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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 3
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:07 am to bobbyray21
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:07 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Another game that I really really like is MD-7.
I was gonna ask about this. Hoping I wasn't being a Terp homer on that one, but that looked like a good like. Maryland's playing well, and UConn is, er, UConn.
I'm a little gunshy on betting against Illinois after they crushed me last week, but that was due to a big injury for Cincy at QB. Washington beat Boise by a lot, they have to be able to beat Illinois by 10, right? Illinois actually winning a game was a one time thing, right?
1
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:09 am to PurpleAndGold86
A bit sensitive I see. My panties remain firmly in place.
Not sarcastic at all. This whole board is saying they don't see how Oregon covers. And if that's how I felt I would make a large large bet on them.
Not sarcastic at all. This whole board is saying they don't see how Oregon covers. And if that's how I felt I would make a large large bet on them.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:09 am to Baloo
I have UCLA +6, A&M +10, Louisville -14....
thoughts...should I lock it in?
Need advice on this one!!!
thoughts...should I lock it in?
Need advice on this one!!!
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:11 am to bamafan425
Sorry, wasn't giving you the benefit of the doubt after the first comment. 
I have Oregon locked in, but by no means do I think it is an easy lock. I don't see Oregon not covering it, hence the reason I bet on it, but Louisville will certainly be a much bigger play for me this week.
I have Oregon locked in, but by no means do I think it is an easy lock. I don't see Oregon not covering it, hence the reason I bet on it, but Louisville will certainly be a much bigger play for me this week.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:12 am to Phattie Jet
quote:
thoughts...should I lock it in?
quote:
Louisville -14
YES
quote:
UCLA +6
I do like this one a little bit as well.
quote:
A&M +10
Don't like this.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:12 am to PurpleAndGold86
I got Louisville at 13.5, but that still seems really fishy to me.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:14 am to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
Sorry, just meant the game spread. Take the -14.
My guy doesn't allow us to put in plays until two days prior, so hopefully it will either stay put or even move back down a little.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:16 am to PurpleAndGold86
It's all good. I probably won't even play Tennessee but I think it's good to voice differing opinions in here. Especially when it's a popular bet.
I'm also having doubts about Louisville. I got it at 10 and will probably ride it out. But damn scores and odds has it at 92% of public.
I'm also having doubts about Louisville. I got it at 10 and will probably ride it out. But damn scores and odds has it at 92% of public.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:16 am to Phattie Jet
quote:
I have UCLA +6, A&M +10, Louisville -14....
thoughts...should I lock it in?
Need advice on this one!!!
I personally like all of those picks. I think both UCLA and TAMU have a good chance of winning the games outright.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:16 am to LSUJuice
quote:
I got Louisville at 13.5, but that still seems really fishy to me.
What do you think seems fishy about it?
Heisman front-runner at QB that has been on fire for the first 2 weeks of the season. A team that is going to put up a ton of points all season in attempt to gain style points since they have such a weak schedule this year. A former BCS National Championship Game MVP in the backfield.
And Kentucky is weak. Real weak.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:17 am to bamafan425
quote:
but I think it's good to voice differing opinions in here. Especially when it's a popular bet.
No doubt, that's what we're here for.
quote:
I'm also having doubts about Louisville. I got it at 10 and will probably ride it out.
Enjoy this one. I think after the weekend everyone will just realize this was a bad line. Obviously anyone can cover and games come down to a couple plays a lot of the time, but I really don't see UK hanging. They are pretty damn bad.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:18 am to PurpleAndGold86
Like Bamafan said, 92% public. Just one of those that's too good to be true. I mean, I'd think that line should be 17 to 20. Just one of those where somebody knows something the rest of us don't, and they reel us in a frick us.
I hope so. But either way I'm going to have regret. If UL rolls them like we expect, I should have put way more $$ on it. If UK covers, then I should have known something was up.
quote:
I think after the weekend everyone will just realize this was a bad line.
I hope so. But either way I'm going to have regret. If UL rolls them like we expect, I should have put way more $$ on it. If UK covers, then I should have known something was up.
This post was edited on 9/10/13 at 11:20 am
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:19 am to bamafan425
quote:
But damn scores and odds has it at 92% of public.
Don't pay attention to that shite. It's irrelevant.
Whether Joe Public puts his money on Louisville or Billy Walters puts his money on UK are two pieces of information that I will pay absolutely no mind to. Because neither are going to prevent Louisville from beating Kentucky 38-10.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:20 am to bobbyray21
I don't let it decide bets for me but I do use it as a resource.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:20 am to LSUJuice
quote:
Just one of those that's too good to be true.
Oh, kinda like Oregon last week. Oh wait.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:20 am to bamafan425
quote:
I don't let it decide bets for me but I do use it as a resource.
It's not a resource. It's noise. Ignore it.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:21 am to bobbyray21
quote:
TAMU have a good chance of winning the games outright.
Biggest question for me is how is Bama's offensive line going to perform after a disappointing game against Virginia Tech. Obviously, Alabama always has top notch talent and they have the best coach in the land, but can they rebound and give McCarron time to throw the football. McCarron had a really rough game in week 1, but that was attributable to the weak O-line.
A&M's defense has been pretty suspect so far this season (granted some of their starters have been suspended), so if Bama's O-line plays well, I think Bama will run the football and keep Manziel off the field as much as possible.
And defensively, I think Bama will be ready for Manziel this go round.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:22 am to bobbyray21
Gonna just have to agree to disagree on that one.
Posted on 9/10/13 at 11:24 am to bobbyray21
quote:
Oh, kinda like Oregon last week. Oh wait.
Fair enoughPosted on 9/10/13 at 11:24 am to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
And defensively, I think Bama will be ready for Manziel this go round.
They're ain't no getting ready for Manziel. There is no rhyme or reason to the way that guy plays football. And I think he'll torch them again.
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