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re: Moneyball and the New York Knicks

Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:19 pm to
Posted by ATLTiger
#TreyBiletnikoffs
Member since Sep 2003
44599 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:19 pm to
where's the Egg McMuffin thread when I need it
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96070 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:24 pm to
Moneyball!!
Posted by OneMoreTime
Florida Gulf Coast Fan
Member since Dec 2008
61837 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:28 pm to
This thread is the Egg McMuffin of shitty threads
Posted by Unbiased Bama Fan
Member since Dec 2011
2950 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:29 pm to
You couldn't be more wrong. The Knicks were 7-1 without Carmelo Anthony. During those eight games, the Knicks averaged 97.1 PPG which is a little above average in the NBA. However they allowed only 90.1 PPG during that streak which is lower than all but three teams has allowed on average during the season. The Knicks haven't been winning because if Jeremy Lin's offense. They've been winning because their defense was playing at an elite level and they finally had stable PG play instead of the likes of Toney Douglas and Mike Bibby. And during the game Carmelo only shot the ball 11 times which was less than Jeremy Lin and Amare Stoudemire. He wasn't hogging the ball at all. His biggest fault was the turnovers more than anything else.
Posted by Unbiased Bama Fan
Member since Dec 2011
2950 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

but it does have to do with Moneyball


It has nothing to do with Moneyball. The Knicks most valuable player was an expensive free agent signing during the off-season (Tyson Chandler).
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31085 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

It has nothing to do with Moneyball.

I think he made a typo and wrote "it" instead of "what".
Posted by ColtsTigers
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2009
2248 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

been winning because their defense was playing at an elite level


Will that continue with Melo out there though? He isn't exactly known for his defense. (nor is JR Smith or Baron Davis) Guys like Jefferies and Fields were playing good defense.
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32012 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:49 pm to
I think you're confusing Moneyball's principles with Bill Simmons's Ewing Theory, but this thread isn't nearly as bad as everyone is making it out to be.
Posted by LfcSU3520
Arizona
Member since Dec 2003
24466 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:50 pm to
quote:

but this thread isn't nearly as bad as everyone is making it out to be.


other than literally making no sense in relation to his original theory, then yeah.

Posted by gonads&strife
Member since Dec 2011
1885 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

a baseball team who can only spend around 30 million and have to find a way to replace those 3 all star guys with people who aren't superstars because of high costs and they can only afford so much so they get guy from superbad and his statistical info comes in handy when trying to find non superstars to win baseball games by getting on base %.

By having Amare and Carmelo back (big superstars who always need the ball) ruins the chemistry of the team.


Yeah - those two things do not equate.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112483 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 9:58 pm to
You can call CP3LSU25 many things, but a quitter you can not.
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32012 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:01 pm to
His basic premise is that "stars" are overrated. It's an interesting premise that a lot of teams have not discovered (or continually choose to ignore). If he just substituted the word Moneyball with Ewing Theory, we'd be set for a decent discussion.
Posted by Unbiased Bama Fan
Member since Dec 2011
2950 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:02 pm to
quote:

Yeah - those two things do not equate.


Basketball and baseball couldn't be more different as sports. One basketball player can have a huge impact on the game like a Lebron James for instance. With the Cavs, he shot and handled the ball a lot more than the rest of his teammates. In baseball, no player can make that type of impact on the game. A position player only has four or five plate appearances out of what 40 plate appearances per game? A baseball pitcher can only take the mound once out of every five games. Barry Bonds, Pedro Martinez from 1999-2002, Ted Williams, Ty Cobb, none of them won a World Series. You know why? Because they could only do so much. In basketball, a player can take as many shots as they want and take over whenever they want to. That's why rings mean everything in judging a superstar in basketball and means nothing in baseball.
Posted by LfcSU3520
Arizona
Member since Dec 2003
24466 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

If he just substituted the word Moneyball with Ewing Theory, we'd be set for a decent discussion.



so if he had used an an entirely different grouping of words in the english language, then he'd be on to something? That sir, is a much longer way of saying what we've all been saying the whole time.
Posted by Unbiased Bama Fan
Member since Dec 2011
2950 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:08 pm to
quote:

His basic premise is that "stars" are overrated. It's an interesting premise that a lot of teams have not discovered (or continually choose to ignore). If he just substituted the word Moneyball with Ewing Theory, we'd be set for a decent discussion.


Carmelo and Amare might be overrated but "stars" definitely aren't overrated in basketball. The 2004 Pistons are the only team to have won a championship without a superstar in the last 30 years. There have been only a handful of teams that have won a championship without multiple stars on their team ('94-95 Rockets, '03 Spurs, '11 Mavericks). Stars mean everything in basketball.
Posted by Keys Open Doors
In hiding with Tupac & XXXTentacion
Member since Dec 2008
32012 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:14 pm to
A championship-caliber team pretty much needs at least one All-Star starter type of player, but if you look at a squad like the San Antonio Spurs, I would argue that they have set the model for success without going for too many marquee free agents.

I highly doubt Ginobelli would be considered a superstar on most other teams, and the same can apply to Tony Parker. It is way too early to say anything, but I bet the Knicks will be worse with J.R. Smith, Camrelo, and Amare (more for defense than anything else when it comes to Amare) than when Lin was running the show mostly by himself.
Posted by Kissinger11
Member since Jul 2011
1939 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:18 pm to
at the OP, what a retard
Posted by Unbiased Bama Fan
Member since Dec 2011
2950 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

I highly doubt Ginobelli would be considered a superstar on most other teams, and the same can apply to Tony Parker.


Manu isn't a superstar as a guy expected to carry the scoring load but he had a superstar impact on the game like Dennis Rodman did. He's an elite defender, has a tremendous basketball IQ, can score, rebound, pass at a high level, and has won championships for every team he's played for.

quote:

Since the 2006-07 season, the Spurs have really missed Ginobili during his absences. During that span in the regular season, San Antonio is 249-104 (.705) with Ginobili and 33-29 without him (.532).


Ginobili is definitely a star not to mention that the Spurs also have Tony Parker. Duncan had excellent supporting casts when he won championships in 1999, 2005, and 2007.
This post was edited on 2/20/12 at 10:32 pm
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31085 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

His basic premise is that "stars" are overrated. It's an interesting premise that a lot of teams have not discovered (or continually choose to ignore). If he just substituted the word Moneyball with Ewing Theory, we'd be set for a decent discussion.

However, the chance of success in the NBA with superstars argues just the opposite of that. Additional superstars dramatically increase the chance of making the playoffs, advancing in the playoffs, and winning the championship. Shockingly, I believe for every marginal star (up to 3 stars, since we really have never seen four) that there is actually an increasing rate of marginal utility. I would have to verify the numbers (in Scorecasting), but stars (especially two or three on the same team) are far from overrated in basketball.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112483 posts
Posted on 2/20/12 at 11:06 pm to
It should also be noted that the Ewing Theory only lasts for a season or a period that the star is out. You cant continue Ewing Theory for a long time without a new star being born out of that situation
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