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re: I like Delany's proposal Re: Conference Champions
Posted on 5/4/12 at 3:55 pm to M Le Rip
Posted on 5/4/12 at 3:55 pm to M Le Rip
quote:
A computer formula deals with only on-field activity.
Your computer formula may be great and all but if one Conference(the SEC)does not play OOC games with any good Conferences your formula will not work right, ie. one will never know because they were only with rent-a-win teams. The accuracy of good computer formula's is hinged upon all the Conferences playing each other. (which they do not- LOOKING AT YOU SEC). Thus, any such formula you could ever create would be flawed once you factored the SEC teams into it. Not all Conferences play quality OOC. Thus no computer formula can be truly accurate and really know.
For example:
(2012 Mississippi St Football schedule)
Jackson State Tigers
at Troy Trojans
South Alabama Jaguars
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (HC)
(2011 Mississippi St Football schedule)
at Memphis Tigers
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
at UAB Blazers
UT Martin Skyhawks
This is the reason for inflated Human Rankings and inflated season win totals. RENT-A-WINS
Gee, no wonder SEC teams get their bowl games...
Posted on 5/4/12 at 3:57 pm to Baloo
quote:Not entirely true. Conferences play more conference games, so naturally OOC's are going to become weaker. SEC used to play six conference games and five OOC's; now it's 8 & 4. Obviously the OOC's are going to tend to be a bit weaker there, but that's because the conference schedule got stronger.
The BCS and the resulting formulas have resulted in weaker OOC's. The regular season may "mean" more, but there are less meaningful games.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 3:58 pm to DucksflyinPAC
quote:
Gee, no wonder SEC teams get their bowl games...
how has this cat not been put on timeout ?
Posted on 5/4/12 at 3:59 pm to DucksflyinPAC
quote:I'm not going to teach a math class here, but it is clear that you haven't really done a lot of research on this. I have. And you don't know what you're talking about.
Your computer formula may be great and all but if one Conference(the SEC)does not play OOC games with any good Conferences your formula will not work right, ie. one will never know because they were only with rent-a-win teams. The accuracy of good computer formula's is hinged upon all the Conferences playing each other. (which they do not- LOOKING AT YOU SEC). Thus, any such formula you could ever create would be flawed once you factored the SEC teams into it. Not all Conferences play quality OOC. Thus no computer formula can be truly accurate and really know.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 4:09 pm to rocket31
quote:
how has this cat not been put on timeout ?
I listed the 8 separate rent-a-wins from Miss St the last 2 straight seasons. I could also list Kentucky as well if you like. Either way Miss St had 4 super easy Rent-a-wins and only had to win 2 SEC games then they get to go to bowl game and are proclaimed good. That is what the country finds laughable, that a team only has to worry about winning 2 games then gets bowling trip. Anyways, I show these facts and this is your pathetic comeback? Very sad...
Posted on 5/4/12 at 4:44 pm to DucksflyinPAC
quote:
Your computer formula may be great and all but if one Conference(the SEC)does not play OOC games with any good Conferences
IMO this is pretty much nonsense for anyone who has been paying attention to college football
Next year for example:
PAC 12 -
11 BCS opponents among 12 conference members
Arizona - Oklahoma State, South Carolina State, Toledo
ASU - Illinois, Missouri, Northern Arizona
California - tOSU, Southern Utah, Nevada
Colorado - Colorado State, Sacramento State, @ Fresno
Oregon - Fresno State, Arkansas State, Tennnessee Tech
Oregon State - Wisconsin, BYU, Nichols State
Stanford - Notre Dame, Duke, San Jose State
UCLA - Nebraska, Rice, Houston
USC - Notre Dame, Syracuse, Hawaii
Utah - Northern Colorado, Utah State, BYU
Washington - LSU, Portland State, San Diego State
Washington State - BYU, Eastern Washington, UNLV
Big 10 -
14 BCS opponents among 12 conference members
Illinois - ASU, La Tech, Charleston Southern, Western Michigan
Indiana - Massachussets, Navy, Ball State, Indiana State
Iowa - Iowa State, Northern Illinois, Northern Iowa, Central Michigan
Michigan - Alabama, Notre Dame, Massachussetts, Air Force
Michigan State - Notre Dame, Boise State, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan
Minnesota - Syracuse, Western Michigan, UNLV, New Hampshire
Nebraska - UCLA, Southern Miss, Arkansas State, Idaho State
Northwestern - Boston College, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, South Dakota
Ohio State - California, UAB, UCF, Miami (OH)
PSU - Virginia, Navy, Temple, Ohio
Purdue - Notre Dame, Marshall, Eastern Michigan, Eastern KY
Wisconsin - Oregon State, UTEP, Utah State, Northern Iowa
SEC -
14 BCS opponents among 14 conference members
Alabama - Michigan, Fla Atl, Western Carolina, Western KY
Arkansas - Rutgers, Tulsa, La Monroe, Jacksonville State
Auburn - Clemson, New Mexico State, Alabama A&M, La Monroe
Florida - FSU, Bowling Green, Jacksonville State, La Laff
Georgia - Ga Tech, Ga Southern, Fla Atl, Buffalo
Kentucky - Louisville, Kent State, Samford, Western KY
LSU - Washington, North Texas, Idaho, Towson
Missouri - ASU, Syracuse, UCF, Southeastern LA
MSU - Troy, MTSU, South Alabama, Jackson State
Ole Miss - Texas, Tulane, UTEP, Central Arkansas
South Carolina - Clemson, East Carolina, UAB, Wofford
Tennessee - NC State, Troy, Akron, Georgia State
Texas A&M - SMU, La Tech, Sam Houston State, TBA
Vanderbilt - Northwestern, Wake Forest, Massachussetts, Presbyterian
I'm guessing the first response from this will be along the lines of "well that's because the PAC has fewer openings to fill with 3 OOC opponents per year".
First, that is wrong - because if you go back and look when the PAC had 4 ooc opponents they still didn't play significantly more opponents.
Secondly, that's not really relevant as an excuse when your starting argument was the SEC doesn't play anyone out of conference. The PAC and SEC functionally play an identical number of BCS opponents when you adjust by # of teams in the conference. And there's plenty of filler in the back end of both of their schedules between the 1aa programs and the terrible 1a teams.
ETA - failed to count Syrcause towards Missouri's total, I adjusted the numbers accordingly
This post was edited on 5/4/12 at 5:05 pm
Posted on 5/4/12 at 4:48 pm to DucksflyinPAC
quote:
Gee, no wonder SEC teams get their bowl games...
If that was the case they should have been hammered in the bowls, no ?
Posted on 5/4/12 at 4:55 pm to Baloo
quote:
I'm not talking theoretically. OOC's HAVE gotten worse in the BCS era. When only conference titles mattered, they were better. This isn't speculation. The BCS and the resulting formulas have resulted in weaker OOC's. The regular season may "mean" more, but there are less meaningful games.
You are ignoring the elephant in the room: More teams are in conferences rather than as independents. There are only 5 independents now in D1-AA. Notre Dame could join 3-4 conferences whenever they wanted to, but they choose to have an independent slate. The three military schools are just plain better off as independents. BYU went independent for more money and better opportunities.
There are still plenty of OOC games between BCS teams. What is kind of hurting it now is the tie ins to the BCS bowls. Why should some ACC and Big East schools risk too many big OOC matchups and risk getting embarassed when they can keep their smaller OOC match-ups and help out a school in their state and have a much easier time to a big payday?
Got look at all of the picture my man, not just the center.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 4:59 pm to TheDarkestNight
well, he's right that there used to be more quality OOC games between different conferences but another reason for that is the number of games within your conference has increased.
SEC teams in the 80s for example were playing only 6 games within the conference instead of 8 or potentially 9
SEC teams in the 80s for example were playing only 6 games within the conference instead of 8 or potentially 9
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:01 pm to TheDarkestNight
The post above showed that there AREN'T that many games between BCS teams. It seems we average about 1 such game per team, regardless of conference affiliation. That sucks.
And this has nothing to do with independents. It has to do with teams unwilling to give up the cash cow and play a home and home. There are four open slots on everyone's schedule, there is no earthly reason you can't play at least two BCS conference teams.
And this has nothing to do with independents. It has to do with teams unwilling to give up the cash cow and play a home and home. There are four open slots on everyone's schedule, there is no earthly reason you can't play at least two BCS conference teams.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:11 pm to Baloo
quote:What's the difference between LSU/Tennessee and LSU/VirginiaTech?
The post above showed that there AREN'T that many games between BCS teams. It seems we average about 1 such game per team, regardless of conference affiliation. That sucks.
We've basically replaced Rice/Tulane/A&M/MTSU/NCSt with Georgia/ULL/A&M/MTSU/NCSt and a 12th game that's a cupcake 2/3 of the time. The overall schedule hasn't gotten any easier.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:11 pm to Baloo
That's in edition to the 7-9 conference games that the schools play as well so that's anywhere from 8 to 10 games against BCS opponents for a program in any year. Why risk it if the reward isn't there? Why play 4-5 top 25 teams and 7-8 top 50 programs when a school like Boise can coast through the community college ranks and beat schools that have no business being 1AA anyways and get a big slice of the pie with no risk at all?
BCS schools have no incentive to add more BCS programs until they stop spreading the wealth to every little shite school with a 10 win season, an upset, and a great PR firm to their name. One thing that would help is if you stopped the voting in coaches' poll from non BCS coaches. They almost always overrank their small school brethren to the detriment of the quality and integrity of college football.
BCS schools have no incentive to add more BCS programs until they stop spreading the wealth to every little shite school with a 10 win season, an upset, and a great PR firm to their name. One thing that would help is if you stopped the voting in coaches' poll from non BCS coaches. They almost always overrank their small school brethren to the detriment of the quality and integrity of college football.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:15 pm to TheDarkestNight
quote:
One thing that would help is if you stopped the voting in coaches' poll from non BCS coaches. They almost always overrank their small school brethren to the detriment of the quality and integrity of college football.
pshaw
coaches and writers both vote based on name recognition - that certainly helps more BCS programs than midmajors
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:19 pm to TheDarkestNight
quote:Hilarious.
One thing that would help is if you stopped the voting in coaches' poll from non BCS coaches. They almost always overrank their small school brethren to the detriment of the quality and integrity of college football.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:21 pm to molsusports
quote:
coaches and writers both vote based on name recognition - that certainly helps more BCS programs than midmajors
Coaches vote based on their knowledge of the game. The AP has zero impact on the BCS. Besides you don't think ESPN pimping the hell out of Boise and TCU doesn't help them with the Harris voters? I know it helps them with those god awful computer polls whose formula seems to change whenever the hell the those geeks want them too.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:26 pm to TheDarkestNight
quote:
The AP has zero impact on the BCS. Besides you don't think ESPN pimping the hell out of Boise and TCU doesn't help them with the Harris voters?
Make up your mind - are you arguing publicity affects opinion polls or not?
I think the obvious answer is yes - so I hope we can spare ourselves a few posts sorting out that little mystery
Does Boise get too much publicity? Yes IMO, but so do Notre Dame, Michigan, FSU, Alabama, Southern Cal... A midmajor like Boise getting heaps of positive press is much more the exception than the rule
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:29 pm to molsusports
I'm saying that ESPN does sway opinions, but I'm saying their sway on writers means precisely dick. The AP poll is completely meaningless now. They are like the CBI in college basketball.
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:29 pm to molsusports
quote:
molsusports
1)First I respect ya much for looking up all that and pasting it. Much work, but Thank You.
2)If you must know, our OOC scheduling recently has gone down a little in recent years, such as this year, because of too many complains of our 9 Conference games. I will get to that in a second...
3)One thing you are not considering is that in the past many times the MWC or WAC has been better then the Big East or ACC. And well, those former can have very, VERY tough teams that PAC teams many times lose too. I will include former ones, (such as BYU ect..the team that beat Ole Miss). Here are quality OOC teams but not AQ, out West, which would greatly up our #.
BYU(3 times scheduled), San Diego St, Hawaii, Houston, Fresno St(2 times), Nevada(the only team to beat BSU the year before last, and to which beat California). That = 9 extra games.
Plus you have to then add the extra game each school plays in Conference, so +12. And things look totally different don't they.
Now, here's the scoop. PAC teams have several times played 100% of their whole schedule as top quality OOC games before, such as Oregon St playing top Big East team, TCU, BSU all in one season which = 100% Quality OOC games. Plus, in the PAC, we will play teams that recently SEC teams will not even think of touching. We have played Texas, Ohio St, Wisky, Oklahoma, TCU, ect... But the last 5 years has any SEC teams faced the very best of a Conference before except LSU facing Oregon? Have you all Texas? Oklahoma? Ohio St? Or what about USC?
Ya, a Bama will play a Penn St, or even Michigan, but that is not the same. Those are not on par with tOSU or Wisky. But every year a PAC team has faced those two OOC, see my point?
And many PAC teams would never play a D-2 program, like USC and such. (we would love to never play them too, but schools keep backing out and leaving us stranded. ) And don't get me started about miles a Conference team is willing to travel to. Florida for instance has never left the state of Florida for a OOC game in over 20 years. That is pathetic. And the SEC by a whole travels the least furthest each season OOC. The PAC, the farthest... So you see, there is a lot more going on behind the scenes that you did not think of when it comes to scheduling... The SEC simply does not remotely compare to hard OOC schedules that the PAC leads the Nation with when you factor everything into it, non AQ schools, but good ones, and everything elts...
This post was edited on 5/4/12 at 5:40 pm
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:32 pm to KillianRussell
quote:
If that was the case they should have been hammered in the bowls, no ?
This has nothing to do with anything the context of what I was talking about. But now you see when the SEC brags to the world that it gets 8 teams bowling the rest of America just laughs... You try adding 6 extra loses auto to your Conference like us. And quit doing all 4 rent-a-wins(see Miss St, Kentucky ect) and see how good your records you have at seasons end...(ie. no bowling)
Posted on 5/4/12 at 5:43 pm to TheDarkestNight
quote:
The AP poll is completely meaningless now. They are like the CBI in college basketball.
The AP's relevance is definitely under threat by the BCS - esp now the BCS is threatening to expand to a small playoff. But arguing they are already irrelevant is just not accurate. At present they are award one of the two highly respected crowns for college football.
RE: Ducks. I have old data laying around somewhere where I ran down the number of BCS teams played by each conference for probably around ten years (mostly stuff from the early 2000s).
Yes, there are outlier individual seasons in which a particular team (say Oregon State) plays more BCS teams in a given year - but when you average out over time there is and has been really a very small difference between the major conferences.
FWIW the conference who played the most BCS ooc opponents was usually the Big East - owing to their lesser number of conference games and the conference playing the fewest BCS ooc opponents was usually the Big 12 (as I recall but I have to verify that).
The travel issue I have mixed feelings on. Yes, it strikes me as ridiculous for Florida to never travel but a lot of the travel behavior for different programs revolves around geography and their individual needs. PAC schools have to travel even within their own conference because they lack enough major opponents close enough to home to avoid traveling. I agree it would be nice if UGA or Florida sought out an occasional school like USC, tOSU, or Michigan... but I could frankly give a shite less if they never play Oregon State or Washington State because those are just not premiere match-ups
Anyway, be back later tonight maybe. Happy Friday night everyone
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