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Louisiana Derby Thoughts

Posted on 3/20/24 at 11:34 am
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 11:34 am
Who is everyone on this weekend?

Great field this year.

I’ll be looking to beat Track Phantom and think Catching Freedom can do it.

Tuscan Gold is very interesting to me as well especially considering he should go off at decent money.

For some reason I think Honor Marie bounces back especially with the added distance.


Posted by ChestRockwell
In the heart of horse country
Member since Jul 2021
2743 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 11:59 am to
I like Track Phantom. The real deal is Cox other horse, Timberlake. Toyed with Catching Freedom working at FG
Posted by Christopher Columbo
Member since Jun 2015
2096 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 12:00 pm to
Julia Roberts to win
AOC to place
Sarah Jessica Parker to show
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

Timberlake


Not a fan.

I think Sierra Leone and Dornoch are the horses to beat. It’s a shame so many contenders were scratched in the Fountain of Youth.
We will know a lot more in the next few weeks.

But yes Track Phantom is the horse to beat this weekend. He has been incredibly consistent. I’m just wondering if after going to the front early, which I’m guessing he will do, someone doesn’t catch him given the extra distance.

This post was edited on 3/20/24 at 12:08 pm
Posted by ChestRockwell
In the heart of horse country
Member since Jul 2021
2743 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 12:32 pm to
Who did Dornoch beat at Gulfstream? Fierceness has bad feet, and Pletcher keeps running his top 3 year olds into the ground earlier and earlier just like the master DWL. In all fairness, it's a weak 3 year old division.
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Who did Dornoch beat at Gulfstream


No one. All the real contenders scratched. But he has beat Sierra Leone in an absolute awesome Remsen earlier this year.

Posted by Boudreaux35
BR
Member since Sep 2007
21433 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 12:56 pm to
Who's got the PPs? Link?

Posted by ChestRockwell
In the heart of horse country
Member since Jul 2021
2743 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 1:28 pm to
Big difference between 2 and 3 year olds. So far, no horse has stood out, IMO. A sneaky prep is the Jeff Ruby at Turfway.
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

Big difference between 2 and 3 year old


Absolutely

But he’s only won since then. I am a big fan of his pedigree. If he had the chance to face better competition in his last race I’d be more decisive on him. But that wasn’t his fault. Really good horses were scratched.

I’m not saying he would be my derby pick today. I just like him more than Timberlake and I like Sierra Leone more than both.

I have a feeling this year a really sneaky horse could make some noise in the major preps and fetch some nice prices in the derby. I’m interested to see Tuscan Gold and Antiqurian race this weekend. I’ve been high on Honor Marie for a while now as well. That track really hampered him last race. It’s a really impressive field this Saturday.
Posted by cuyahoga tiger
NE Ohio via Tangipahoa
Member since Nov 2011
5832 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 4:37 pm to
catching freedom
agate road
track phantom.... in that order
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
17783 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

I’ve been high on Honor Marie for a while now as well. That track really hampered him last race. It’s a really impressive field this Saturday.



Correct he didnt like the muddy track
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/20/24 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

agate road


Doubt he runs
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/21/24 at 4:03 am to
Looks like Agate will run at the fairgrounds this Saturday. He was cross entered in the Ruby.

He’s the horse that is making this one really hard for me. Him and Hall of Fame are really making me second guess myself.

I’ll probably stick with Catching Freedom but wouldn’t be shocked to see Agate win it.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
28045 posts
Posted on 3/21/24 at 6:27 am to
with cox having a horse in nearly every triple crown qualifier, and them being bet heavily, a lot of value in every race.

He was winning with a boat load of 2 year olds the last months, winning at indiana,kentucky,ny,Fairgrounds,etc If there was a maiden race, he had a horse in there.

Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/21/24 at 6:05 pm to
I’m very interested in the long shot Pletcher horse and the sneaky Chad Brown horse.

antiquarian and Tuscan Gold.

The former just looks the part. Beautiful stride. An absolute specimen. Both haven’t approached this competition and are damn near racing off breaking their maidens.

Antiquarian is taking a very similar route to Maximum Security who was lightly raced before winning the Florida derby.

Track Phantom is the most proven horse. He hasn’t done anything wrong. But that 12 position with his style seems like he could be at a disadvantage Saturday. And there are a few real closers in this race. Honor Marie is a sneaky good horse and this race may set up well for him. And Real Men Violin is the same.

Tough one to handicap in my opinion. I’ll try to beat the favorite but haven’t made my mind up yet.

Will Hall of Fame live up to his purchase price? I can see four or five horses winning this race.
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
43500 posts
Posted on 3/21/24 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Who's got the PPs? Link?
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/21/24 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

Who's got the PPs? Link?


I have some printed but can’t for the life of me successfully post a picture on this site from my phone.
Posted by ChestRockwell
In the heart of horse country
Member since Jul 2021
2743 posts
Posted on 3/21/24 at 8:14 pm to
Coming up in a few. I'll post again tomorrow with positions and odds.
Posted by ChestRockwell
In the heart of horse country
Member since Jul 2021
2743 posts
Posted on 3/21/24 at 8:16 pm to
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2521 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 5:22 am to
Where’s our resident horse lady?

I can’t remember her handle but she’s always full of information.
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