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re: Stocks vs Real Estate to generate wealth and passive income

Posted on 9/17/18 at 8:54 am to
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91083 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 8:54 am to
Posted by plaric
Pike Road, Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
2276 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 9:04 am to
Thanks brother!
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91083 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 9:11 am to
no problem! FTR i use lots of property management also and if you are still getting good to great cash flow it is worth it. Just run all your numbers before you buy.

here is another that might help you

Posted by eng08
Member since Jan 2013
6010 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 10:51 am to
Any reccomendations on how to estimate your cash flows or returns?

I have a spreadsheet built, really looking to try and validate it.
Posted by plaric
Pike Road, Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
2276 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 11:16 am to
I agree, my main area of issue is how do I find out what rents in the area of the property im looking at are so I can determine how much potential rent I can collect on it.
Posted by eng08
Member since Jan 2013
6010 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 11:49 am to
Rentometer.com has been pretty good for me along with craigslist, driving around and calling and looking on Zillow.
Posted by BamaAlum02
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2005
1108 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 12:10 pm to
Stocks are almost always going to outpace real estate over a long horizon. The reason is because when you invest in real estate you are taking out the most powerful force in the world...compounding interest.

If you assume stocks average 8% return. Look back over the history of the stock market, this is pretty standard and the longer you hold investments the less the risk becomes.

At 8% and reinvesting your returns, you investment will double every 9 years. Round that up to 10 years to be conservative and to make the math easier. I invest $50k in the market and its worth $100k after 10 years, $200k after 20 years and $400k after 30 years. I use 30 years because that would put you at retirement age.

Someone else in the thread mentioned they try to recoup their investment in 5 years so the same $50k investment would need to be $10 cash flow positive per year. I think that is a little aggressive but using that math ($50 k investment, $10k per year cash flow), after 10 years I am in the same place ($50k positive cash flow and a $50k asset) and after 20 years I am at the same place ($100k cash flow and $50k asset). But when you start pushing out further stocks really pull away. After 30 years stocks are $100k ahead of the real estate. If I push it out to 40 years my stock investment is worth $800k and my real estate investment is worth $450k.

You can put together a simple spreadsheet and prove this to yourself. I have oversimplified it because there are additional expenses with real estate like maintenance and upkeep but there is also appreciation and rising rent rates. Also, how do you reinvest your returns will have an effect.

Real estate has a place in a portfolio but it usually won't beat the returns of stocks over the long term. Not to mention less headaches with stocks over real estate (even with a management company) and the loss of liquidity.



Posted by plaric
Pike Road, Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
2276 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 12:20 pm to
Interesting take.

This is why I keep going back and forth haha. Tax benefits of owning rentals makes it interesting as well. I just dunno, I am suffering from FOBO (fear of better options)...
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 12:25 pm to
You would have to reinvest all RE cash flow to make it truly apples to apples but I agree with your premise.
Posted by plaric
Pike Road, Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
2276 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 12:39 pm to
Yeah, whatever I end up doing will be 100% reinvested as I don't need it now. IF I can get the passive income to where I want it quick enough I can maybe dial back how much I work and actually spend more time with my kids........funny how those little creatures shift priorities
Posted by BamaAlum02
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2005
1108 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

You would have to reinvest all RE cash flow to make it truly apples to apples but I agree with your premise.


Agree.

The other problem is I think it is hard to find rental properties where you can recover your investment in 5 years. At least in my market, it is closer to 10 years. $50,000 houses don't rent for $1,000 per month in Huntsville, AL. It is closer to $500 per month.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91083 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 1:34 pm to
LOL.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91083 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 1:37 pm to
You obviously did not click my link at the top.

The point in RE with leveraged properties is the COC return. Not ROI. I do way better in RE. the COC IS THE RETURN. but if too little is put down it means nothing without the cash flow metric.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91083 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 1:38 pm to
Use your RE profits to buy more RE.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91083 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 1:43 pm to
Based on monies used for down payment I can recover that quickly also. 4 years or less.
Posted by BamaAlum02
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2005
1108 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

You obviously did not click my link at the top.


Clicked the 1st and 2nd one and it was pretty flawed logic in #2 so I didn't go past that.
Posted by BamaAlum02
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2005
1108 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 1:54 pm to
I feel like I've stumbled into one of those seminars they advertise on the radio.

"Make money in real estate using other people money! Did you know your city in BFE is they perfect market for our model."
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
12656 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 2:02 pm to
Spreadsheet for RE investment. 10 Year Analysis

LINK

I've used this for many years. And it has a download option for Excel.
This post was edited on 9/17/18 at 2:03 pm
Posted by plaric
Pike Road, Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
2276 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 2:02 pm to
Montgomery has a decent number of houses that you can buy for 40-50 and rent for 650 or so....
Posted by plaric
Pike Road, Alabama
Member since Jun 2011
2276 posts
Posted on 9/17/18 at 2:05 pm to
Hey Fat Bastard...is there a way to get in touch with you directly?
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