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re: CFB Week 5 Wager Thread: Knocked down to the mat 2x in Week 4.

Posted on 10/1/21 at 11:30 am to
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18163 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 11:30 am to
FSTD
35-2, +29.1 U

BYU/UTst -290
This post was edited on 10/1/21 at 1:36 pm
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

Props to the OP for being honest about losses


He's got a few more coming this week
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104039 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 3:12 pm to
After a really good week 3, my week 4 was hot arse. Georgia covering against Vandy was the only win.

Still...

Boston College +14.5 against Clemson
UAB -2.5 against Liberty
Texas -4 against TCU
Michigan/Wisconsin Over 43.5
Toledo -27 against UMass

I like Arkansas to cover against Georgia, but not as confident in this one.

Posted by Fgiord
America
Member since Nov 2006
4806 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 3:14 pm to
I'm taking more action that I typically do this weekend (combined with some NFL games). Currently on:

Iowa/Maryland u47.5
Pitt -3.5
Ole Miss/Bama u79
UCLA -3

Will likely end up taking:

-OU/Kansas State u52.5
-Fresno State -10.5
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26745 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

35-2, +29.1 U


incredible
This post was edited on 10/1/21 at 4:22 pm
Posted by GoldenBoy
Winning!
Member since Nov 2004
42086 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 6:26 pm to
Is he Vegas Dave?
Posted by MS_Tigers07
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2015
1752 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 6:29 pm to
Ole Miss +15
Arky +18.5
Texas/TCU O65
L’Ville/WF O61.5
State/TAMU U47

I keep wanting to take that Wisconsin -1 because it smells SO bad
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18163 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

Vegas Dave?


Unlike that scammer, all my plays are posted on here.
Posted by ehidal1
Chief Boot Knocka
Member since Dec 2007
37334 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 7:11 pm to
Everyone is on Arky +18 and I completely get it.

That’s what makes me think UGA -18 is the play. I don’t put as much stock in beating an overrated aTm team as the pundits have.

The same goes for the big +14 for Ole Miss. Both seem easy which is probably why I stay away from both
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18163 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 8:16 pm to
TD BYU
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26745 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 8:32 pm to
Haha no Pete Rose is very real and posts all his plays in advance. A great gambler and no 409 unit whale of the hour locks
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

He's got a few more coming this week


I expect to lose some games.

The goal is 55% or better.
Posted by funnystuff
Member since Nov 2012
9140 posts
Posted on 10/1/21 at 10:03 pm to
Great start... we rolling!
Posted by MackDaddyBrown
Member since Jul 2021
4119 posts
Posted on 10/2/21 at 12:18 am to
Arky +18
Texas -4
Texas TCU over 65

Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12077 posts
Posted on 10/2/21 at 1:34 am to
quote:

FSTD
35-2, +29.1 U

BYU/UTst -290


How is that possible? Most are in the -250 to -300 range

If every one of them was -110 and you’re putting 1 unit on every game you’d be up 29.65 units, so you’d have to be averaging 2.5 to 3 units every game to hit those numbers.

Also, not saying these aren’t good bets, and you’re definitely making money. Just not quite at that pace.
This post was edited on 10/2/21 at 1:51 am
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12077 posts
Posted on 10/2/21 at 2:15 am to
quote:

That’s what makes me think UGA -18 is the play. I don’t put as much stock in beating an overrated aTm team as the pundits have.


I think this game you need to take arky plus the points and a separate bet on the under. If they don’t cover the 18 it’s because they score 10 or less
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12077 posts
Posted on 10/2/21 at 2:39 am to
Lots of plays today:

Army -6.5. 1h
Air Force -6.5 1h
Cincy -2
App st -6 1h
Auburn +3.5
Ohio St -8.5 1h
Boise st -2.5 1h
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 10/2/21 at 6:40 am to
2 biggest public plays of the week are Arkansas and Texas an the line is starting to finally move in Arkansas favor but continues to move away or stay still for Texas
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68341 posts
Posted on 10/2/21 at 6:46 am to
I got some favorable lines early in the week.
Wisconsin ML +100.
Notre Dame +2.5.
Oregon -7.5.
Good luck today, fellas.

To what g-nug is saying, here is a Yahoo Sports article on how the bets have come in this week.
LINK
This post was edited on 10/2/21 at 6:50 am
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
116164 posts
Posted on 10/2/21 at 8:39 am to
Ole Miss +14.5 and a little ML
KState +9 at home

Then I threw 5 bucks on a long parlay just for the fun of it:
ND ML
Baylor ML
UGA-Arky Under
A&M -6.5 (bought a half point)
Colorado +9 at home

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