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Just how unlikely is it that the Jaguars beat the Broncos on Sunday?
Posted on 10/9/13 at 12:55 am
Posted on 10/9/13 at 12:55 am
quote:
Twenty-eight points is the largest spread of all time, but that doesn't tell the whole story of how statistically improbable this is. According to to "The Handbook of Sports and Lottery Markets," from 1993 to 2000 the average NFL point spread was 5.64 points, and the standard deviation was 3.58 points. This puts a 28-point spread at 6.2 standard deviations from the mean. To compare, that same source puts the point spread of an average NBA game (from 1994 to 2002) at 6.37, with a standard deviation of 3.72. This NFL line is equivalent to an NBA team being favored by 30 points.
Here are some other things that are 6.2 standard deviations from the mean*:
An NBA player putting up 44.4 points per game (2013 data, scoring title qualifiers only).
An NFL player rushing for 207.0 yards per game (2012-2013 data, min. 100 rushes).
A baseball player hitting 73 home runs in a season (2013 data, qualified batters).
An 18- to 65-year-old American male who weighs 450 pounds (EPA NHANES IV data).
An 11-inch penis (LifeStyles condom data).
Now you know the OT is a bunch of liars.
LINK
This post was edited on 10/9/13 at 12:56 am
15
Posted on 10/9/13 at 12:57 am to TDawg1313
quote:
An 11-inch penis (LifeStyles condom data).
The Jaguars have one me chance of beating the Broncos.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 1:00 am to TDawg1313
So you're saying there's a chance.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 1:01 am to TDawg1313
quote:
An 11-inch penis (LifeStyles condom data).
11 inches ain't shite.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 1:02 am to TDawg1313
Jacksonville will win this game. You heard it here first.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 1:04 am to TDawg1313
quote:
An 18- to 65-year-old American male who weighs 450 pounds
I know a guy that fits this discription.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 1:05 am to TDawg1313
It would be absolutely hilarious if the Jags and Broncos tied, the Broncos won out and the Jags lost out, thereby preventing either team from making NFL history
Posted on 10/9/13 at 3:04 am to lsutothetop
What?
Posted on 10/9/13 at 3:08 am to RummelTiger
So the Broncos and Jaguars tie this week, right. Broncos go on to win every other game and win the Super Bowl, going 18-0-1, and thus just missing the '72 Dolphins. (Both would be undefeated Super Bowl champs, but the Broncos' season wouldn't be a perfect season, since they didn't win every game.) Meanwhile the Jags go 0-15-1 and thus end up missing out on becoming the first team to go 0-16 by a tie.
All because of a tie to end the game with the largest point spread in NFL history.
Wouldn't that be hilarious?
All because of a tie to end the game with the largest point spread in NFL history.
Wouldn't that be hilarious?
Posted on 10/9/13 at 3:16 am to lsutothetop
The Lions went 0-16 a fee years ago. And they were much better than this Jags team.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 3:53 am to TDawg1313
I don't understand how these 2 things
And this
are the same number of standard deviations from the mean.
quote:
An NBA player putting up 44.4 points per game (2013 data, scoring title qualifiers only).
An NFL player rushing for 207.0 yards per game (2012-2013 data, min. 100 rushes).
And this
quote:
A baseball player hitting 73 home runs in a season (2013 data, qualified batters)
are the same number of standard deviations from the mean.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 5:53 am to NawlinsTiger9
So do you guys think Jax covers? I'm scared to pick them.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 7:23 am to TDawg1313
This is probably the best week ever to pick Jax in survivor.
Straight up ball sack, son.
Straight up ball sack, son.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 7:27 am to Michael J Cocks
Posted on 10/9/13 at 7:29 am to TDawg1313
Time to shock the world Jags. Gabbert pain train on its way
Posted on 10/9/13 at 7:31 am to NawlinsTiger9
I've been thinking, the Jaguars are truly awful and we all know that, but their schedule has been fricking brutal so far.
Chiefs, Seahawks, Colts and Broncos in 4 of the first 6 weeks.
I mean those 4 teams have only 2 losses combined, and 1 of those was to each other.
If they hadn't also lost to the Raiders and Rams, then I'd be a little more optimistic for them.
Chiefs, Seahawks, Colts and Broncos in 4 of the first 6 weeks.
I mean those 4 teams have only 2 losses combined, and 1 of those was to each other.
If they hadn't also lost to the Raiders and Rams, then I'd be a little more optimistic for them.
This post was edited on 10/9/13 at 7:32 am
Posted on 10/9/13 at 7:35 am to TDawg1313
I'm planning on going to the game so I'll let you know!
Posted on 10/9/13 at 7:36 am to NawlinsTiger9
I was thinking about that too. Even if Jacksonville was competitive, 2-4 would be a best case scenario for them.
Posted on 10/9/13 at 8:32 am to TDawg1313
Who has the balls to take the Jaguars over the Broncos in Survivor this week?
Posted on 10/9/13 at 8:37 am to Tactical1
quote:
Who has the balls to take the Jaguars over the Broncos in Survivor this week?
you should get an award if you do and they win... like not having to pick again till week 16...
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