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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:22 pm to
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:22 pm to
LSU's offensive line showed some major issues. Mett's pocket awareness was lower than expected and may get happy feet if he keeps taking hits like this weekend. Washington will have some sustained drives and have a much better chance to attack our secondary than UNT. Secondary had some uncharacteristic miscommunication. Mingo and Montgomery appeared to be too concerned with getting upfield and could leave gaps against the run. Miles will run the clock if we get a 10+ point lead.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25713 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:22 pm to
My thoughts are LSU will up by a comfortable margin, but Washington will still be putting points on the board all game making LSU wanna put some more to make sure the lead stays comfortable. Plus, it'll look nice for LSU if they hang big numbers on a OOC from a BCS conference.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

Plus, it'll look nice for LSU if they hang big numbers on a OOC from a BCS conference.


Not a factor.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Not a factor.


I have to agree. Les isn't know for doing this or even caring about it.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:56 pm to
I've seen UGA picked a ton in this thread. As a UGA alum, I really think it's a game to stay away from.

The Buffalo QB was able to scramble and eat up our D. Obviously, Franklin is at another level. Our lack of consistent running game will put the game on Murray's shoulders. He has the talent to come through, but he (and Richt) have consistently choked in the face of any adversity the past couple years. Not to mention this is Mizzou's first ever SEC game. At home. At night. The place will be rocking and probably look something like this.

I'm hoping this year will be different but I'm not ready to risk money on it.

I agree on paper this looks like a soft line, but this is Mizzou's Super Bowl.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:56 pm to
Had to pull the trigger because these lines are moving fast:

Ten point teaser:
Central Florida at Ohio State (-7.5)
Memphis at Arkansas State (-13.5)
USC (-18) v. Syracuse (East Rutherford)
$100.00 to win $83.33
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 3:59 pm to
Updated lines from Sportsbook
Utah (-7.5) at Utah State (up)
NC State (-6.5) at UConn (up)
East Carolina at South Carolina (down)
USC (-28) at Syracuse (up)
Florida at Texas A&M (-1.5) (down)
Fresno State at Oregon (-34.5) (up)
Idaho at Bowling Green (-16) (down)
Memphis at Arkansas State (-23) (up)
Nebraska (-5) at UCLA (up)
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25275 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:01 pm to
Do y'all see that Arkansas State line dropping any?
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:02 pm to
TA what's the live odds on Arizona St vs Illinois?

Just saw were Illinois starting QB is questionable.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Do y'all see that Arkansas State line dropping any?


Not at all. I don't see it going up to 26+ but I'll be surprised if it stays at 23.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

TA what's the live odds on Arizona St vs Illinois?


I've got ASU at -3 and the O/U at 48.5 right now.

Steelechase is a pretty good player and I imagine if he is out then the line will jump to 7+.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:06 pm to
I was thinking the same thing, but Mizzou is already talking smack about how much better they are and how the SEC won't be an issue for them. This coming from a team that played Big 12 defenses.

Kinda reminds me of the guy who is running his mouth about the quiet bad arse dude in the bar, until that dude puts him to the floor.
This post was edited on 9/4/12 at 4:08 pm
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:07 pm to
Thanks. Heard he practiced but was far from 100%.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:08 pm to
By the way, I use these two sites very much when doing my research. They have great layouts and help me out a lot.

cfbstats.com

fbschedules.com

Hope this helps
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:10 pm to
Yeah, but the Dawgs haven't shown any nuts or toughness since storming the field against the Gators in 07.

Again, I really hope that changes. I'm just not betting on it.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Thanks. Heard he practiced but was far from 100%


LINK

This article says he's "iffy" to play Saturday.

Dude is solid player. 22 total TDs in 2010 and 19 in 2011.
Posted by Bryant91092
Member since Dec 2009
25275 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:12 pm to
Are you going to bet the Arizona State game?
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Yeah, but the Dawgs haven't shown any nuts or toughness since storming the field against the Gators in 07.


I'm not rounding any of these up.

Mizzou OL average - 6'4, 303
UGA DL average - 6'3, 313
UGA LB average - 6'2, 232

UGA OL average - 6'3, 310
Mizzou DL average - 6'4, 280
Mizzou LB average - 6'3, 231

Basically, the UGA DL has an extra 33 pounds to throw around. This will be the key to the game IMO.

Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Are you going to bet the Arizona State game?


Don't know enough about it to pull the trigger momentarily.

If Scheelhasse (sp?) is out and I can catch the line then most definitely.

What's the general consensus on that game around here?
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28443 posts
Posted on 9/4/12 at 4:19 pm to
Okie Lite just fell to -13.
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