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CFB Advanced Metrics and Computer Polls, Week 13
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:23 am
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:23 am
Massey Composite
1. Ohio State
2. Clemson
3. Louisiana State
4. Georgia
5. Pennsylvania State
6. Utah
7. Alabama
8. Michigan
9. Oklahoma
10. Wisconsin
FPI
1 Ohio State, Big Ten 11-0 12.6 - 0.4 64.1 86.5 18 33.2
2 Clemson, ACC 11-0 12.9 - 0.1 87.8 95.0 63 30.7
3 Alabama, SEC 10-1 10.7 - 1.4 65.0 0.0 9 29.2
4 LSU, SEC 11-0 12.4 - 0.6 43.7 52.4 25 25.8
5 Georgia, SEC 10-1 11.5 - 1.5 46.5 47.6 88 24.6
6 Penn State, Big Ten 9-2 10.0 - 2.0 99.4 0.0 115 23.0
7 Michigan, Big Ten 9-2 9.3 - 2.7 25.8 0.0 3 22.0
8 Florida, SEC 9-2 9.9 - 2.1 90.9 0.0 53 21.5
9 Auburn, SEC 8-3 8.4 - 3.7 35.0 0.0 6 21.3
10 Oregon, Pac-12 9-2 10.5 - 2.5 50.7 53.5 74 21.1
SP+
1 Ohio St
2 Bama
3 LSU
4 Clemson
5 UGA
6 OU
7 PSU
8 Utah
9 Florida
10 Michigan
* Ohio State's historic rating dropped from +37.2 to +36.2
* Big rises: Colorado, UAB, Ark St, WKU
* Big falls: Utah St, BC, Fresno, Arkansas (again!)
RPI
1 Ohio St. 11-0 50.79
2 LSU 11-0 50.57
3 Clemson 11-0 49.63
4 Georgia 10-1 48.76
5 Florida 9-2 46.39
6 Utah 10-1 45.97
7 Alabama 10-1 45.83
8 Oklahoma 10-1 45.76
9 Penn St. 9-2 44.69
10 Michigan 9-2 44.23
1. Ohio State
2. Clemson
3. Louisiana State
4. Georgia
5. Pennsylvania State
6. Utah
7. Alabama
8. Michigan
9. Oklahoma
10. Wisconsin
FPI
1 Ohio State, Big Ten 11-0 12.6 - 0.4 64.1 86.5 18 33.2
2 Clemson, ACC 11-0 12.9 - 0.1 87.8 95.0 63 30.7
3 Alabama, SEC 10-1 10.7 - 1.4 65.0 0.0 9 29.2
4 LSU, SEC 11-0 12.4 - 0.6 43.7 52.4 25 25.8
5 Georgia, SEC 10-1 11.5 - 1.5 46.5 47.6 88 24.6
6 Penn State, Big Ten 9-2 10.0 - 2.0 99.4 0.0 115 23.0
7 Michigan, Big Ten 9-2 9.3 - 2.7 25.8 0.0 3 22.0
8 Florida, SEC 9-2 9.9 - 2.1 90.9 0.0 53 21.5
9 Auburn, SEC 8-3 8.4 - 3.7 35.0 0.0 6 21.3
10 Oregon, Pac-12 9-2 10.5 - 2.5 50.7 53.5 74 21.1
SP+
1 Ohio St
2 Bama
3 LSU
4 Clemson
5 UGA
6 OU
7 PSU
8 Utah
9 Florida
10 Michigan
* Ohio State's historic rating dropped from +37.2 to +36.2
* Big rises: Colorado, UAB, Ark St, WKU
* Big falls: Utah St, BC, Fresno, Arkansas (again!)
RPI
1 Ohio St. 11-0 50.79
2 LSU 11-0 50.57
3 Clemson 11-0 49.63
4 Georgia 10-1 48.76
5 Florida 9-2 46.39
6 Utah 10-1 45.97
7 Alabama 10-1 45.83
8 Oklahoma 10-1 45.76
9 Penn St. 9-2 44.69
10 Michigan 9-2 44.23
This post was edited on 11/25/19 at 6:45 pm
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:29 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
3 Alabama, SEC 10-1 10.7 - 1.4 65.0 0.0 9 29.2
4 LSU, SEC 11-0 12.4 - 0.6 43.7 52.4 25 25.8
quote:
2 Bama
3 LSU
Oh boy.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:37 am to KosmoCramer
cincinnati's standard deviation is wild, and yet i think they end up in the right spot overall. that's pretty cool.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:41 am to rockchlkjayhku11
quote:
cincinnati's standard deviation is wild, and yet i think they end up in the right spot overall. that's pretty cool.
They have looked wildly unimpressive but have managed to win all their games.
Evaluative vs Predictive polls significantly disagree so you get the significant deviation.
This post was edited on 11/24/19 at 9:42 am
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:42 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
CFB Insecure Metrics and Ohio State Feel Good Rankings, Week 13
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:46 am to TideSaint
quote:
Oh boy.
Everyone in the country knows LSU would skull frick Alabama if they played again. No biggie.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:48 am to slackster
quote:
Everyone in the country knows LSU would skull frick Alabama if they played again. No biggie.
Without Tua, most certainly.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:56 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
Without Tua, most certainly
Rankings are supposed to take that into consideration, correct?
Posted on 11/24/19 at 9:57 am to KosmoCramer
What is possibly in a computer algorithm that puts Bama ahead of LSU?
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:00 am to dsides
quote:
Rankings are supposed to take that into consideration, correct?
Its extremely difficult for computers to do that. It's a bit easier in baseball where its mano-a-mano.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:00 am to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
What is possibly in a computer algorithm that puts Bama ahead of LSU?
LSU's defense
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:01 am to BeeFense5
Oh look another insecure LSU fan making the thread about Ohio State.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:02 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
quote:
What is possibly in a computer algorithm that puts Bama ahead of LSU?
LSU's defense
How does an algorithm determine Bama’s better?
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:02 am to bucknut15
Y’all dot the fricking i of insecure
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:02 am to bucknut15
quote:
Oh look another insecure LSU fan making the thread about Ohio State.
It's easy to do that when Ohio State fans are literally the only people that think these computers totally are the end all be all.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:03 am to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
How does an algorithm determine Bama’s better?
I haven't seen the SP+ internal data. It usually comes out sometime early this afternoon.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:04 am to Y.A. Tittle
Same as Sagarin and NY Times from back in the day. Their computers were worthless.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:04 am to BeeFense5
quote:
think these computers totally are the end all be all
I've literally said the exact opposite for the past 10 years.
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:04 am to BeeFense5
quote:
CFB Insecure Metrics and Ohio State Feel Good Rankings, Week 13
This. Would never be posted if OSU took an L
Posted on 11/24/19 at 10:05 am to KosmoCramer
I’m just curious, are they breaking down overall in-game stats or is it all just comparing relative overall rankings? Either would certainly have flaws, but whatever.
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