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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 12

Posted on 11/11/13 at 4:57 pm to
Posted by CherryGarciaMan
Sugar Magnolia
Member since Aug 2012
2497 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

I see no line for Oregon vs. Utah


Thought the Oregon QB is a question mark?
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
13374 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 6:38 pm to
He said today that he is playing "for sure." Wilson is also playing with a bruised hand on the other side.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 6:56 pm to
If I had to guess it will be around 21. Just a guess on my part though
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93091 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 7:01 pm to
Lulz @ Oregon.


With that said how is Florida only a 14pt dog to USCe?


Shouldn't this be 21 or something? USCe has everything to play for and Florida is devastated plus losing Morrison so that's now 7 starters and 3 back ups


Thoughts?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 7:08 pm to
I'm pretty sure I read Murphy will be out to
Posted by CarolinaSoCocky
Darkside of the Moon
Member since Dec 2012
1157 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 7:15 pm to
I'll never bet on Carolina. We're just too inconsistent one week we'll look great the next weekend we'll look like shite and can't cover.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93091 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 7:24 pm to
Damn they are having a rough year.

USCe is 4-0 off the bye and some cock fans said they usually come out fired up under spurrier

I think this game looks like the UGA game last year.


I mean if LSU can hold Florida to 9pts I don't see how clowney and mike davis don't wreck shite


Or will spurrier call the dogs off his alam mater?
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 11/11/13 at 7:29 pm to
UF lost their MLB also. I think 7 starters on D are out and 10 total.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18011 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 8:17 am to
Some initial thoughts:

Got pretty much the whole MAC playing Tuesday and Wednesday games. All I can see is to fade Miami Ohio. Any others?


I like UCLA at home on Friday -2.5.


I like finding letdown games after a big win. Vandy fits this bill. Kentucky played up to its competition at State and Carolina. They'll cover 13. (Yeah they got rolled by Missouri, but that was at home, and maybe they just play better on these road SEC games)


Florida Atl seems to be on a roll, and Southern Miss only seems to be getting worse, if that's even possible. FAU -17.


ULL -21 (right now at 21.5). This spread seems too low for how bad Georgia State is. What am I missing?


USC +4. Another post big win letdown here. Only thing that makes me apprehensive is that was Thursday, so Stanford had two days to celebrate and get back to business. But, with the exception of at Notre Dame, USC has been rolling lately.




This post was edited on 11/12/13 at 8:18 am
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25745 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 8:29 am to
quote:

Florida Atl seems to be on a roll, and Southern Miss only seems to be getting worse, if that's even possible. FAU -17.


Big talent mismatch - like FAU big.

quote:


ULL -21 (right now at 21.5). This spread seems too low for how bad Georgia State is. What am I missing?



Yeah it seems low, but it probably has to do with ULL squeaking by NMST a few weeks ago. NMST is at GSU's level.

quote:


USC +4. Another post big win letdown here. Only thing that makes me apprehensive is that was Thursday, so Stanford had two days to celebrate and get back to business. But, with the exception of at Notre Dame, USC has been rolling lately.


I can't bring myself to fade USCw right now, they are covering machines. I would probably take the points.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 2:24 pm to
Bump for some MACtion tonight.

Playing both dogs tonight.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175658 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 2:27 pm to
Blindly betting Buffalo because they've been good this season.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25745 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 2:49 pm to
Watching Buffalo completely shite on Ohio last week makes me never want to back them again.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8711 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 2:52 pm to
Toledo -4.5
Posted by JB Bama
Tuscaloosa, AL
Member since Sep 2008
2670 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 3:56 pm to
Fading Kentucky and Florida has been good to me this year.

I like UGA and the points, I think Auburn is inflated after watching them vs. UT. UT was able to compete for a half and then just couldn't stop the run. Auburn is a boom or bust offense and if UGA should be able to get some good shots in on Marshall. Gurley looked unreal in the first half vs. Mizzou it was obvious he wasn't in playing shape and was winded in the 4th. I expect him to have a monster game. UGA should be able to move the ball and keep that D rested. Once you get some 3 and outs on Auburn you put that offense in a very uncomfortable position where they want to push the tempo but they have a tired defense.


Stanford -4, Any of the USC guys around? I hear you guys are down to like 40 something scholarship players. If that's true I just don't see how they stay in this game through the 4th quarter with absolutely no depth.
This post was edited on 11/12/13 at 3:59 pm
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25745 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

I like UGA and the points


The matchup on paper favors UGA. UGA's secondary is complete shite, but they can stop the run very well. Murray and Gurley getting points is enticing.

In the end, I can't bet my own $$ against Auburn, especially when the line once again seems short. Considering records and all (and my personal eyeball test), I don't see why this line isn't 7-10 points. Vegas rankings clearly are still down on Auburn (and high on UGA). UGA hasn't played an impressive game of football since Sept. 28th, against a ho-hum LSU team.

Fading Auburn this year has turned out to be a big-time losing proposition, so I'm likely not playing this game.
This post was edited on 11/12/13 at 4:11 pm
Posted by MillerMan
West U, Houston, TX
Member since Aug 2010
6513 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 4:34 pm to
Buffalo over 55
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3755 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 5:31 pm to
Murphy being out is a bad thing for South Carolina bettors. They don't make quarterbacks much worse than that guy.
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7267 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 6:04 pm to
I'm on both dogs for tonight. Really looking at parlaying both overs too.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45117 posts
Posted on 11/12/13 at 6:09 pm to
BG -9
Buffalo +6
Buffalo/Toledo U 55

Bol everyone
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