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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:25 pm to
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:25 pm to
who let this pos back n
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32604 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:27 pm to
what this board needs is more like crews!!!! My man crews!
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:32 pm to
First off, thank you to the gloriously beautiful admin for releasing me from banland since November, even though I don't know what I got banned for and I'm pretty sure it is all Tyrone's fault, but then again.. when is it not Tyrone's fault.... Amiright?


Second, we are going to do some mother fricking damage with in this thread this year. We will harness the power of TD to form a collective brain trust to bukkake the books. There is no doubt about that.

Third, we must weed out the shitty cappers in this thread and send them off to the island where they send shitty cappers to live out their miserable existence... dcrews, TTT and TN09 aka A-Dawg might as well book them a first class cabin... If they can afford it... Lulz poor people

Forth, if you use a tote service in this thread we will be obligated to inform whomever shitty plays you are buying. Personally I don't want all these terrible plays corrupting this thread anyway. So that's that... besides every tote out there is a documented loser and that is a fact.

Fifth, there is a certain poster who is a known jinx we must confront and get him in line. This is going to difficult with his history of sporadic behavior. So we will tread very carefully with this issue.


I look forward to a prosperous year of big money parlays and slapping TN09 in the mouth with my BBC on a weekly basis. I also wish nothing but to the best to the rest of you losers, god knows all of you are going to need it.


Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

oleyeller



Speaking of bitches I'm going to smack in the mouth with my dick.

Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
98116 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

Carson123987




quote:

oleyeller




Best of luck anyone looking to do a contest with a proxy from the old crew in Vegas?

Will Hill has a cfb one
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 6:36 pm
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

what this board needs is more like crews!!!! My man crews!



It's been forever since I've posted a DV gif.





Welp... That messed up.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8782 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:53 pm to
Ava, you gotta lay off Andy. tGOAT tout takes shite from no one.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 6:56 pm to
So are we now formally addressing people on a first name basis on here? If so, this changes everything.
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

yes, he is back posting under his original handle, "goldennugget"


quote:

If true, will you be posting the sheets Golden?


No, thats not me, goyim
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:08 pm to
Capped 2 more games at work today, Arkansas-Louisiana Tech and LSU-Wisconsin

Only 3 more to go until I can generate my master excel spreadsheet

ND-TEX
ALA-USC
MISS-FLST
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

master excel spreadsheet




o rly? Now I am intrigued...
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

o rly? Now I am intrigued...


Yeah goy my master spreadsheet last year led to a great Week 1 for me so I am hoping to repeat again this year, finished up +9.3 units on the weekend despite making an assload of parlay, teaser and normal side bets. Mainly my profit came from sides where I went 12-5-1 and and netted about 6 units there, then about 3 more units on teasers and like half a unit on parlays(mainly because I hit a 3 teamer, without that hit I would have been down like 6 units on parlays).

I go to Las Vegas every year for Week 1 so its a tradition
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:18 pm to
You should put your Master Race spreadsheet against Alum's I Skip Leg Days spreadsheet and compare notes and birth a Master of the Universe spreadsheet.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48576 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:34 pm to
I don't skip leg days, brah. I squat 405 and deadlift 450+.

We should track when both sheets are on the same plays and see how they do this year.
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 8:36 pm
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

We should track when both sheets are on the same plays and see how they do this year.


Lets do it

I have a feeling that this year my master sheet will fail me in Las Vegas

But when I go I always budget for a really really bad and unlucky weekend. I'll budget losing 2/3 of my bankroll, so anything better than not losing 2/3 of my bankroll is fine. You have to do really poorly to lose 2/3 of your bankroll but I plan ahead for worst case scenario so I can bet care free
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48576 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:45 pm to
I tried using my same sheet for the NFL and had my arse handed to me.

A few years ago, I was crushing CFB and sucking in the NFL, but I had turned 2K into 8K by week 6. I made the mistake up upping my bets in W7 (doubling my previous bets) and went something like 2-9 in W7.
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 8:46 pm
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 8:56 pm to
quote:

A few years ago, I was crushing CFB and sucking in the NFL, but I had turned 2K into 8K by week 6. I made the mistake up upping my bets in W7 (doubling my previous bets) and went something like 2-9 in W7.



Yeah its the Murphy's Law of betting

Whenever you up your unit size, thats when you hit a cold streak

Or whenever you start tailing someone hot, you catch him right when he cools off

Im worried my master sheet will REALLY like a team so I will put them in all kinds of parlays and teasers and that one team will lose bad and bury me. I got lucky last year and didn't have a team really bury me. I had Central Michigan in like half of my bets because they were the top team on my master sheet and they thankfully covered easily vs. Oklahoma State. But Stanford was right on the cut line and had I put them in any of my teasers or parlays it would have been bad. Thankfully, I didn't.

EDIT: I only bet a ton of parlays and teasers and sides when I go to Las Vegas. I figure I am there to have fun, not pick a single game or two and try to grind out a meager profit. I can do that at home with my online account. In Las Vegas I play a lot of action and have fun. Last year I bet 10 parlays, 22 teasers and 18 sides and still somehow profitted 9.3 units. I strongly recommend NOT betting a shitload of plays.
This post was edited on 8/17/16 at 9:00 pm
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48576 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 9:30 pm to
One week several years ago, my sheet spit out 23 plays and it went 17-6 that weekend.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48576 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 10:33 pm to
Does buying a half point on key numbers pay out in the long run?

I'm talking about buying a point from -17.5 to -17 or +16.5 to +17 as well as around 7, 10 and 21.

Is it worth it?
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 8/17/16 at 10:58 pm to
I don't have a statistical answer, but I would guess not. The books juice the 3 and 7 enough to take away your edge, and the other numbers don't really hit enough.

If you're playing a 10-team parlay, that's a different story. You don't wanna lose thousands because a walk-on kicker for Chattanooga missed an extra point.
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