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Derby Hopefuls for this year?

Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:04 pm
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139840 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:04 pm
I saw The Factor just shoot out of the gate last week and I like Elite Alex, since Bo-Rail is aboard. Who else is out there I should pay attention to?
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:06 pm to
Big Brown
Posted by The White Lobster
Member since Jul 2009
16764 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:08 pm to
Josh Hamilton
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164127 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:10 pm to
Barbaro II
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:10 pm to
Smarty Jones
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164127 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:13 pm to
fricking Smarty Jones. Should have won the triple crown.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:15 pm to
Smarty Jones was the best horse of my lifetime, by far.
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24804 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:15 pm to
quote:

Smarty Jones was the best horse of my lifetime, by far.



This is laughable.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139840 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:16 pm to
I would argue Alydar was better than Smarty Jones
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:16 pm to
I haven't been alive for as long as most on this board, keep in mind.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139840 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:17 pm to
Smarty lost to Birdstone in Belmont right? Or am I thinking wrong year?
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:18 pm to
To actually be serious, The Factor and Uncle Mo are the big favorites right now. I've just started scouting, and some of the big prep races haven't happened, but I have my eye on Soldat. I also like Mucho Mucho Mn, who ran 3rd in the La Derby despite throwing a shoe out of the gate. Horrible trip, finishes third... could be good value.

Waiting for Florida, the Wood, and Santa Anita.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139840 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:19 pm to
Baloo all you need to see is the hole shot The Factor got in the Rebel...possibly as fast as Fusiachi in starting
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Smarty Jones was the best horse of my lifetime, by far.
There's no way this is true. First off... Cigar. Secondly, Smarty Jones isn't that great. Barbaro actually had the most impressive Derby of any horse I've seen. I thought he was a lock for the Triple Crown.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120260 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Smarty Jones was the best horse of my lifetime, by far.


Cigar disagrees.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

Smarty lost to Birdstone in Belmont right? Or am I thinking wrong year?

Yep. In 2004.

Smarty Jones was leading into the last turn by a pretty decent amount of lengths, but then he ran out of gas and Birdstone caught him and won by about a length and a half IIRC.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Cigar disagrees.

I was like 5. I don't remember any of that.

And I'm not counting Barbaro.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:26 pm to
Actually, I think Afleet Alex was a better horse. The Derby, with such a large field, is essentilly luck these days. It's who gets the best ride. Alex finished third, and then won the Preakness and the Belmont in more "honest" races.

But are over-emphasis on the Triple Crown skews our view. That's just who was best as a 3 year old. Tiznow won the Breeders Cup Classic twice and no one cares. Which is a shame.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139840 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:26 pm to
I am thinking of not betting the horse in Louisville again this year and going with the Jockey. I dont know if Bo-Rail can be beaten there in that race, he always finds the rail somehow and never get boxed in.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139840 posts
Posted on 3/28/11 at 9:28 pm to
Why is the Belmont more honest? To me its more of endurance and not about speed like the Belmont. I like the Derby it's a good distance on a great track.
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