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re: VELO - Low Float turnaround opportunity

Posted on 3/20/26 at 10:30 am to
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12359 posts
Posted on 3/20/26 at 10:30 am to
I need to dive in on it, it is clear it has a very tiny float, much improved balance sheet etc.

I want to learn more on their margins as they start this rebound (clear rebound going on)

I will buy hundred shares while I wait to find time to look

LOL Blocked online on ML - Fidelity filled
This post was edited on 3/20/26 at 10:37 am
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
11024 posts
Posted on 3/20/26 at 11:26 am to
In for 50. Let’s ride.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24200 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 10:45 am to
Earnings tomorrow after close.

quote:

At its peak post-SPAC valuation of ~$1.6 billion, Velo3D was priced at nearly 40x its 2021 revenue. The subsequent four-year journey to a $5 million market cap and back toward $300M is one of the most extreme round-trips in the advanced manufacturing sector.


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Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12359 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 4:07 pm to
Definitely ran into earnings day today.

500 share starter but if it rips on earnings tomorrow I might just the easy 1-2K.

Still have not done my homework yet
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
3808 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 4:17 pm to
Up over 10% today. Was thinking on unloading on another run tomorrow and wait for the SLI pullback
Posted by Saint5446
Member since Jan 2014
908 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 7:51 pm to
Bought 1000 at 12.70 on Friday. Will likely dump it if it runs to high 14s.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24200 posts
Posted on 3/23/26 at 7:58 pm to
Earnings are AH tomorrow.
I fully expect shenanigans.
If I see what I think are good numbers, and it dumps, I hope to be ready.

If I also see a crazy move to $16-18, I’ll have to sell a portion.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24200 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 11:40 am to
Reached mid $14s this morning.
Earnings will be entertaining.
Posted by bobaftt1212
Hills of TN
Member since Mar 2013
1391 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 12:10 pm to
Where are you guys putting your sell order in?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24200 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 12:58 pm to
I'd sell 1/4 around $20 just to be responsible.
Posted by RJSambola
Member since Jun 2012
394 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 1:31 pm to
In for 100, sold a covered call apr 17 @ 17.50 for 1.15 premium. Wouldn't mind a 35% gain in 3.5 weeks
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
3808 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 3:12 pm to
cliffs form earnings:

Full-year 2025 Revenue of $46 million

Backlog of $31 million as of December 31, 2025

Expects 2026 revenue between $60 million and $70 million

Expects to turn EBITDA positive in the second half of 2026

Announces demand-driven capacity plan envisioning up to approximately 400 production systems over the next decade, supported by potential asset-backed financing and expanding defense and aerospace program portfolio
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24200 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 3:17 pm to
Not terrible, not stellar.
I'll stick with it.
Posted by Wilson
Metairie
Member since Jul 2011
347 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

In for 100, sold a covered call apr 17 @ 17.50 for 1.15 premium. Wouldn't mind a 35% gain in 3.5 weeks



Can you please explain exactly what you did like I'm a 5 year old? Just trying to learn. Thanks
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12359 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 3:19 pm to
Surprised Q4 over Q4 is down but not a biggie
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24200 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

Surprised Q4 over Q4 is down but not a biggie

govt shutdown related.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24200 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 3:43 pm to
Gettin' quite ugly now
Posted by RJSambola
Member since Jun 2012
394 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 3:54 pm to
I bought 100 shares @ 13.80 ($1380)

I sold the right to buy them at $17.50 to someone by April 17th, they paid me $115 dollars for that right.

If they buy them I get 17.50 x 100 shares($1750), I also keep the $115(whether they buy them or not).

Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12359 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Gaetano tweet - 1 - Margin recovery. Management guided towards 30% margins for Q4 25.


Well..... no on that one
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12359 posts
Posted on 3/24/26 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

- **GAAP operating expenses** have dropped sharply YoY due to restructuring, workforce reductions, and cost discipline:
- Q1 2025: $12.6M (down from $18.6M in Q1 2024)
- Q2 2025: $10.5M (down from $17.6M in Q2 2024)
- Q3 2025: $11.1M (down from $22.9M in Q3 2024)


Q4 $14.8 million. Not helpful to trendline.

Non GAAP $13.3 M

I have to be honest - not the quarter I was expecting - although wasnt investing for the quarter
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