggling to put points on the board.

I can't do a 3-pt teaser on Sportsbook for some reason
Think I'll just wait to see if it drops to 3.5 and buy to 3.

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My numbers have Arizona State 24-21 at home on Thursday night. I went 9-7 on the sides I listed last week, so I'm still tweaking and looking for spots to "improve" my predictions, but they definitely have some substance.

Arizona State's defensive line has played really physical in its first 6 games (which is what new coach Todd Grahams defenses are known for), they are leading the country in tackles for loss per game, and number 2 in the country in sacks per game. The teams that have given Oregon trouble in the past three years (Auburn, Cal, LSU, Boise) all were pretty physical at the line of scrimmage.
Only thing that worries me a little about the ASU defense is they have given up a few big running plays this year, and Oregon's speedy backs are a nightmare if you give them space or miss tackles.

I think Sun Devils +9 at home is a lot of points to work with, they will try and slow the game down a little from the shootouts Oregon is used to.

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This is a game that I'm not trying to overthink.

Arizona State hasn't played a ranked team, and they lost to Mizzou, who blows.

Oregon demolished the two ranked teams they played (arizona, washington), and in their most recent game against Washington they put up 51 points despite pulling their starters at the start of the fourth quarter.

Oregon is better on offense. Oregon is better on defense.

The fact that it is a thursday night road game isn't nearly as much of a factor as it might otherwise be since Oregon was off last Saturday.

I don't think Arizona State can stay on the field with Oregon.

If I win tonight I may put all I have on Oregon just because my account is lowwww after this past weekend. If I lose I lose the weekend if I win I'm back in the game.


I'll be back in either way though, I do this for fun.

71ish