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re: OFFICIAL Week 1 CFB Bet Thread™

Posted on 8/24/12 at 1:03 am to
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3756 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 1:03 am to
quote:

Gonna have to see if they do team totals.


They don't. Use 5dimes over Bovada. I have money in both, but I only use Bovada to bet on dogs. 5dimes has their lines available immediately. Bovada won't post their lines until maybe 2 or 3 days before a game. 5dimes>>>>>>>>>>>>>Bovada
This post was edited on 8/24/12 at 1:05 am
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82055 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 9:01 am to
I wish 5dimes would put up game totals
Posted by LSUstudent2006
Member since Jun 2005
775 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 9:12 am to
Seriously. Already laid some down on the Wash State over 24, just waiting for the Oregon/ Ark State game to come out to jump all over that one. What do you think it'll be at? 64-65?
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82055 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 9:27 am to
Some early books had it at 60 I believe. I don't expect anything under 64.5 though when 5dimes comes out
Posted by geauxtigs99
NY
Member since Dec 2005
1273 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 10:38 am to
Other than checking out returning starters and qb's does anyone have any other info they gather for early season games? BTW I love the thread each week, lot of good info.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 10:54 am to
I don't really evaluate the teams or players at all. I look at the betting market, public sentiment, weather, coaches, motivation and in that order of priority.

Two statistical resources I use are greymatterstats and Accuscore but that's more for "like game" comparisons historically.
This post was edited on 8/24/12 at 10:58 am
Posted by GhostBuster6
Nashville
Member since Jun 2012
1809 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 10:56 am to
i felt confident in a 34-14 type bama victory...but now yall are making me reluctant....Im super nervous about Tennessee game but it will be my first game in vegas so i gotta lay something....im hoping line gets around UT -1 since Rodgers is out
Posted by geauxtigs99
NY
Member since Dec 2005
1273 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:11 am to
quote:

I don't really evaluate the teams or players at all. I look at the betting market, public sentiment, weather, coaches, motivation and in that order of priority.


So do you follow the money on public sentiment? Looking at the USC - Vandy game and the last I saw it was running close to 80% USC, I am staying away from this one personally, but what does this mean to you?
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28444 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:20 am to
Updated spreads, moneylines, and O/Us from Sportsbook

Thursday, 8/30
South Carolina (-7) at Vanderbilt, moneyline: -270 USCe, +230 Vanderbilt, O/U 46
Texas A&M (-6.5) v. Louisiana Tech (Shreveport), moneyline: -280 TAMU, +240 LA Tech, O/U 62.5
Washington State at BYU (-13.5), moneyline: -500 BYU, +400 WA State, O/U 61
Minnesota (-9) at UNLV, moneyline: -310 Minnesota, +255 UNLV, O/U 50

Friday, 8/31
Tennessee (-3.5) v. NC State (Atlanta), O/U 53
Boise State at Michigan State (-7), O/U 45.5
San Jose State at Stanford (-25.5), O/U 52

Saturday, 9/1
Miami-Ohio at Ohio State (-23) (up 0.5)
Tulsa (-1) at Iowa State (down 0.5)
Hawaii at USC (-40) (up 1.0)
Oklahoma (-30.5) at UTEP (up 0.5)

Sunday, 9/2
Louisville (-13.5) at Kentucky (down 0.5)


This post was edited on 8/24/12 at 11:23 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:33 am to
quote:

So do you follow the money on public sentiment? Looking at the USC - Vandy game and the last I saw it was running close to 80% USC, I am staying away from this one personally, but what does this mean to you?


That's the type of game I'd lean Vandy for sure.
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41882 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:40 am to
pay day = deposit in 5dimes account
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
28444 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:45 am to
For shits and giggles, here is my wagering history on CFB from the 2011 season:

Week 1
Parlay:
Kentucky (-20) v. Western Kentucky (Nashville)
Memphis at Mississippi State (-27.5)
Results:
L, 0-1 overall
Mississippi State covered by a large margin but Kentucky shite the bed and only won by 11.

Straight wager:
South Carolina (-21) v. East Carolina (Charlotte)
Results:
L, 0-2 overall
Carolina only won by 19.

Straight wager:
Kent State at Alabama (-21 first half)
Results:
W, 1-2 overall
Alabama was up 24-0 at the half

Straight wager:
SMU at Texas A&M (over 55.5)
Results:
W, 2-2 overall
The final total score was 60.

Week 2
Straight wager:
Oregon State at Wisconsin (-19)
Results:
W, 3-2 overall
Wisconsin rolled to a 35-0 victory

Straight wager:
UAB at Florida (-21.5)
Results:
W, 4-2 overall
Florida curbstomped UAB and won 39-0

Week 3
Straight wager:
Oklahoma (-3.5) at Florida State
Results:
W, 5-2 overall
Oklahoma won 23-13

Parlay:
Texas (-3.5) at UCLA
Wisconsin (-16.5) v. Northern Illinois (Chicago)
Results:
W, 6-2 overall
Texas rolled to a 49-20 victory. Wisconsin crushed NIU 49-7

Week 4
Straight wager:
LSU (-165) at Mississippi State
Results:
W, 7-2 overall
LSU won 19-6

Straight wager:
Nebraska (-23) at Wyoming
Results:
W, 8-2 overall
Nebraska won 38-14

Straight wager:
SMU (-22.5) at Memphis
Results:
W, 9-2 overall
SMU rolled 42-0

Week 5
Straight wager:
Georgia Tech (-12) at NC State
Results:
L, 9-3 overall
Georgia Tech only won by ten points, 45-35

Straight wager:
Texas Tech (-7) at Kansas
Results:
W, 10-3 overall
TTU won 45-34

Week 6
Ten-point teaser:
Boise State (-10.5) at Fresno State
Cal at Oregon (-14)
Vanderbilt at Alabama (-19)
Results:
W, 11-3 overall
Boise State won by 50, Oregon won by 28, and Alabama won by 36

Week 7
Ten-point teaser:
Alabama (-15) at Ole Miss
LSU (-4.5) at Tennessee
Stanford (-10) at Washington State
Results:
W, 12-3 overall
Alabama won by 45, LSU won by 31, and Stanford won by 30

Week 8
Ten-point teaser
Arkansas (-7) at Ole Miss
Nebraska (-15) at Minnesota
Tennessee at Alabama (-18)
Results:
L, 12-4 overall
Nebraska and Bama covered, but Arkansas only won by 5

Week 9
Ten-point teaser:
Arkansas (-0.5) at Vanderbilt
Ole Miss at Auburn (-0.5)
Mississippi State (0) at Kentucky
Results:
W, 13-4 overall
Arkansas won by three, Auburn won by 18, and Mississippi State won by 12

Week 11
Ten-point teaser:
Alabama (-8.5) at Mississippi State
Duke at Virginia (0)
Tennessee at Arkansas (-4.5)
Results:
W, 14-4 overall
Alabama won by 17, Virginia won by 10, and Arkansas won by 42

Week 12
Ten-point teaser (for my biggest bet ever, $252.08 to win $210.07):
FAU at Troy (-0.5)
Georgia Tech (0) at Duke
North Carolina at Virginia Tech (-0.5)
Results:
W, 15-4 overall
Troy won by 27, Georgia Tech won by 7, and Virginia Tech nearly gave me a heart attack and won by 3

Week 13
Ten-point teaser:
Illinois (-0.5) at Minnesota
UCLA at USC (-4.5)
UTEP at Central Florida (0)
Results:
L, 15-5 overall
USC won by 50, Central Florida won by 17, but Illinois got their arse spanked and lost by 20.

Overall, 15-5 is a damn good year. The initial deposit in my account was $20.00 and I ended the season with $400.00


Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48151 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Ten-point teaser (for my biggest bet ever, $252.08 to win $210.07):




I was up at 3AM watching my winning $2000 bet in the Oklahoma St vs Tulsa game LY.

I had turned $50 into $4000 from Monday to Sunday that week.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82055 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:54 am to
quote:

pay day = deposit in 5dimes account

Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82055 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:55 am to
quote:

Overall, 15-5 is a damn good year
I bet that many games in 3 weeks
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48151 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:55 am to
quote:

I bet that many games in 3 weeks


2 weeks for me.
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
40968 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 11:56 am to
quote:

I had turned $50 into $4000 from Monday to Sunday that week.



Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48151 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 12:04 pm to
Every couple of weeks, I set aside about $50 to $100 and try to win 5 consecutive bets, rolling everything over into the next.

I started with the Pats on MNF vs the Dolphins, hit the Thursday night CFB game, the Friday night CFB game, and an early start, mid-day start on Saturday followed by the Oklahoma State game to cap it off.

It works about once every year.

I did it with a free $100 sportsbook put in my account about 4 years ago since it was free money I didn't care so I bet it all over and over. Two weeks later, I had $5000 in my account.

They haven't given me anything free since.
This post was edited on 8/24/12 at 12:12 pm
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

I did it with a free $100 sportsbook put in my account about 4 years ago since it was free money I didn't care so I bet it all over and over. Two weeks later, I had $5000 in my account.


The tout in you is coming out. And it's not pretty.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48151 posts
Posted on 8/24/12 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

The tout in you is coming out. And it's not pretty.


Whatever.

When you don't care one way or another if you lose the money (since it was free or you can afford to lose $50 or so) it's easier to bet games because you don't talk yourself out of bets.

Do I recommend doing that? Hell no. I just like to see if I can get 5 in a row with a small starting $.



This post was edited on 8/24/12 at 12:23 pm
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