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re: Let’s talk about USC -5.5 at Michigan EDIT: It’s now USC -4

Posted on 9/20/24 at 12:21 pm to
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
2919 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

As long as SC is healthy, I'm close to saying this is free money.


Well we all know Vegas loves giving out free money!
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
25010 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

We need some info on his passing. Is it good enough to exploit a loaded box a few crucial times a game?



He is really bad based on his past performance. He hit a guy's feet on like a 7 yard pass last week. I wish I could find the video

I have seen him hit a couple guys in stride (maybe in a spring game?). if I'm USC I have a spy on him, keep 8 guys in the box, and trust your secondary. If Loveland isn't playing they have extremely limited options in the passing game
This post was edited on 9/20/24 at 12:24 pm
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79993 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Well we all know Vegas loves giving out free money!


Yep, this line jumped down at the beginning of the week, they probably knew that Orji was starting before it was announced. And it has only gotten lower.

Stay away
Posted by tress4pres
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
4011 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 12:41 pm to
Have you watched Michigan and their QB play?
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79993 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Have you watched Michigan and their QB play?


USC is getting propped up for a win over a not very good LSU team.
This post was edited on 9/20/24 at 12:46 pm
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29757 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 12:50 pm to
I still think USC kicks their arse, but it’s concerning to me that 81% of the bets are on USC to cover, yet the recent line movement doesn’t reflect that considering it went to -4.5 after being at -5.5 all week.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79993 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 1:12 pm to
Michigan has the top 4 defense in SP+, the computer model has it at a 4 point game.

Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
38565 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

it’s concerning to me that 81% of the bets are on USC to cover


Yeah I don't like that at all
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
39010 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:04 pm to
After two years of failed promises its way too early to put good money on USC....just because they didn't shite the bed against LSU when given an opportunity to win.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29757 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Michigan has the top 4 defense in SP+, the computer model has it at a 4 point game.




top 4 defense huh?
USC's offense is probably better than Texas, and Texas did what they wanted in the Big House. And USC has had 2 weeks to prepare.
I"m not going to congratulate them for playing good D at home against Fresno and Arky State.

Michigan was only up 16-10 in the middle of the 4th quarter to Fresno State.
Iowa has scored 97 points this year. Michigan has scored 70.

Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
2919 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Michigan was only up 16-10 in the middle of the 4th quarter to Fresno State. Iowa has scored 97 points this year. Michigan has scored 70.


You’re making it really hard to take Michigan
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216133 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:35 pm to
A little of free advice for you…

DO NOT take Michigan….
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79993 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

A little of free advice for you…

DO NOT take Michigan….


Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79993 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

A little of free advice for you…

DO NOT take Michigan….


Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79993 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

A little of free advice for you…

DO NOT take Michigan….


Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
79993 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:38 pm to
Holy smokes
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
2919 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 2:48 pm to
The RARE triple post!

It must be a good omen for Michigan!
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216133 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 4:04 pm to
Hey go ahead and take Michigan…I wish you lots of luck.
Posted by Arthur Bach
Member since Jul 2016
2919 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 4:14 pm to
Wayne Root’s second highest pick for tomorrow is Michigan
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216133 posts
Posted on 9/20/24 at 4:16 pm to
I don’t care where Wayne puts his Root. Like I said, take Michigan if you dare.
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