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CFB Gambling Thread: Week 1
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:35 am
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:35 am
I've concocted a slate of about 10 games to keep an eye on. In an ideal world, I plan on tallying up 30-40k to spend on a gently used 2016 F-150 at seasons end. Proceed with the hot takes.
Washington +3: Chris Peterson is the second best coach in America. Taking the location of the game (Atlanta) as well as conference bias out of the equation, it's easy to see who the better team is here. Led by a 4th year starter at quarterback, the Huskies are loaded. UW wins outright
Miami -2.5: Mark Richt vs. Ed Orgeron? I'll take Richt laying that number 100/100 times
UCLA -16.5: Chip Kelly will be looking to run it up in his debut as the Bruins welcome a bad Cincy team to Westwood
Purdue -3: Purdue gets their opener at home against Northwestern. Jeff Brohm will be skimming over more enticing job offers at seasons end.
Villanova +15.5: Taking on Temple in the battle of Philadelphia, this game means more to Nova. They lost to the Owls 16-13 last year. 15.5 is just too many points.
Cal -8.5: North Carolina flying across the country with 13 guys sitting at home due to the shoe selling scandal. This is the same Cal team that rolled into Chapel Hill and won straight up as a 12 point dog in 2017.
Rice +24: This is the Owls’ second game of the season after starting Week 0 (Aug. 25) against Prairie View A&M. Houston may be caught looking ahead to Week 2 when they will play an Arizona team led by former Cougars head coach Kevin Sumlin and Heisman candidate Khalil Tate.
Ole Miss +2: Biding time to see if this will get to 2.5 and will buy the hook to get the key number at 3. Ole Miss defense will be one of the worst units in the nation - Kingsbury D's normally are as well. OM has the best wideouts in the country along with a serviceable QB and a solid offensive line. Tech is breaking in a new kid under center. I'll take the points here in what should be a shootout.
USC -25.5: UNLV is terrible. This game screams 55-21 or something similar.
Texas -11: Maryland is in disarray with the DJ Durkin scandal coming out 2 weeks before kick. Texas is looking to gain momentum in Herman's second year at the helm and I'm sure Maryland coming to Austin and stealing one in 2017 will be a focal point.
Fwiw, a 10 game parlay winner pays 825/1
Washington +3: Chris Peterson is the second best coach in America. Taking the location of the game (Atlanta) as well as conference bias out of the equation, it's easy to see who the better team is here. Led by a 4th year starter at quarterback, the Huskies are loaded. UW wins outright
Miami -2.5: Mark Richt vs. Ed Orgeron? I'll take Richt laying that number 100/100 times
UCLA -16.5: Chip Kelly will be looking to run it up in his debut as the Bruins welcome a bad Cincy team to Westwood
Purdue -3: Purdue gets their opener at home against Northwestern. Jeff Brohm will be skimming over more enticing job offers at seasons end.
Villanova +15.5: Taking on Temple in the battle of Philadelphia, this game means more to Nova. They lost to the Owls 16-13 last year. 15.5 is just too many points.
Cal -8.5: North Carolina flying across the country with 13 guys sitting at home due to the shoe selling scandal. This is the same Cal team that rolled into Chapel Hill and won straight up as a 12 point dog in 2017.
Rice +24: This is the Owls’ second game of the season after starting Week 0 (Aug. 25) against Prairie View A&M. Houston may be caught looking ahead to Week 2 when they will play an Arizona team led by former Cougars head coach Kevin Sumlin and Heisman candidate Khalil Tate.
Ole Miss +2: Biding time to see if this will get to 2.5 and will buy the hook to get the key number at 3. Ole Miss defense will be one of the worst units in the nation - Kingsbury D's normally are as well. OM has the best wideouts in the country along with a serviceable QB and a solid offensive line. Tech is breaking in a new kid under center. I'll take the points here in what should be a shootout.
USC -25.5: UNLV is terrible. This game screams 55-21 or something similar.
Texas -11: Maryland is in disarray with the DJ Durkin scandal coming out 2 weeks before kick. Texas is looking to gain momentum in Herman's second year at the helm and I'm sure Maryland coming to Austin and stealing one in 2017 will be a focal point.
Fwiw, a 10 game parlay winner pays 825/1

This post was edited on 8/24/18 at 8:20 am
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:38 am to Tunica
quote:
Ole Miss +2: Biding time to see if this will get to 2.5 and will buy the hook to get the key number at 3. Ole Miss defense will be one of the worst units in the country - Kingsbury D's normally are as well. OM has the best wideouts in the country along with a serviceable QB and a solid offensive line. Tech is breaking in a new kid under center. I'll take the points here in what should be a shootout.
Why not just take the over here? 2 or 2.5 is basically a pick em. I agree with the shootout here,but haven’t seen a total yet.
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:40 am to 4LSU2
The total is at 67. Seems low to me. I've never been an over/under player
ETA: with that said, I think Mississippi State OVER 8 wins is the best bet in all of college football
ETA: with that said, I think Mississippi State OVER 8 wins is the best bet in all of college football
This post was edited on 8/12/18 at 9:44 am
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:47 am to Tunica
Im on LSU +3
I like Tx but i feel karma is coming for Herman
I like Tx but i feel karma is coming for Herman
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:55 am to SDVTiger
quote:
I like Tx but i feel karma is coming for Herman
For what?
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:57 am to Dawgsontop34
quote:
For what?
For Kissing young men and ratting people out
Posted on 8/12/18 at 9:59 am to Tunica
quote:
Purdue -3: Purdue gets their opener at home against Northwestern. Jeff Brohm will be skimming over more enticing job offers at seasons end.
Purdue lost almost all of their defense which was their better unit last season. I'd stay away from this game.
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:02 am to Tunica
Hows it been goin? almost didnt recognize you with the new alter. Cant wait for these threads
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:03 am to Tunica
Utah St. @ Sparty (-23) somehow makes me uneasy. I know USU isn't very good, but sometimes MSU goes slow in the early games (or the 2nd half gets kind of dicey).
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:09 am to Tunica
quote:
Jeff Brohm will be skimming over more enticing job offers at seasons end.
Thanks for the great analysis on why I should bet on this game.
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:10 am to TomRollTideRitter
quote:I'm aware. This is more so a play on the momentum that Purdue has coming into this year. Brohm won 7 games last year, a feat that hasn't been achieved at Purdue in that last decade. They're bringing back their entire offense aside from the #1 target who's now in the league. 6 returnees on the line. Factor in that this is a home game.
Purdue lost almost all of their defense which was their better unit last season. I'd stay away from this game.
The line has jumped to -3.5. Apparently a few other people like the Boilermakers as well
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:11 am to oleyeller
quote:I don't get it?
Hows it been goin? almost didnt recognize you with the new alter. Cant wait for these threads
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:12 am to Tunica
Oklahoma -21 over Florida Atlantic seems like a gift
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:13 am to Tunica
quote:
The line has jumped to -3.5
in the 40mins since you posted the op? Wow had no clue so much money was moving on a random sunday morning 3 weeks before a purdue football game.
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:13 am to Carson123987
quote:
Welcome back, GNugget


Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:15 am to oleyeller
Crazy, right? It opened at 3. According to 5Dimes it's now at 3.5
Posted on 8/12/18 at 10:16 am to Tunica
quote:
Hows it been goin? almost didnt recognize you with the new alter. Cant wait for these threads
I don't get it?
see carsons post after mine
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