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re: FiveThirtyEight 18-19 NBA predictions

Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:25 am to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:25 am to
quote:

In 2015 when the Rockets went to the Conference Finals and won 56 games and were the 2 seed, they predicted the Rockets were going to finish 11 games worse with 45 wins and an 8th seed.
I don’t believe they introduced the model until late in that season so I don’t think it was projected and I couldn’t find it on the website.

On the other hand, in 15-16, the first year I could find projections, they predicted Houston to win 52.6 games and Houston only won 41. That’s probably because it has a historical dependency, which is why 15-16 was an overestimate and 16-17 was underestimate. And 17-18 was just a great season, and they exceeded their Pythagorean win expectation by 4 games.
Posted by VOR
Member since Apr 2009
63460 posts
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:28 am to
Sooo,there’s a chance
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73396 posts
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:30 am to
33 wins for Clamp City this list is shite
Posted by VOR
Member since Apr 2009
63460 posts
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:30 am to
The Jazz are very good and a nightmare to scheme against
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