re: Kentucky Derby Discussion Thread

Posted by Clyde Tipton

Planet Earth

Member since Dec 2007

39842 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 4:44 pm to Clyde Tipton

Gun Runner is 5

Nyquist is 13

This post was edited on 5/4/16 at 4:45 pm

Posted by ColoradoAg03

Denver, CO

Member since Oct 2012

6435 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 4:47 pm to Clyde Tipton

Tom's Ready 12

Posted by ColoradoAg03

Denver, CO

Member since Oct 2012

6435 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 4:48 pm to ColoradoAg03

9-14, wow. This is going to be a great race, ladies and gents.

Posted by Clyde Tipton

Planet Earth

Member since Dec 2007

39842 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 4:52 pm to ColoradoAg03

1 Trojan Nation
2 Suddenbreakingnews
3 Creator
4 Mo Tom
5 Gun Runner
6 My Man Sam
7 Oscar Nominated
8 Lani
9 Destin
10 Whitmore
11 Exaggerator
12 Tom's Ready
13 Nyquist
14 Mohaymen
15 Outwork
16 Shagaf
17 Mor Spirit
18 Majesto
19 Brody's Cause
20 Danzing Candy

This post was edited on 5/5/16 at 8:42 am

3 ...

Posted by ColoradoAg03

Denver, CO

Member since Oct 2012

6435 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 4:53 pm to Clyde Tipton

3-5 will be a dogfight to not get pinned.

Posted by ColoradoAg03

Denver, CO

Member since Oct 2012

6435 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 4:54 pm to Clyde Tipton

quote:
14 Mohaymen

FIFY

Posted by Aspercel

Member since Jan 2009

114302 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 4:58 pm to ColoradoAg03

Damn. Speed draws the 20. Creator doesn't break anyway so I guess 3 is ok

This post was edited on 5/4/16 at 5:21 pm

Posted by tWildcat

Verona, KY

Member since Oct 2014

20017 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 5:15 pm to Aspercel

Anybody else like Whitmore? I'm thinking either Whitmore or Gun Runner.

Posted by Overbrook

Member since May 2013

6250 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 6:00 pm to Aspercel

The morning line doesn't add up. Pretty juvenile for a 30 year vet like battaglia.

Nyquist at 3/1 is ridiculous. Maybe 5 or 6 to one.

This post was edited on 5/4/16 at 6:02 pm

Posted by sms151t

Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION

Member since Aug 2009

140511 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 6:14 pm to Aspercel

You really think Creator will go last to first

It's what he tries to do all the times I've seen him. This field will box him and be too many horses IMO

Exaggerator got 11 yikes
Nyquist unlucky 13 double yikes

This post was edited on 5/4/16 at 6:16 pm

Posted by Aspercel

Member since Jan 2009

114302 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 6:34 pm to sms151t

I don't think so, but I love him anyway. Made me some money last 2 so I'm ok with losing on him.

I think nyquist is ok at 13. Same for exaggerator, though I hate him.

Posted by Aspercel

Member since Jan 2009

114302 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 6:36 pm to sms151t

It'll even out.

Posted by Overbrook

Member since May 2013

6250 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 6:50 pm to Aspercel

Desormeaux the trainer wasn't at Fair Grounds at all this year, was he?

Posted by vengeanceofrain

depends

Member since Jun 2013

12465 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 6:56 pm to Overbrook

nyquest won't go off at 3 to 1 that's big brown territory and nyquest has legit question marks about his ability to carry his speed, but he's gonna win.

Posted by Ohiotigerfan

South of I-10

Member since Oct 2004

1291 posts

Posted on 5/4/16 at 7:09 pm to Clyde Tipton

Basically you don't want 1&2 or 19&20.

Many trainers like positions 9-16 because:
- don't get pinned on the rail
- auxiliary gate starts at 15 so there is a little extra space

With only speed horse in the 20th spot Danzing Candy will burn out by the 6th furlong.

If pace is slow there could be 8 to 10 horses in it with a furlong to go. Could be an epic finish.