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Message
re: The myth of gold being an inflation hedge
Posted on 8/18/09 at 12:32 pm to Rivers
Posted on 8/18/09 at 12:32 pm to Rivers
quote:
Yeah, I wanna leave my kids a lot of dollars because they did so well from 1913 till now...only losing 96% of their value.
You keep saying this, but how many people are invested in literal dollars, sitting under their mattress? Zero.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 12:36 pm to Cold Cous Cous
'You keep saying this, but how many people are invested in literal dollars, sitting under their mattress? Zero.'
That is quite a limb you have chosen. Care to prove your 'zero' hypothesis?
...at any rate people that might have the inclination to 'keep their money in a mattress' dare not because it will be destroyed by inflation if they do. Do you think that is a good idea? IOW, do you think punishing savers is a good idea? Perhaps you should think this over?
'Money', among other attributes, is supposed to be a store of value.
That is quite a limb you have chosen. Care to prove your 'zero' hypothesis?
...at any rate people that might have the inclination to 'keep their money in a mattress' dare not because it will be destroyed by inflation if they do. Do you think that is a good idea? IOW, do you think punishing savers is a good idea? Perhaps you should think this over?
'Money', among other attributes, is supposed to be a store of value.
This post was edited on 8/18/09 at 12:38 pm
Posted on 8/18/09 at 12:53 pm to Rivers
quote:
...at any rate people that might have the inclination to 'keep their money in a mattress' dare not because it will be destroyed by inflation if they do. Do you think that is a good idea?
Actually, yes. I think it's a terrible idea to bury money in a can in the backyard instead of making investments that allow that money to be put to use.
quote:Nobody is out to "punish" what you call savers but would more accurately be termed as "hoarders." It's just the fact that it's an incredibly stupid strategy means that they have punished themselves.
IOW, do you think punishing savers is a good idea?
This post was edited on 8/18/09 at 1:04 pm
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:01 pm to HarnessedInSlums
quote:
A rare metal that requires extreme effort
The effort required to get it does not by itself confer value. It does reduce supply, but demand also matters. If nobody wants the stuff it still has no value no matter how hard you worked to get it.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:03 pm to tirebiter
quote:
Yet another reason for international equity investing which provides currency diversification
That is what I do.
I also own some gold for diversification, I'm just confused about why anyone seriously thinks physical possession of the stuff doesn't cost a shite-ton of unnecessary premium. It's like paying a banker 10% off the top to withdraw from your checking account.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:04 pm to tirebiter
quote:
Yet another reason for international equity investing which provides currency diversification
That is what I do.
I also own some gold for diversification, I'm just confused about why anyone seriously thinks physical possession of the stuff doesn't cost a shite-ton of unnecessary premium. It's like paying a banker 10% off the top to withdraw from your checking account.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:05 pm to Cold Cous Cous
'Actually, yes. I think it's a terrible idea to bury money in a can in the backyard and to instead of putting it in investments where it can be put to use in the economy.'
The money belongs to whoever has possession of it. Money has no conscience. People have the right to bury their money in a can if that is what they want to do. You, I, nor anyone else has the right to pass laws directing or forcing people to use their money to 'get the economy going' or whatever other tyranicacal law might be passed to force people to 'spend' money or lose it to inflation...or force people into a stock market, bond market, bank cd or whatever. All things that can be done with money are risky, some more than others, and some people have lots of money and want as little risk as possible. That is their decision.
'Nobody is out to "punish" what you call savers but would more accurately be termed as "hoarders." It's just the fact that it's an incredibly stupid strategy means that they have punished themselves.'
Suddenly 'savers' have morphed into 'hoarders' in your view? Because you are not a saver? Savers are not hoarders! What an incredibly dumb thing to say. Once again, it is not your call to make, it is the call of the one in possession of the money. You cannot impose your ideals on them.
Saving is the backbone of a strong economy. Savings is the only true source of investment capital. Do you believe that the fricking government can generate investment capital? If you do it's time you took a few books to the wood shed.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:07 pm to Cold Cous Cous
quote:
You keep saying this, but how many people are invested in literal dollars, sitting under their mattress? Zero.
This is the correct answer, as I have said elsewhere. I think the aversion is to owning certificates of anything, not just dollars. Some people just aren't happy unless they have it in the palm of their hands.
I'm quite willing to sell anyone all the gold you want if you will pay me 50% above spot price. I'll even accept lots of those worthless dollars for it.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:13 pm to Rivers
quote:
Suddenly 'savers' have morphed into 'hoarders' in your view? Because you are not a saver? Savers are not hoarders! What an incredibly dumb thing to say.
No, savers are not hoarders. I'm a saver - some would say cheapskate

And of course you do understand the difference between savers and hoarders, but you'd rather be irascible and petulant rather than have a real conversation with anyone who doesn't simply parrot whatever it is you have to say.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:13 pm to foshizzle
'Some people just aren't happy unless they have it in the palm of their hands.'
It's mine, I got lots of it, if I wanna take a loss to have it in my hand that is my business, not your's.
'I'm quite willing to sell anyone all the gold you want if you will pay me 50% above spot price. I'll even accept lots of those worthless dollars for it.'
I have read some of your stupid statements but that one about tops the rest. Why would anyone deal with you when you are demonstrating how dumb you can be?

Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:14 pm to Rivers
quote:
'Money', among other attributes, is supposed to be a store of value.
Yes, but so far, gold doesn't do very well there either. As I've pointed out, the comparison with currency is not relevant simply because hardly anyone has more than small amounts for their short term needs.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:16 pm to foshizzle
'Yes, but so far, gold doesn't do very well there either. As I've pointed out, the comparison with currency is not relevant simply because hardly anyone has more than small amounts for their short term needs.'
It is apparent that you are used to dealing with poor folk.

What school did you attend?

Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:19 pm to Rivers
quote:
Saving is the backbone of a strong economy
Very true!
quote:
Savings is the only true source of investment capital
Also true.
Of course, gold you physically possess is not available to the economy - you have removed it from circulation. It is hoarding just as much as stuffing money in the mattress, but that's your prerogative.
It is also your prerogative to buy a car, store it in a garage, and never drive it. Same thing, and about as expensive. But yes, if you really want to throw away your resources on something that doesn't hold up well over time (i.e. gold, cars, paper currency, or hookers and blow) that is your prerogative.
Personally, you'd do better investing in something else entirely, but it's a free country.
This post was edited on 8/18/09 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:24 pm to foshizzle
So do I. Lookout, we will be labeled WHOGAS #'s 2 & 3.
Oh wait, we already have.
I have a ~ 50 lb bag of 90% silver content coins, but that won't save me financially. That's one of the big challenges I have with gold. If one truly believes the US or global financial end of days is around the corner they should be 90%+ in gold if that is their keystone to offset financial ruin. If one has a 7 figure portfolio and only 10-20% is in gold WTSHTF, it's not going to come close to recouping the portfolio losses. Then a new bullshite currency would be put in place, bad politicians and monetary policy makers stay in place, rinse, repeat, what is gold worth then? I'll stay diversified and take my chances.

I have a ~ 50 lb bag of 90% silver content coins, but that won't save me financially. That's one of the big challenges I have with gold. If one truly believes the US or global financial end of days is around the corner they should be 90%+ in gold if that is their keystone to offset financial ruin. If one has a 7 figure portfolio and only 10-20% is in gold WTSHTF, it's not going to come close to recouping the portfolio losses. Then a new bullshite currency would be put in place, bad politicians and monetary policy makers stay in place, rinse, repeat, what is gold worth then? I'll stay diversified and take my chances.
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:30 pm to Rivers
quote:
It is apparent that you are used to dealing with poor folk
In this country, hardly anyone has more than small amounts for their short term needs. Rich and poor both.
For the poor, this is obvious.
For the rich, it's less obvious but still true. Even the very wealthy don't carry around thousands of dollars on their person.
The rich may deposit cash in their accounts but usually it doesn't stay in currency very long, they invest it in something else. Not always true, but usually.
As far as my educational credentials go, I completed all coursework required for a Ph.D. in Finance. So

Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:31 pm to Rivers
quote:
It's mine, I got lots of it, if I wanna take a loss to have it in my hand that is my business, not your's.
Certainly true. That won't keep me from observing that it's a great way to lose money.
quote:
'I'm quite willing to sell anyone all the gold you want if you will pay me 50% above spot price. I'll even accept lots of those worthless dollars for it.'
I have read some of your stupid statements but that one about tops the rest. Why would anyone deal with you when you are demonstrating how dumb you can be?
You have not addressed my offer. Since you think currency is not worth much but gold is, when are you ready to start unloading some more of those dollars?
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:32 pm to tirebiter
After reading this thread it seems guns and ammunition would be the best SHTF investment. No matter what currency is used at the time in a post total economic meltdown society weapons would seem to fetch the highest price and prove to be your greatest asset.



Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:34 pm to tirebiter
quote:Wear it with pride!!!
Lookout, we will be labeled WHOGAS #'s 2 & 3.

Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:34 pm to tirebiter
quote:
That's one of the big challenges I have with gold. If one truly believes the US or global financial end of days is around the corner they should be 90%+ in gold if that is their keystone to offset financial ruin. If one has a 7 figure portfolio and only 10-20% is in gold WTSHTF, it's not going to come close to recouping the portfolio losses
This is correct. If you really believe in the saving power of gold, you need a shitton more than just a few odds and ends stashed in a safe at home.
And if you *do* have a shitton more, you are paying an enormous amount more to buy it than you are likely to get selling it later (the bid-ask spread on coins is awful).
Posted on 8/18/09 at 1:35 pm to Cold Cous Cous
'And of course you do understand the difference between savers and hoarders, but you'd rather be irascible and petulant rather than have a real conversation with anyone who doesn't simply parrot whatever it is you have to say.'
What it sounds like to me is that you apply the term hoarder to 'others that save' and the term 'saver' to yourself. Double standard, iow.
I am willing to have a real conversation with anyone that doesn't lie to me and is objective. I will frick with anyone that stoops to lies, of commission or ommission. That includes cherry picking stats to make a point that does not exist. WHOGAS comes to mind.
If you read what I posted, written by Greenspan, you will see why all fiat currencies eventually fail. If you understand that our economy is now under great stress certainly you will see why some people prefer to opt out for now and rejoin the play once the field is brought into some semblance of level. I cannot play in a stk market, bond mkt that is run by the Fed and GS. I am out on a limb now and covering long positions on oil but I would not even be in oil if it was not a favor for others. Anyone that plays in these mkt better be real good or real lucky and preferably both...still, they (including me) probably need professional help if they are in the current mkts.
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