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re: OFFICIAL Week 8 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/16/12 at 8:13 am to
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 8:13 am to
quote:

LSU -3
Colorado +41.5
UL Laf -4


i like all of these

especially colorado

i'm starting to lean toward O56.5 for tonight, both teams are well rested and will put up some points
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25638 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 8:17 am to
It's slowly dropping. See if you can't get it down to 56 or 55 by tonight.

LINK
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 8:54 am to
interdasting

if anything i would think it would be going up

eta- didn't realze ULL's starting QB was out.. damn
This post was edited on 10/16/12 at 8:55 am
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:02 am to
Some food for thought for tonight's game ...

ULL is allowing 107.2 yds per game on the ground, however, there is an outlier. They gave up a whopping 330 yds to Ok State. Against teams with similar talent level, they are allowing just 50.1 rushing yds per game. They are allowing 220.8 yds per game through the air, but once again, that includes the air raid of Ok State.

ULL is averaging 38 pts per game, to the oppositions cumulative average of 35.1 pts per game, giving them a net total of +2.9 ppg. North Texas on the other hand is averaging 19.5 ppg, playing against teams that give up 24.8 ppg, giving them a net total of -5.3 ppg.

Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
554 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:05 am to
ULL's backup QB played most of the game in the Ws over Troy & FIU (Their starter was out in the 1Q of both games) and started the game vs Tulane. I wouldn't worry too much about it.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:07 am to
i see it being a 35-24/27 type game imo
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:08 am to
quote:

eta- didn't realze ULL's starting QB was out.. damn




Who is their normal starter?
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:11 am to
oops, scratch that.. isn't the starter, my bad

i just assumed he was the the starter, i was worried there for a sec
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3755 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:11 am to
Isn't it Gautier? I think Broadway is more of a scrambler. Might lay off this game or make an in-game play. Apparently the Mean Green have a sell out tonight

Oh and how about them Red Raiders last week!? Looking at you Tebow!
This post was edited on 10/16/12 at 9:18 am
Posted by alfredblueforheisman
Member since Aug 2010
974 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Who is their normal starter?



Pretty sure Gautier is the starter. From Lutcher High, he was Jarvis Landry's QB. He's pretty good.

Broadway is the backup. He is from Capital high school in BR. I want to say he started at Houston, or at least committed to them, now he's at ULL. He's a good spread QB but is young. He played against Oklahoma State this year and didnt do horrible all things considered.
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5419 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:13 am to
quote:

didn't realze ULL's starting QB was out.. damn


Looks like Broadway has been the starter all year, Gautier, who broke his hand last week, had just had some playing time. Maybe not a big as loss as it seems.

ETA: I stand corrected, Gautier started the first two games before leaving with a rib injury, since then Broadway has started with both seeing time.
This post was edited on 10/16/12 at 9:15 am
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
554 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:19 am to
Broadway has played more than Gautier this year. It's not like they are going play Broadway for the very first time.

Broadway: 77 att/45 comp/58.4%/612yds/4 TD/1 INT/28rush/135yd
Guatier: 67 att/32 comp/47.8%/4 TD/0 INT/14 rush/69 yds

Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5419 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:19 am to
ULL's ESPN post game write ups with box score...

Lamar - 40-0 Win - No write up, box only - LINK

Troy - 37-24 Win - LINK

OK St. - 65-24 Loss - LINK

FL Intl. - 48-20 Win - LINK

Tulane - 41-13 Win - LINK
Posted by alfredblueforheisman
Member since Aug 2010
974 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:20 am to
quote:

OnTheBrink


Didnt know about those injuries. Looking at the stats now, they have both thrown alot.

Staying away from this game for sure.
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5419 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Broadway has played more than Gautier this year. It's not like they are going play Broadway for the very first time.


Yep, what I was trying to get at. They will not be running a newb out there.
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
554 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:22 am to
You know how I'm starting to become a degenerate? I getting to know ULL's QB records and when and why their QB got injured
Posted by alfredblueforheisman
Member since Aug 2010
974 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:22 am to
With the extra time to prepare, I think Oregon steamrolls Arizona State. Dont care what day of the week it is. They are on a mission to pass Florida now.

9 points is an easy cover for them IMO. They havent covered much this year with those crazy spreads they have had, but I love them this week.
Posted by alfredblueforheisman
Member since Aug 2010
974 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:22 am to
quote:

You know how I'm starting to become a degenerate? I getting to know ULL's QB records and when and why their QB got injured



But it's fun though!
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
554 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:23 am to
quote:

But it's fun though!



I agree it is!
Posted by OnTheBrink
TN
Member since Mar 2012
5419 posts
Posted on 10/16/12 at 9:24 am to
quote:

You know how I'm starting to become a degenerate? I getting to know ULL's QB records and when and why their QB got injured


What does that say about me who doesn't even bet....

FWIW, I have interest in this one because I do the ESPN Streak for the Cash and have a current 8 game streak. Looking to play ULL tonight but wanted to get the feel from the MSB. Who would the board go with in a straight-up scenario?
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