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LSU/Clemson betting thread
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:14 pm
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:14 pm
I have a future on LSU. Normally, I’m not a fan of hedging but since LSU is the favorite, it’s a nice middle opportunity.
That aside, there’s a bit of good opportunity to cash in because of there’s a difference between legit lines and local’s adjusted lines.
One site LSU is -5.5, the other -6.5. The other I notice is LSU ML is as low as -220 and Clem ML is +255. That’s a freeroll.
That aside, there’s a bit of good opportunity to cash in because of there’s a difference between legit lines and local’s adjusted lines.
One site LSU is -5.5, the other -6.5. The other I notice is LSU ML is as low as -220 and Clem ML is +255. That’s a freeroll.
12
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:18 pm to PeteRose
LSU big!!
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:24 pm to PeteRose
I’m a negatiger thru and thru but I like LSU big
We have one relevant data point for Clemson and they let up 516 yards.
When LSU is up 30-10 at half and hangs 600+ you are gonna feel like a complete dumbass holding a Clemson +6
We have one relevant data point for Clemson and they let up 516 yards.
When LSU is up 30-10 at half and hangs 600+ you are gonna feel like a complete dumbass holding a Clemson +6
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:31 pm to PeteRose
The real bet of the game is LSU -3.5 1H
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:32 pm to PeteRose
Where can I place a bet online?
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:38 pm to Winston Cup
I'd wait for an In-Game adjusted number, hoping LSU gets up by margin like OSU did early..then buyback a hedge position on Clem plus pts.
This year's team goes to the lead, and front runs, unlike the 2007 team which loved to spot foes the early 7-0 or 10-0 leads.
I bet Beanie Wells at 7-1 for first TD in 2008, even though I picked LSU to win the game 37-23. Even Hester joked yesterday about Flynn on sideline when down 10-0 to OSU, laughing about having em right where they wanted them.
I'd try to catch Clemson over a TD in-game, as the sharps will not allow the public to push it much more without buyback on a 29-0 team.
This year's team goes to the lead, and front runs, unlike the 2007 team which loved to spot foes the early 7-0 or 10-0 leads.
I bet Beanie Wells at 7-1 for first TD in 2008, even though I picked LSU to win the game 37-23. Even Hester joked yesterday about Flynn on sideline when down 10-0 to OSU, laughing about having em right where they wanted them.
I'd try to catch Clemson over a TD in-game, as the sharps will not allow the public to push it much more without buyback on a 29-0 team.
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:45 pm to TheRoarRestoredInBR
You will not get 7 unless by a small local La BM overinflating..so wait and bet it post-flop..Offshore or in Miss.
Posted on 1/11/20 at 1:49 pm to kengel2
quote:
Where can I place a bet online?
Real question, where can you place as safe bet online or offshore. I'd like to put a few clams down as well, but last offshore I used I think was hacked by the Chinese.
Posted on 1/11/20 at 2:10 pm to PeteRose
You need to hedge on Clemson ML. Dream scenario for you all around. Hedge - it's a no brainer.
/ thread
/ thread
This post was edited on 1/11/20 at 2:11 pm
Posted on 1/11/20 at 2:11 pm to TheRoarRestoredInBR
quote:
I'd try to catch Clemson over a TD in-game
That won't work if LSU wins by 3 TDs.
This post was edited on 1/11/20 at 2:12 pm
Posted on 1/11/20 at 2:12 pm to Jack Ruby
Bookmaker is legit I got paid by physical cheque from a bank in Canada 5 times this year - all of them within 3 days of making my request. All deposited into my Chase or US Bank acts with zero holdup or problem.
This post was edited on 1/11/20 at 2:13 pm
Posted on 1/11/20 at 2:21 pm to SirWinston
quote:
You need to hedge on Clemson ML.
That’s the initial thought.
I have LSU 200:4000
If I hedge Clem ML at +255 I would do 1000/2550
Worst case scenario, I win 3000.
Best case, I win 2350
However, if I do Clem +6.5 for 2200/2000
Worst case, I win 1800
Best case, I win 6000
Posted on 1/11/20 at 2:24 pm to PeteRose
I got a couple of future bets on LSU with decent odds. I also laid 5.5 on LSU. I’m also thinking about a small hedge on Clemson on the ML
Posted on 1/11/20 at 2:30 pm to PeteRose
This is what I did
Posted on 1/11/20 at 2:35 pm to SirWinston
Bookmaker has always been one of the best Offshore outs. Rock solid ownership & payment from Cigar Sacco origins to present day 2019.
Posted on 1/11/20 at 4:37 pm to PeteRose
quote:
Clem ML is +255
I just took a look at 10 different books. Nobody even comes close to +255. Best I saw was +195.
Posted on 1/11/20 at 4:59 pm to WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot
That’s why I said locals “adjusted” lines
Posted on 1/11/20 at 5:29 pm to PeteRose
Ah O.K.
If you can get those numbers, you can't lose. You would break even on an LSU victory, but you can't lose and would win the ML diff if Clemson wins.
If you can get those numbers, you can't lose. You would break even on an LSU victory, but you can't lose and would win the ML diff if Clemson wins.
Posted on 1/11/20 at 5:37 pm to PeteRose
Personal opinion, lsu is going to skull frick Clemson.
But from a betting standpoint, Clemson is the "right" side if that makes sense.
But from a betting standpoint, Clemson is the "right" side if that makes sense.
Posted on 1/13/20 at 1:42 pm to PeteRose
Does anyone know why the total is crashing down today? I got it at 70 last week and I’ve seen it drop from 69 to 66 on my book.
Can’t remember a bigger one day drop in total points off of the top of my head after it had been somewhat consistent in the lead up.
Can’t remember a bigger one day drop in total points off of the top of my head after it had been somewhat consistent in the lead up.
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