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Started By
Message
Bet question for the day..
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:11 pm
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:11 pm
4/5 on a $50 parlay to win $1K
San Diego St -9.5 over Air Force to close it out.
How much would you hedge on AF?
San Diego St -9.5 over Air Force to close it out.
How much would you hedge on AF?
8
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:13 pm to Blutarsky
$100. or 350
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:16 pm to Blutarsky
200
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:18 pm to Blutarsky
Can’t answer that with your post. Is a grand a lot for you , would it cover a car note , a mortgage?
Is it fun money ?
All relative.
Is it fun money ?
All relative.
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:18 pm to Blutarsky
What are they offering?
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:20 pm to Tvilletiger
Whatever they are offering, you can lock in more with a hedge.
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:25 pm to Tvilletiger
I’ll wait until 9:20 or so.
Depending on how some other things go, I could already be up $1.1K for the week heading into the SDSU game.
Depending on how some other things go, I could already be up $1.1K for the week heading into the SDSU game.
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:36 pm to Blutarsky
$250 AF spread
$100 AF ML
$600 profit (after factoring in initial $50 bet) if SDSU covers.
$100 profit if SDSU wins by single digits.
I’m guessing probably around $500-600 profit if AF wins without knowing exact ML, just based on the spread.
$100 AF ML
$600 profit (after factoring in initial $50 bet) if SDSU covers.
$100 profit if SDSU wins by single digits.
I’m guessing probably around $500-600 profit if AF wins without knowing exact ML, just based on the spread.
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:54 pm to Buckeye Fan 19
ML is +375
If AF managed to win SU, it would be +575 (minus the $50) and +625 with the parlay if SDSU covers.
Probably just do something like AF +9.5 for $400/$364 so it’ll be $314 (minus $50) or $600.
I don’t think AF has a chance to win SU.
If AF managed to win SU, it would be +575 (minus the $50) and +625 with the parlay if SDSU covers.
Probably just do something like AF +9.5 for $400/$364 so it’ll be $314 (minus $50) or $600.
I don’t think AF has a chance to win SU.
Posted on 2/6/24 at 8:57 pm to Blutarsky
350
Posted on 2/6/24 at 9:09 pm to Blutarsky
quote:
How much would you hedge on AF?
$0
If you're gonna parlay for a big payday, dont puss out and hedge. Unless something changed, hedging will always be -ev.
Posted on 2/6/24 at 9:13 pm to Blutarsky
From a pure math perspective, hedging is a negative EV play, so it all comes to down to personal tolerances like how important that money is to you and mentally how upset would you be walking away with nothing. I’d probably hedge a little because I know I would find losing it at this point super tilting.
This post was edited on 2/6/24 at 9:14 pm
Posted on 2/6/24 at 9:33 pm to The Seaward
Well, even though the game won’t tip until 9:40, they took it off the board so it’s ride or die with -9.5.
I was only going to hedge $300/$272
I was only going to hedge $300/$272
Posted on 2/6/24 at 10:24 pm to Blutarsky
Looking good for ya so far.
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