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re: CFB Advanced Metrics and Computer Polls, Week 13

Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:22 pm to
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101390 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

The #1 team in SP+ doesn't always win. So there will be no validation even if Ohio State does win.




Oh, I agree with this completely as well. I will also say (eta, if Ohio State loses), it no more means the analysis was "wrong" than it means that the results that go against it constitute a "fluke."
This post was edited on 11/26/19 at 1:25 pm
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

Holy shite
When some jabroni shares his shitty opinion that Les Miles is a bad coach who couldn’t coach offense, I cite comprehensive offensive statistics and win/loss records and therefore destroy his shitty argument.
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
57477 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:25 pm to
Les Miles refused to adapt his offense to today’s game
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Les Miles refused to adapt his offense to today’s game

Fake news. In his final full season at LSU, the total offense was higher than 41 of 65 P5 schools.

The offense was good. Stats and win-loss records prove it. frick your feelings.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

In his final full season at LSU, the total offense was higher than 41 of 65 P5 schools.
I think a lot of it has to do with how well their offense was RELATIVE to how talented their personnel could have made it, not how well their offense was relative to the collection college football teams.
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:51 pm to
Top 25 scoring offense with Mettenberger.

The offense wasn’t bad, and Miles is a terrific coach. Dumb LSU fans wanted Miles fired for 1/9/12 and don’t want to admit it. He couldn’t protect us from the most painful loss in program history, so they tried desperately for five years to look for reasons to fire him, and they seized on the opportunity when they saw two losses in September.

Don’t believe anti-Miles LSU fans when they deny this.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76518 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

Looking at all the data, I think this is the week Ohio State jumps LSU.

4 of 6 BCS computers, Massey as a whole, RPI, FPI, SP+, etc. all favor Ohio State.

LSU had the RPI, Colley Matrix, Jelly Juke, etc. last week, and that's all gone now.

Look for OSU #1 in the CFP on Tuesday.


Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 6:25 pm to
Well done, sir. I, too, called it.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76518 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

My prediction as well.

If it’s chalk from here on out, LSU v Clemson in Glendale and tOSU v TBD in Atlanta.



Yes you did.
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 8:08 pm to
please read @slackster

@kosmo been telling you all week dude
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76518 posts
Posted on 11/27/19 at 10:55 am to
This thread has all the answers they seek.

Yet none have returned after the rankings were released.
Posted by MidnightVibe
Member since Feb 2015
7885 posts
Posted on 11/27/19 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

This is a fantastic observation and a big fight in stathead circles. Essentially, these value based statistical formulas assume that there is one correct way to play, and it rates teams as good by how close they hue to these prior performances.



Yards per play isn't even loosely resembling something formulating "one correct way to play". There will never ever ever ever not be an almost one to one correlation between yards per play and points on the scoreboard.
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