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Will Mega-Tech eventually win the Quantum Race and make RGTI, IONQ obsolete?
Posted on 4/16/25 at 6:57 pm
Posted on 4/16/25 at 6:57 pm
I know TD isn't exactly stacked with software engineers like Palo Alto and San Fran to understand the industry, but I'm curious to see how this plays out. If becoming the leading quantum company results in an additional $1 trillion to market cap by 2035. Well, if mega-tech like NVDA or MSFT or GOOG wins, all that does is increase their share price by 33% as they are each worth 3x that today.
Now if Rigetti wins out and gets that $1 trillion added to market cap, that increases share price by 50,000% or 500x compared to today. I mean we all go 6 to midnight over 50,000%+ returns (moreso than a night with Natalie Portman & Sydney Sweeny - my ultimate Hollywood crushes), but 33% returns by 2035 is just sheer flaccidity.
Do you think Rigetti or IONQ can upend mega-tech and their endless capital in the quantum race? What proof or evidence do you have, please link.
Now if Rigetti wins out and gets that $1 trillion added to market cap, that increases share price by 50,000% or 500x compared to today. I mean we all go 6 to midnight over 50,000%+ returns (moreso than a night with Natalie Portman & Sydney Sweeny - my ultimate Hollywood crushes), but 33% returns by 2035 is just sheer flaccidity.
Do you think Rigetti or IONQ can upend mega-tech and their endless capital in the quantum race? What proof or evidence do you have, please link.
This post was edited on 4/16/25 at 7:07 pm
2
Posted on 4/17/25 at 12:07 pm to Saunson69
Hard to say. Microsoft has developed a chip for 2 decades creating a new state of matter in the process. First to market will probably take the crown, but that will be the first chip to hit 1m qubits.
Google's Willow is up to 105 qubits, I believe Rigetti has something similar. The MS chip is 8 qubits now but is apparently easier to scale than the rest. If they can scale, say 10%, faster over 10-20 years I don't see why they wouldn't be the first.
There is no telling what will be next though. A lot of time for the tech world between now and 1m qubits. At least with the giants they expect revenue and growth regardless of the quantum computing race outcome.
Google's Willow is up to 105 qubits, I believe Rigetti has something similar. The MS chip is 8 qubits now but is apparently easier to scale than the rest. If they can scale, say 10%, faster over 10-20 years I don't see why they wouldn't be the first.
There is no telling what will be next though. A lot of time for the tech world between now and 1m qubits. At least with the giants they expect revenue and growth regardless of the quantum computing race outcome.
Posted on 4/20/25 at 8:23 am to ThatBaw
I am not an expert, but I struggle with the true applicability of quantum computing. It still seems to be much more of a research tool than something that can be applied to everyday calculations and utility.
Posted on 4/20/25 at 8:57 am to Saunson69
quote:
I know TD isn't exactly stacked with software engineers
Quantum computing doesn't run software, as such, is not in need of software engineers.
Posted on 4/20/25 at 9:41 am to j1897
quote:
Quantum computing doesn't run software, as such, is not in need of software engineers.
Not sure that is true at all…any modern computing platform requires software, whether it conforms to classical principles or not
Posted on 4/20/25 at 1:16 pm to j1897
quote:
Quantum computing doesn't run software, as such, is not in need of software engineers.
This is not accurate, at all.
Posted on 4/20/25 at 1:45 pm to TigerFanatic99
Your terrible portfolio depends on you lying to yourself lol.
Posted on 4/20/25 at 1:48 pm to j1897
quote:
Your terrible portfolio depends on you lying to yourself lol.
What? Are you seriously arguing thay quantum computers do not use software?
And I dont know who the frick you think you're talking to but you don't know shite about me or my portfolio.
This post was edited on 4/20/25 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 4/24/25 at 1:43 pm to PurpleSingularity
It probably won't be used for everyday computations in the near future. Very expensive. It would do better in datacenters powering AI or research or other high volume calculations.
Modern processors are approaching the theoretical physical limit on transistor size, however. Quantum computing is just the next step.
Modern processors are approaching the theoretical physical limit on transistor size, however. Quantum computing is just the next step.
Posted on 4/24/25 at 4:35 pm to ThatBaw
Bloatware and pre installed distributor apps will slow it all down to a crawl. 
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