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re: OFFICIAL Week 5 CFB Betting Thread
Posted on 9/25/14 at 2:30 pm to dgtiger3
Posted on 9/25/14 at 2:30 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
I've been on ASU all season, I feel like they have been overlooked
Just playing devil's advocate here because UCLA has been even worse ATS, but ASU has been bad ATS this year (1-2).
Posted on 9/25/14 at 2:33 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
Just playing devil's advocate here because UCLA has been even worse ATS, but ASU has been bad ATS this year (1-2).
Heck, that's why I'm on the ASU ML....

Posted on 9/25/14 at 2:34 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
Just playing devil's advocate here because UCLA has been even worse ATS, but ASU has been bad ATS this year (1-2).
I covered with ASU at (-13.5) vs Colorado and (-24) vs New Mexico.
EDIT: just looked again, I bought 1.5 points to get that number against Colorado. (-140)
This post was edited on 9/25/14 at 2:36 pm
Posted on 9/25/14 at 2:47 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
EDIT: just looked again, I bought 1.5 points to get that number against Colorado. (-140)
I was going to say you must have bought that line down a whole lot. I had them -16 and they would have covered that if it wasn't for Taylor Kelly getting hurt in the 3rd quarter.
Like I said, I'm sure ASU is probably the right side, I just can't bring myself to actually bet it without Taylor Kelly. Without him that offense looked very different.
Cash must be flowing in on Arizona State. Line down to +3.
Posted on 9/25/14 at 3:36 pm to PurpleAndGold86
The public is out for blood bc UCLA has cost them a lot of units this season 

Posted on 9/25/14 at 3:40 pm to ChemE in the OP
quote:
I'm on the ASU ML....
Thinking about it.
Posted on 9/25/14 at 3:50 pm to DFWAggie09
quote:
Whats your thoughts on BG? Power Rankings have them being a 16 pt favorite without homefield figured in. Line opened and 10.5 and is now down to 4.5. I cant seem to figure out what Im missing here.
Havent looked much into that game specifically but someone has to be hurt or something I would imagine, I have BG around 7.5 pt favorites.
quote:
DG or anyone else,
Curious if you've come up with your own models/sheets that you run every weekend or if you're using a combo of different models pulled from sites.
I'd really like to figure out a method based more in statistics/mathematics but not quite sure where to start...
I do use most of my own models but their are some other good websites out there for information.
FootballOutsiders.com is a great source of information and a lot of there theories and metrics are similar to the things I look at.
TeamRankings.com is another good source for information and have Power Rankings for 10 different categories that I use from time to time.
cfbstats.com is the most in-depth source of college football stats I have ever found, easy to copy and paste into excel which is why I use this site for pulling my own stats.
Posted on 9/25/14 at 4:51 pm to DFWAggie09
Couple games that hit key #s today
Cincy +17 @ Ohio St
Memphis +21 @ Ole Miss
Looking at taking the points in both. Anybody wanna tell me why I shouldn't?
Cincy +17 @ Ohio St
Memphis +21 @ Ole Miss
Looking at taking the points in both. Anybody wanna tell me why I shouldn't?
Posted on 9/25/14 at 5:13 pm to lsutgrfan10
Ga Southern now at -17
hit they were -19.5 this morning
hit they were -19.5 this morning
Posted on 9/25/14 at 5:21 pm to MillerMan
quote:
Tx tech +14.5
quote:
Tx tech +14.5
Posted on 9/25/14 at 5:59 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Strange things happen in the Desert at Night
ASU +3
110 win 100
ASU +3
110 win 100
Posted on 9/25/14 at 5:59 pm to Signature
TT/OSU U70. Let's start this week off right 

Posted on 9/25/14 at 6:00 pm to lsutgrfan10
I like Memphis. Hoping Ole Miss has a little bit of a look ahead at Bama. Not a turrible Memphis team either
This post was edited on 9/25/14 at 6:01 pm
Posted on 9/25/14 at 6:06 pm to IceColdBeer
quote:
Strange things happen in the Desert at Night
Where Heisman hopes that are already dead come to be more dead?
Posted on 9/25/14 at 6:22 pm to IceColdBeer
My plays tonight:
Georgia Southern -16.5
Georgia Southern/Appy State U62.5
Texas Tech +14.5
Texas Tech/Oklahoma State O68.5
Arizona State ML
Arizona State/UCLA U65.5
Georgia Southern -16.5
Georgia Southern/Appy State U62.5
Texas Tech +14.5
Texas Tech/Oklahoma State O68.5
Arizona State ML
Arizona State/UCLA U65.5
Posted on 9/25/14 at 10:54 pm to NOLA1128
quote:
Georgia Southern -16.5 - W
Georgia Southern/Appy State U62.5 - W
Texas Tech +14.5 - W
Texas Tech/Oklahoma State O68.5 - W
Arizona State ML
Arizona State/UCLA U65.5
Not liking the chances of those last two.
But that's alright, profitable NCAAFB night no matter what.
That'll make up for my 0-2 NFL night lol
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