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re: Here are the true CFB national championship contenders based on FEI metrics

Posted on 11/7/17 at 5:54 pm to
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
35748 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 5:54 pm to
quote:

You had 4 teams with 1-loss and an undefeated Utah team that whipped Alabama.

Now that would have been an awesome CFB playoff of 4 teams.




We were robbed for so long. A lot of good teams never even had a chance.
Posted by TJGator1215
FL/TN
Member since Sep 2011
14174 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 6:17 pm to
Busts:
Richardson
Barron
Kirkpatrick
Milliner
Fluker
Warmack

Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155521 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 6:33 pm to
I always liked the 05 Bama team. shite was never the same for Shula after he fell out of his seat at the cotton bowl. God dam you Shula. Why?!
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75179 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 6:34 pm to
Sherman Williams
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155521 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 6:52 pm to
Troy Hambrick

So sorry about that miscreant at the racetrac bro. I've armed my chauffers in case of situations like this.
This post was edited on 11/8/17 at 6:58 pm
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52684 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

Busts:
Richardson
Barron
Kirkpatrick
Milliner
Fluker
Warmack


Besides the fact that he was talking about the defenses, Barron and Kirkpatrick are absolutely not busts.
Posted by biglego
Ask your mom where I been
Member since Nov 2007
76270 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

2011 Alabama had the best college defense I've ever seen

Probably, but I would’ve liked to see 2011 Bama play just one game against a fast spread team. I wanted to see those 270lb LBs actually have to run. 2011 LSU had slightly less impressive numbers but played better offenses.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52684 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

Probably, but I would’ve liked to see 2011 Bama play just one game against a fast spread team. I wanted to see those 270lb LBs actually have to run. 2011 LSU had slightly less impressive numbers but played better offenses.




Considering Mosely, Hightower, and Upshaw have had good success in the NFL, I'm going to say that they probay would've done just fine.
This post was edited on 11/8/17 at 7:56 pm
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75179 posts
Posted on 11/8/17 at 8:51 pm to
It was deplorable, S. Very disconcerting to say the least.



I commend your concern for me and my predicament yesterday evening.
Posted by Sooner5030
Desert Southwest
Member since Sep 2014
1713 posts
Posted on 12/2/17 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

I posted it on the SEC Rant but I think it's more fitting for the MSB. A team has to be a borderline top 10 OFEI offense. OFEI is offensive efficiency adjusted for the strength of opponent defenses faced. Here are the OFEI ratings of the CFB national champions over the last 10 years. 2016 Clemson- 6 2015 Alabama- 11 2014 Ohio State- 3 2013 Florida State- 12 2012 Alabama- 5 2011 Alabama- 11 2010 Auburn- 1 2009 Alabama- 5 2008 Florida- 3 2007 LSU- 3 Every CFB national championship was ranked in the top 12 in offensive FEI over the last 10 seasons. A team has to be a top 10 DFEI defense. DFEI is defensive efficiency adjusted for the strength of opponent offenses faced. Here are the DFEI ratings of the CFB national champions over the last 10 years. 2016 Clemson- 9 2015 Alabama- 1 2014 Ohio State- 16 2013 Florida State- 5 2012 Alabama- 4 2011 Alabama- 1 2010 Auburn- 8 2009 Alabama- 1 2008 Florida- 1 2007 LSU- 6 Every team except 2014 Ohio State finished in the top 10 in DFEI the year they won the NC. 2014 was a weird year. Out of the four CFB playoff teams, none of them finished ranked top 10 in DFEI. Alabama had the best DFEI ranking out of the bunch (#12). 15 out of the 20 national championship finalists finished top 10 in DFEI. The other exceptions were 2007 Ohio State who got blown out in the NC game, 2008 Oklahoma (historically great offense), 2012 Notre Dame (blown out in NCG) and 2014 Oregon (blown out in NCG). So only 2008 Oklahoma and 2014 Ohio State really came close to winning a national championship with a less than great defense and '08 Oklahoma had the highest scoring offense of all-time. That tells me Ohio State winning a championship with a DFEI outside the top 10 was sort of a fluke. Here are the teams that are ranked in the top 10 in DFEI and ranked in the top 15 in OFEI. Georgia- #5 OFEI and #1 DFEI Notre Dame- #4 OFEI and #7 DFEI Ohio State- #2 OFEI and #6 DFEI Washington- #11 OFEI and #5 DFEI Alabama- #8 OFEI and #3 DFEI Ohio State lost two games in pretty sound fashion so I consider them pretty much eliminated from CFP contention. That leaves the following teams: Georgia- #5 OFEI and #1 DFEI Notre Dame- #4 OFEI and #7 DFEI Washington- #11 OFEI and #5 DFEI Alabama- #8 OFEI and #3 DFEI Those are your national championship contenders. There is one team that could join that mix though. Clemson is ranked 21st in OFEI and #4 in DFEI. If their offense can kick it up a gear, I can see them joining that group.


Where's OU bro?
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