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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:12 pm to
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:12 pm to
Eh not really since i only have 1 on em so far
This post was edited on 9/4/12 at 5:13 pm
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:13 pm to
Seriously? Are they taking a local high school team? What's the deal here?
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

What's that mean


RLM = Reverse Line Movement: when the majority of the bets are coming in on one team but the line moves in the opposite direction. Likely because vegas is encouraging more squares to take the wrong side of the line.

Some sharps would now consider Ariz to be the *smarter* play. Using RLM betting strategies in cfb has hit at like a 60% clip the past few years.

With that said, I am wondering if there has been an injury or something? If not, very interesting line move.
This post was edited on 9/4/12 at 5:17 pm
Posted by Signature
Omnipresent
Member since Sep 2005
6740 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

Eh not really since i only have 1 on em so far



I'm sitting slightly better with a unit at -13.5


I'm still waiting to hear that Les Miles is returning. Only thing I can think that would this line dip.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

I'm sitting slightly better with a unit at -13.5


If thats the case ill take a push with all this movement
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25264 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:18 pm to


I hope I don't lose money betting Okie State but Arizona looked terrible against Toledo.
Posted by innorthtex
Member since Sep 2012
27 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:23 pm to
Eh with the line falling all the way to -11 that quick, it feels like most of the value has been sucked out of picking Arizona. I'd take -11 at this time.
Posted by Signature
Omnipresent
Member since Sep 2005
6740 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

Eh with the line falling all the way to -11 that quick, it feels like most of the value has been sucked out of picking Arizona. I'd take -11 at this time.


Do we have one poster on here that jumped on Arizona at +14? I'd welcome to hear their scout/research.
This post was edited on 9/4/12 at 5:27 pm
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25264 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:41 pm to
I read on Oklahoma State's scout site that their top returning receiver from last year who was suspended for their first game will play against Arizona.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82053 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

just dont get how 90% of money is on Okie Lite and the spread goes down 3 points
That is about as bad news as you can get for us already on OkieSt.
Posted by Signature
Omnipresent
Member since Sep 2005
6740 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:45 pm to
quote:

That is about as bad news as you can get for us already on OkieSt.


Generally speaking, yes.
Sharps aren't right everytime.
Posted by Signature
Omnipresent
Member since Sep 2005
6740 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:46 pm to
MSB Squares vs The Sharps


Let's do this.
This post was edited on 9/4/12 at 5:47 pm
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:47 pm to
Unfortunately yes. Atleast I didnt load up on them like i was wanting to
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82053 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

Generally speaking, yes.
Sharps aren't right everytime.

True, but they are right more times than not.
Posted by Brageous
Member since Jul 2008
107724 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:54 pm to
I knew something was weird about this game from the get go. It's only getting weirder. Maybe we're all just missing something here.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82053 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 5:59 pm to
One thing that is an outside chance, but still could be happening- Sharps trying to lower the number only to hammer OKst even harder as that is the real side they want, only at a different number
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13162 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 6:09 pm to
What does that mean, "sharps"?
Posted by Signature
Omnipresent
Member since Sep 2005
6740 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

What does that mean, "sharps"?


sharp bettor uses formulas such as power rankings, along with mathematical formulas involving both teams. Once they figure out which team has an advantage, they base the amount of money to wager based on how distinct they feel their advantage is.



Sharp bettors look at trends, style of play, player matchups, strengths and weaknesses, etc. Square bettors typically just look at the teams and then make the bet based on their opinion.
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13162 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 6:15 pm to
Thanks
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13162 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 6:23 pm to
So is the suggestion that these sharps are out placing bets to draw the line one direction and placing bigger bets the opposite way later?

If so that seems far fetched and highly risky to me. But I'm one week in to sportbetting so I don't know.
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