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re: Derby Hopefuls for this year?

Posted on 5/4/11 at 7:35 pm to
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24814 posts
Posted on 5/4/11 at 7:35 pm to
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
140847 posts
Posted on 5/4/11 at 8:15 pm to
I like Bo getting 3 slot but Nehro getting 19 shuts my money off on him.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/4/11 at 8:23 pm to
Id gladly trade arch's 1 for nehro's 19
This post was edited on 5/4/11 at 8:24 pm
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24814 posts
Posted on 5/4/11 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

Id gladly trade arch's 1 for nehro's 19



+100000000
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/4/11 at 8:45 pm to
Poor thing is going to be a ping pong ball

we should make bets on the chances of mo making the gate

we can divide each day up into blocks of time and whoever has the block if he scratches wins.

Now the mo rumor is ankle chip after bc, not bucked shins. I'm starting to feel bad for the poor guy. Oh how the mighty have fallen
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/4/11 at 11:49 pm to
quote:

I'm starting to feel bad for the poor guy. Oh how the mighty have fallen


agreed. his performance in the BC Juvenile was really impressive.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 8:39 am to
Kathy Ritvo and Mucho Macho Man on the front page of USA Today this morning

here's a link to the online article LINK
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 10:40 am to
Love the horse amd the trainer AND the owners.


He's probably the best story of this year
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 10:58 am to
absolutely.

slow day at work.. so i'm handicapping the Oaks right now. gonna have my superfecta set in probably another hour. this seems like an easy race to figure out.

oh, and there's a Smarty Jones horse running in The American Turf (race 10 tomorrow). he's 50-1.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 11:01 am to
Which horse?

Is that the 3yr old race? If so, brian house has a la bred running

went back and watched the Ashland. Katmanblu's 3rd wasn't too bad IMO. She was wide for most of the race
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 11:04 am to
Smarter Than Ever. only graded race was the Illinois Derby. he finished 10th


quote:

Is that the 3yr old race? If so, brian house has a la bred running



yep. 1 1/16 for 3 y/o's
Man of Strife. 20-1
This post was edited on 5/5/11 at 11:08 am
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 11:12 am to
quote:

went back and watched the Ashland. Katmanblu's 3rd wasn't too bad IMO. She was wide for most of the race



i'm on horse 8 right now. i'll post my notes on blu real quick:

- according to some at CD she's lost a little weight, not the best sign
- may be too much speed for her to get the win
- Ashland: tried to grind it out, no explosive burst like in the RA stakes; finished 3rd but wasn't under regular jockey
- last work out at CD Apr 30: 5f in 1:01
- good PP @ 4

2011: 3 2 0 1
life: 9 5 1 2

- bet: at least in the money (maybe place)
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 11:20 am to
yeah, i don't really see them catching joyful victory...

BUT her first work wasn't amazing, so who knows?

boy and i have a 4 on 4 bet going. my four are joyful victory, katmanblu, daisy devine, and st john's river

leaving off zazu because i saw that she wasn't really moving that great over the surface
This post was edited on 5/5/11 at 11:21 am
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 11:37 am to
only thing going for the field is that JV is breaking from PP 1. i'm just finishing up. like Daisy Devine but don't think she can get the distance. you're just high on her because of the FG Oaks!

watch out for Holy Heavens. she's finished no worse than 3rd in her last 6 starts. extra 1/16 should allow her to stretch out her late run. 50-1 ML

St. John's River really likes the CD mud, btw. nice choice.
This post was edited on 5/5/11 at 11:54 am
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 11:50 am to
Hey... I liked her all winter and kinda know her trainer

btw, I talked everyone into her in the fg oaks, then jumped off at the window like an idiot. At least I made others some $

Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10612 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 12:38 pm to
Based of of Chicken's guy.

Nehro and Arch both have bad post. I don't see Nehro winning but maybe 2nd or 3rd. I like Mucho, but again only in 2nd or 3rd.
I gotta stick with Dialed In i think.
To bad for Arch though.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

I gotta stick with Dialed In i think.


just a straight win bet? very little value there.
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10612 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

just a straight win bet? very little value there.


nah i only bet trifectas and exactas. He'll be my main horse that i combo with others. Sorry i should have clarified a little better
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 12:52 pm to
i'm still really upset
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/5/11 at 12:57 pm to
just look at this beautiful animal. he'd have been sooo pretty with red roses

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