re: 2023 non-grand slam tennis thread.

If anyone wants to try a crazy longshot, this college kid Lopes is like 15/1 against Paire in a Challenger event in New Caledonia. Paire hasn't played since October plus he's on an island a day after celebrating a new year. 1st set is around +900 too.

Locking in some Medvedev 8/1 for AO at FD since they void if he doesn’t start the tourney. I just can’t play Novak at +115ish (especially pre-draw) and don’t really trust anyone else.

Shitpants in the 20/1 range is definitely not a bad play. He has 3 AO semis on his resume and seems to be playing well. Personally I’d rather see the draw first and maybe take him to win a quarter or reach the final.

Of course they don’t show the max bet allowed. You have to submit the bet to find out. I only did $100 and it went through without review.

What accounts do you have besides FD? I can try to post any off-market lines I play there, but I usually bet close to the start of matches so it’s tough. Obviously futures and stuff are different.

Bovada has an insane number of offerings for things like grand slam wins, individual year-end rankings, etc. I might do some research for the rankings bets. A lot is just figuring out how much they plan to play.

Not a fan of -175 here but I can’t see how this loses. I mean the guy already pulled out of a tourney and we’re 4 days into the year, plus you know he’s sitting out clay season. And he straight up said he only cares about slams.

Funny my sister had trouble depositing at Caesars and Barstool in Louisiana too. You would think that would be one thing they would make sure to get right.

It's weird how Caesars in Vegas is different from all the others. MGM was similar but that may have changed. I'll have to check. I rarely find anything good there because their lines are too juiced. Like right now they have Korda -135 and RBA +105 while Caesars has -130/+110.

On KK with a free bet tonight +300 against Meddy. I had in my head that Med has been struggling, but I looked back and his three losses at the Finals were in third set breakers. Not too bad against the top 8. But, he had some fits with Sonego the other day. I did not realize he beat Kecmanovic 0 and 3 until after I made my bet, though.

ETA, when I was in Vegas in October, every MGM outfit seems homogenized with a BetMGM sportsbook. The guys at Park MGM were leaning on me to bet on the app, but I didn't want to deal with registration and preferred to put in a few cash plays. It's interesting that William Hill still has brick and mortar business there, even though Caesars took over the online play. I didn't see much else, although I was at Resorts World for a few days, and they just have their own book/app. Is anything else important there besides Circa? I remember the good old days when I think it was Stardust or Riviera would set the line.

Funny this is my first time hearing about the Resorts World book/app. Will have to keep an eye on them.

quote:

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Is anything else important there besides Circa?

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Yeah but not on the strip.

Superbook at Westgate is the famous one, but it’s a couple miles east. South Point is popular but they don’t offer much, and even less so on their app. Stations is a local chain that has a little more in terms of props and stuff. Boyd is another local and they use FD software/lines.

None are fantastic for tennis, except for the rare times when they don’t adjust their lines late at night. But even then you are limited to a few hundred at most.

I think those are just the current ATP rankings. They haven't announced the seeds yet.

Alcaraz pulls out of the Aussie Open with an injury

The goat is coming for it all

Joker tweaked his hamstring while up 5-2 in 1st set and took MTO. He’s playing on after winning the set.

ETA: Mocking the “injury” lol