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re: CFB bets BOWL SEASON!
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:11 pm to NaturalBeam
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:11 pm to NaturalBeam
you're probably right. I'm thinking Toledo has too much offense. Will be able to score quick when they need it
JMO
JMO
1
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:13 pm to TigahFan4Life
Yeah I think so too - and I know AF throws the ball better than some other option teams, but with Toledo having a good run D, and bad weather outside, AF may need more out of the passing game than they've got.
Should be a good one - I think I'll switch over to Toledo
Should be a good one - I think I'll switch over to Toledo
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:17 pm to NaturalBeam
quote:
I know AF throws the ball better than some other option teams,
this for sure, but don't base your pick on me
I'll feel like shite if we lose
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:24 pm to TigahFan4Life
On Toledo and under in UT/Cal.
Small weather play on under 70 in Tol/Af game.
Small weather play on under 70 in Tol/Af game.
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:27 pm to TigahFan4Life
Ha no worries from me, I don't have anything but my 7-man bowl pick'em riding on it 
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:29 pm to NaturalBeam
good luck
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:41 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:This...games rarely end up decided by 1 or 2 points. The ONLY time you should ever cross a zero in a teaser is if you end up at +3.5. Any other time, it is a waste of value and you may as well just throw your odds out the window
Toledo +2.5 isn't a whole lot different that Toledo -3
Not worth the tease IMO
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:42 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
This...games rarely end up decided by 1 or 2 points. The ONLY time you should ever cross a zero in a teaser is if you end up at +3.5. Any other time, it is a waste of value and you may as well just throw your odds out the window
thanks for the tip. I'm still learning the ropes. My thinking was that Toledo is going to win, so I'll take the sure bet. I hate taking bets at 3 points. kills me every time
This post was edited on 12/28/11 at 2:44 pm
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:52 pm to TigahFan4Life
TTT is correct as usual, i don't tease past zero unless I'm getting +3.5 or better. If not, you'd be better off getting air force plus the points
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:53 pm to TigahFan4Life
quote:
thanks for the tip. I'm still learning the ropes. My thinking was that Toledo is going to win, so I'll take the sure bet. I hate taking bets at 3 points. kills me every time
Buy the half point to 2.5
This post was edited on 12/28/11 at 2:53 pm
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:56 pm to TigerTatorTots
Can this game start already! 
Posted on 12/28/11 at 2:59 pm to PapaPogey
I'm on this under 70 for 200 and will play the over tonite. Amount will depend on the result of first game
Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:01 pm to PapaPogey
I haven't been ready the past 2 pages. What is the consensus?
I'm leaning to the over 69.5 and Toledo -3
I'm leaning to the over 69.5 and Toledo -3
Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:01 pm to tigerbait2
I saw a few of you on the under...any reasoning behind this? I want to hear someone with a different view than me b/c personally I like the over here
Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:03 pm to PapaPogey
I hate fading you guys but I'm on air force +3. Go falcons
Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:04 pm to TigerTatorTots
Someone in the area said the wind chill is ridiculous and the ball is gonna be a rock. Hopefully this means more rushes and more clock eaten. I have Toledo -3.5 (shoulda bought the half point ) and a small play on the under 69.5
) and a small play on the under 69.5Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:04 pm to CE Tiger
One key stat that has me leaning Toledo:
Air force has won 5 games against D-1 opponents. None of which have a winning record or made a bowl
Air force has won 5 games against D-1 opponents. None of which have a winning record or made a bowl
Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:05 pm to PapaPogey
Under now at 69 here and falling fast..got in this morning at 70.5
Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:05 pm to PapaPogey
quote:I have faith that 2 of the worst defenses in college football can muster up 70 pts. If cold is the main argument, I think I'm going over
Someone in the area said the wind chill is ridiculous and the ball is gonna be a rock. Hopefully this means more rushes and more clock eaten. I have Toledo -3.5 (shoulda bought the half point ) and a small play on the under 69.5
Posted on 12/28/11 at 3:09 pm to PapaPogey
TTT, I have small play on under. Weather a big factor, cold and windy, 70 points is high, plus it's an option offense bowl fade. very small play though.
Those talking about teasing across zero or buying half points, I agree with everything said. Also keep over/under in mind. Buying points where the total is 70 as in this game are not worth the same as points bought in a low total game like Bama/lsu.
Those talking about teasing across zero or buying half points, I agree with everything said. Also keep over/under in mind. Buying points where the total is 70 as in this game are not worth the same as points bought in a low total game like Bama/lsu.
This post was edited on 12/28/11 at 3:12 pm
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